Circular-Real — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$497

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-15 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776260100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 13:39
btc updown 5m 1776260700	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776258900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 13:19
btc updown 5m 1776261000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 13:54
btc updown 5m 1776261900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 15:45
btc updown 15m 1776255300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	21	0	+21	Down	$-1	05-05 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776466800	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-17 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 09:30
btc updown 5m 1776502200	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-18 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776603600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-19 13:04
btc updown 5m 1776528600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-18 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 17:45
btc updown 5m 1776585600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-19 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1ba1d9…
05-15 15:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22f83b…
05-15 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2ede89…
05-15 12:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9324dd…
05-15 12:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe9ac…
05-15 10:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b78f7…
05-15 10:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xda956b…
05-15 09:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x335208…
05-15 08:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe97979…
05-15 08:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43b4a6…
05-15 08:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2bdf13…
05-15 07:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb523cc…
05-15 07:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf670d4…
05-15 07:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x953e7c…
05-15 00:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6562e9…
05-15 00:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaca38a…
05-14 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa11e5…
05-14 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa11288…
05-14 23:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96df60…
05-14 22:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x616d52…
05-14 22:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf8679d…
05-14 21:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b8f0b…
05-14 21:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe027d2…
05-14 19:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1364e…
05-14 18:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe166d9…
05-14 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21403d…
05-14 17:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x386505…
05-14 17:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf825b7…
05-14 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x562c82…
05-14 17:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd5c3b5…
05-05 19:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3808db…
05-05 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1a7ab…
05-05 18:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8e19d…
05-05 18:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4c1b7…
05-05 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x93d7d3…
05-05 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x787e94…
05-05 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65872f…
05-05 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x74a908…
05-05 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd4a1c0…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3d09e2…
05-05 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5d656…
05-05 16:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6133f0…
05-05 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6aa396…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25ac18…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd43eed…
05-05 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x57b2f3…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x321f7e…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d2cdb…
05-05 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78a7f0…
05-05 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe3e42…
05-05 14:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40308e…
05-05 14:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4533b3…
05-05 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87ef8c…
05-05 14:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4e8538…
05-05 13:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe0b1b4…
05-05 13:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a95f9…
05-05 12:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8cd536…
05-05 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5db534…
05-05 12:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x112484…
05-05 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x33cd38…
05-05 11:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb2b42a…
05-05 11:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb6e975…
05-05 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea674c…
05-05 09:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x512138…
05-05 09:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46a756…
05-05 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x333620…
05-05 09:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5dd62…
05-05 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa5572a…
05-05 08:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36675b…
05-05 08:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x02dc1c…
05-05 07:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74063d…
05-05 07:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2be7a7…
05-05 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb60f9f…
05-05 07:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x08ec89…
05-05 07:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd26c42…
05-05 06:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3e6fc8…
05-05 06:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x60ad2a…
05-05 06:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x97191c…
05-05 06:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d8594…
05-05 06:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67a295…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5217fb…
05-05 05:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb58fb…
05-05 05:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7374bc…
05-05 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9086c2…
05-05 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd143e8…
05-05 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x145c44…
05-05 04:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6ef40…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b417d…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcf24a7…
05-05 04:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c7a47…
05-05 03:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb862e…
05-05 03:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x31ae54…
05-05 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa2d003…
05-05 03:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc015f9…
05-05 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xacd6c9…
05-05 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x33edb4…
05-05 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x69c564…
05-05 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x824754…
05-05 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbfb2ad…
05-05 01:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc49413…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	471	$114.4K	36,969	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	470	$123.9K	39,820	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	470	$97.6K	21,219	05-15 15:39
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	468	$33.8K	7,846	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	467	$53.9K	5,570	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	466	$68.9K	33,884	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	466	$68.1K	3,669	05-15 15:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	465	$104.9K	22,658	05-15 15:39