Forceful-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

207

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-03 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

88% 53% +$108

Crypto

10% 74% -$2

Sports

2% 33% -$13

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No		+17	$6	60¢	$10	+$4	10-04 14:54
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+667	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	08-20 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$120	64	64	+0	Argentina	+$8	07-07 18:06
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-01?	2	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$8	06-01 12:05
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-31 17:45
Will Kosovo win on 2026-05-31?	2	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$3	05-31 15:53
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$88	118	44	+74	Belgium	+$14	07-07 00:13
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-31?	2	$85	45	45	+0	Yes	+$5	05-31 14:07
Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-31 12:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?	2	$61	38	38	+0	Yes	+$15	05-31 05:47
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01?	1	$56	73	0	+73	Yes	-$56	06-01 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 14:35
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$42	72	0	+72	Yes	+$30	06-26 23:39
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$38	56	0	+56	Yes	+$18	06-22 15:00
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	3	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	09-07 21:28
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?	2	$30	27	27	+0	Yes	+$24	08-12 21:10
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?	2	$30	30	30	+0	No	+$16	06-18 00:46
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	3	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$9	07-02 21:13
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?	2	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	+$20	06-16 21:09
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$18	06-30 19:14
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-12?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 12:32
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?	2	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$16	06-14 21:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 7pt5	2	$16	11	11	+0	Under	+$6	07-10 21:02
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 18:14
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	3	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	05-21 20:07
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-29 18:21
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-13?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-13 12:00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	07-04 19:05
Will GAIS vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 15:11
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-24?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-24 18:28
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 15:33
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	-$12	09-17 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:52:01	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe43a64…
11-03 22:51:01	Oilers vs. Devils	Oilers	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xfef074…
11-03 22:48:30	Oilers vs. Devils	Oilers	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa5fd8c…
11-03 22:01:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd26ebc…
11-02 16:24:22	Osters IF vs. Helsingborgs IF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x5bf94e…
11-02 16:03:31	Will GAIS vs. AIK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x4340ce…
11-01 23:27:30	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x36aa81…
10-31 20:43:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x21113c…
10-31 13:23:55	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xd59785…
10-31 12:34:13	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x37fbe2…
10-26 20:12:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x878e38…
10-25 15:11:09	Will GAIS vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee9932…
10-25 13:15:21	Will GAIS vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x77df9c…
10-20 20:20:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd8e60b…
10-20 18:58:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2d66ee…
10-18 21:02:47	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6355f2…
10-18 18:50:18	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4a6619…
10-17 13:11:02	SHL: Frölunda HC vs. Skellefteå	Frölunda HC	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7470b4…
10-11 20:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfe0a0b…
10-11 20:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x47db04…
10-09 16:08:08	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa3c5cb…
10-08 18:00:56	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0cff71…
10-04 15:20:35	Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf4a9fa…
10-04 14:54:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x688b15…
10-04 13:10:34	Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9ff7ee…
09-29 16:30:06	Spread: Albania (-5.5)	Albania	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa946b2…
09-28 16:34:20	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8ac415…
09-27 20:00:41	Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Greece?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa4b6fd…
09-26 17:37:57	Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xffde7e…
09-24 19:15:14	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x8bfd51…
09-24 18:14:42	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbc5a70…
09-23 19:12:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x500fe9…
09-23 19:11:13	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x4709aa…
09-17 20:45:43	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8c6e27…
09-17 20:40:31	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb8da7b…
09-17 19:17:24	Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xbd5865…
09-12 13:53:54	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x679732…
09-10 13:18:06	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x848dbc…
09-08 15:13:36	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd1c1ee…
09-08 15:13:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2e5417…
09-07 21:28:24	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcaf6d6…
09-07 20:44:45	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x75d1e7…
09-07 17:10:31	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x845488…
09-05 12:10:30	Will GAIS win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2f3463…
08-31 16:12:13	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x031ace…
08-30 17:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4bffd6…
08-30 17:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe1d866…
08-30 13:32:16	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x614e44…
08-29 20:04:00	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x387c9a…
08-21 20:15:21	epl ars cov 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Arsenal FC	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x795146…
08-21 19:02:22	epl ars cov 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xafcfb2…
08-20 14:37:34	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x4ff012…
08-17 21:07:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x18cee2…
08-17 20:08:49	mlb mia phi 2026 08 17 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4e9fff…
08-16 22:52:39	Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf6b975…
08-16 16:20:31	Will GAIS vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfae1a6…
08-16 13:36:34	Will GAIS win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4e3eea…
08-16 11:30:46	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x0478ae…
08-15 13:18:31	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb52e6b…
08-14 21:07:37	mlb stl chc 2026 08 14	Chicago Cubs	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8e0710…
08-14 18:56:28	mlb stl chc 2026 08 14	Chicago Cubs	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb5e1da…
08-14 18:53:37	Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37caef…
08-14 17:24:13	Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x21233d…
08-12 21:10:34	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x19b13e…
08-12 19:02:24	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xf24ec3…
07-21 20:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xadf12e…
07-19 19:01:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe8fb96…
07-17 17:09:00	Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2eb683…
07-12 21:19:25	mlb hou tex 2026 07 12	Houston Astros	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xee6436…
07-12 21:16:52	mlb atl stl 2026 07 12	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb66408…
07-12 21:14:08	mlb atl stl 2026 07 12	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa3b142…
07-11 22:27:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x577c56…
07-10 21:02:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 7pt5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd702ad…
07-10 19:26:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xc465a6…
07-10 19:20:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x88e55b…
07-08 23:58:20	mlb col lad 2026 07 08	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf1d062…
07-07 21:53:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf2a102…
07-07 20:24:11	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x56a702…
07-07 18:06:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x6115c7…
07-07 16:11:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	64	87¢	$56	0x271d44…
07-07 00:13:13	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xd4583e…
07-07 00:12:59	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	SELL	44	32¢	$14	0x290470…
07-06 23:07:37	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x37273c…
07-06 19:00:55	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb0cbd1…
07-05 22:51:58	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x798fd9…
07-05 19:21:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x14070a…
07-05 19:20:59	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8219b5…
07-04 19:05:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xce5a7a…
07-04 17:56:16	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x49dae0…
07-04 17:03:40	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x545a7e…
07-03 21:57:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa2fbb8…
07-02 21:13:29	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x5563a0…
07-02 18:57:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2890e5…
07-02 18:57:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7edc6e…
07-01 20:15:08	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2463ef…
07-01 14:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1c451…
07-01 14:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8a0e46…
06-30 20:14:28	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1f44b2…
06-30 19:14:08	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd07856…
06-30 18:45:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaec773…