Sticky-Balloonist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

2,538

Trades

4,136

lifetime

Volume

$6.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-18 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$286

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1097 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	33	$78	165	+165	Up	-$8	09-14 21:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	34	$71	150	+150	Up	-$1	09-14 21:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	28	$61	118	+118	Up	-$2	09-14 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	26	$60	120	+120	Up	$0	09-14 21:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:25 UTC	16	$43	76	+76	Down	-$3	09-14 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:25 UTC	17	$37	75	+75	Down	-$2	09-14 21:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:50 UTC	12	$37	60	+60	Down	+$3	09-14 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:05 UTC	12	$28	55	+55	Up	+$7	09-14 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:20 UTC	13	$24	50	+50	Up	+$1	09-14 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:50 UTC	15	$23	67	+67	Down	-$3	09-14 22:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 01:05 UTC	11	$23	45	+45	Down	+$2	09-15 01:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:45 UTC	9	$23	40	+40	Down	-$3	09-14 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:40 UTC	9	$22	40	+40	Up	-$2	09-14 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:45 UTC	11	$22	45	+45	Down	+$3	09-14 22:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	8	$22	40	+40	Up	-$2	09-14 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:45 UTC	8	$22	40	+40	Down	-$2	09-14 21:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	9	$22	45	+45	Down	-$2	09-15 00:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:40 UTC	9	$21	40	+40	Up	-$1	09-14 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	11	$21	40	+40	Up	-$1	09-14 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:20 UTC	12	$21	45	+45	Up	-$1	09-15 02:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:25 UTC	9	$21	45	+45	Up	-$1	09-14 23:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:25 UTC	11	$21	40	+40	Up	-$1	09-15 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:10 UTC	11	$21	41	+41	Down	+$1	09-15 00:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:10 UTC	9	$21	40	+40	Down	-$1	09-14 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:35 UTC	8	$20	40	+40	Down	$0	09-14 21:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:35 UTC	10	$20	35	+35	Down	$0	09-14 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:20 UTC	10	$20	45	+45	Down	+$5	09-15 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:25 UTC	9	$20	41	+41	Down	+$1	09-15 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:35 UTC	12	$20	40	+40	Up	+$0	09-14 22:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	9	$20	40	+40	Down	+$0	09-15 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8cbb3d…
10-18 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6f1ba6…
10-18 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6ee917…
10-18 09:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe36e2e…
10-18 09:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x813c9d…
10-18 09:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x17e2be…
10-18 09:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14e0b1…
10-18 08:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa619af…
10-18 08:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3b5092…
10-18 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x012b1e…
10-18 08:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd0a8e2…
10-18 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x9457f6…
10-18 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x298c86…
10-18 00:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x4d155b…
10-18 00:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe492e1…
10-18 00:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x92907d…
10-18 00:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb413b9…
10-17 23:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x299d73…
10-17 23:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1ac0dd…
10-17 23:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x44a605…
10-17 23:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x03c60f…
10-17 23:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x0895b6…
10-17 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc9ad42…
10-17 23:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc87543…
10-17 23:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2c5ed4…
10-17 22:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9c09dd…
10-17 22:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x211bab…
09-20 06:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xc84059…
09-20 06:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb7c99e…
09-15 05:37:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2b9f3e…
09-15 05:37:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6b2dfc…
09-15 05:37:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf26d83…
09-15 05:36:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc36e28…
09-15 05:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x86f32d…
09-15 05:35:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd2d366…
09-15 05:35:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0e8993…
09-15 05:35:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5c2dd9…
09-15 05:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6f5a20…
09-15 05:35:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6846ff…
09-15 05:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c7152…
09-15 05:35:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x072bf6…
09-15 05:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb26afa…
09-15 05:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcad83e…
09-15 05:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd97a1…
09-15 05:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf47944…
09-15 05:33:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x54de70…
09-15 05:33:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4c5804…
09-15 05:33:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x97df94…
09-15 05:33:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x4eb4f9…
09-15 05:33:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x2e5232…
09-15 05:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x769cdb…
09-15 05:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2657b0…
09-15 05:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5da88b…
09-15 05:31:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdeee78…
09-15 05:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x71a622…
09-15 05:30:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4d5767…
09-15 05:30:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf7e55a…
09-15 05:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd19d2c…
09-15 05:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x25dd94…
09-15 05:30:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc83a63…
09-15 05:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x377004…
09-15 05:30:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3c7b0b…
09-15 05:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe016f0…
09-15 05:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x16ca56…
09-15 05:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3df741…
09-15 05:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3e26c7…
09-15 05:25:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6946eb…
09-15 05:25:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x704f8f…
09-15 05:25:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x210ec2…
09-15 05:25:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb2683e…
09-15 05:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf0ae6e…
09-15 05:25:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd2ca96…
09-15 05:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcb9fa0…
09-15 05:25:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x40f4ca…
09-15 05:25:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x028723…
09-15 05:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7eaa06…
09-15 05:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdf5aa9…
09-15 05:25:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc43aa0…
09-15 05:20:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc77a72…
09-15 05:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x7f6e80…
09-15 05:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5dfac1…
09-15 05:20:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7e9a3a…
09-15 05:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2e6824…
09-15 05:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4dc4c9…
09-15 05:20:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x239e6d…
09-15 05:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd497ec…
09-15 05:20:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf6178e…
09-15 05:15:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4f4ab7…
09-15 05:15:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6a1886…
09-15 05:15:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xde3d50…
09-15 05:15:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x619314…
09-15 05:15:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb2ad3b…
09-15 05:15:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1aee83…
09-15 05:15:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0a2146…
09-15 05:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1e905a…
09-15 05:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe42ca1…
09-15 05:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9097be…
09-15 05:15:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5fd507…
09-15 05:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9dbc2b…
09-15 05:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc08ea8…