Bleak-Unblinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

84% 97% +$20

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-29 15:31
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-01 04:20
will age of attraction season 1 be the top global netflix show this week 826	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-06 08:16
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-26 13:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 40 41f	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	03-18 21:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-25 11:15
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-03 12:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-21 06:49
highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 14c	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-17 07:16
highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 82forhigher	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-18 17:29
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-10 12:58
will anaconda be the 2 global netflix movie this week 495	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-21 13:36
white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-24 12:21
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-19 12:11
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:12
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-16 08:30
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 28 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 12:24
ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-15 10:42
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-17 03:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-16 02:43
Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-19 20:59
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 04:15
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 18c	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 05:22
bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:21
2026 us house election republican odds under 10 by march 31	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:42
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-02 20:11
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-30 22:27
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-09 16:00
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-04 17:29
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:04:34	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x03cdda…
08-31 03:23:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x617ebd…
07-08 04:15:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4de939…
07-08 04:01:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x6a14de…
07-02 16:21:40	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1a262c…
06-25 13:22:11	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcc425b…
06-25 12:10:44	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3254c8…
06-19 12:11:35	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x646d43…
06-18 17:42:08	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc1ca1c…
06-15 10:42:45	ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x989816…
06-10 12:58:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe03397…
06-09 14:39:28	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x816b66…
06-06 19:01:36	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe95011…
06-02 20:11:03	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x40bc2f…
06-01 20:07:15	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8cd65e…
05-30 22:27:29	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd918d8…
05-30 16:12:27	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa8f342…
05-29 15:31:19	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8105e4…
05-26 13:37:54	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xee15ab…
05-25 21:32:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe5eb88…
05-21 06:49:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x78ece7…
05-20 17:40:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xfe63ec…
05-19 20:59:14	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9652a3…
05-18 06:17:18	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x1b7e64…
05-15 08:29:21	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x23cbbe…
05-10 16:41:15	Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xba533d…
05-07 03:28:12	Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9d4fd6…
05-04 17:29:54	Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf860f7…
05-01 04:20:48	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe2d833…
04-29 10:14:34	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x417ce6…
04-24 12:21:22	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x22ff4f…
04-23 16:38:40	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x835d04…
04-21 13:36:52	will anaconda be the 2 global netflix movie this week 495	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x521157…
04-20 17:58:16	will anaconda be the 2 global netflix movie this week 495	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5e9836…
04-16 02:43:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd7feff…
04-14 18:54:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xb9af5a…
04-09 16:00:47	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x66bc2b…
04-06 08:16:37	will age of attraction season 1 be the top global netflix show this week 826	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x02284d…
04-06 00:32:39	will age of attraction season 1 be the top global netflix show this week 826	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x500b72…
04-03 12:31:11	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xbdbbc3…
04-02 00:13:49	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x4477da…
04-01 12:24:11	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x426c7b…
04-01 01:42:31	2026 us house election republican odds under 10 by march 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8b0219…
03-30 08:12:00	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x47cc45…
03-30 00:01:04	2026 us house election republican odds under 10 by march 31	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbf4ec2…
03-30 00:01:04	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4f54ed…
03-30 00:01:04	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4238fb…
03-27 08:12:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x00926a…
03-26 17:19:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe6444a…
03-25 11:15:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x7dd7cf…
03-24 23:00:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x5567d0…
03-20 06:46:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xac70f2…
03-20 03:20:41	highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x72c9be…
03-19 05:22:51	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb6f386…
03-19 02:50:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x3d4db4…
03-18 21:34:15	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x65ae8f…
03-18 17:29:59	highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 82forhigher	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xadd98a…
03-17 19:02:27	will the dinosaurs be the 2 global netflix show this week 475	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x73e48c…
03-17 15:43:33	highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf6cc76…
03-17 15:43:31	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xf245c7…
03-17 07:16:23	highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 14c	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x56d9b5…
03-17 07:10:31	highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 14c	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xe1bcde…
03-17 03:25:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x8f079d…
03-16 21:05:05	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x683dd3…
03-16 17:01:53	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa089d8…
03-16 12:01:33	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x5121c1…
03-16 08:30:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x639032…
03-16 07:10:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x94958c…
03-16 04:15:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 14c	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c1578…
03-16 01:16:15	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2906d4…
03-16 00:30:33	will the dinosaurs be the 2 global netflix show this week 475	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xb01206…
03-15 15:15:15	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa35e59…
03-15 00:46:09	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb5909b…
03-14 00:51:43	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce6ac3…
03-13 00:08:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc3344d…
03-12 19:17:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xaabe7f…
03-12 18:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x75cf66…
03-12 18:24:57	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb9d927…
03-11 04:19:29	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x85a0d4…
03-10 19:13:11	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x56bee6…
03-10 17:29:57	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x782c7b…
03-10 17:00:35	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf97928…
03-10 01:37:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2aa67…
03-09 10:20:59	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xec521c…
03-08 16:01:05	will scream 7 second weekend box office be less than 19m	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9815ea…
03-08 12:09:43	will scream 7 second weekend box office be less than 19m	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdba333…
03-07 19:48:29	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x66f37b…
03-06 13:31:13	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x109349…
03-06 00:13:05	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6b6c5d…
03-05 06:18:31	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7d78f5…
03-04 08:07:23	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb0c9bd…
03-04 03:18:03	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x33bf09…
03-02 21:42:05	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa53cb…
03-02 07:45:09	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x231836…
03-01 21:18:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x65d95a…
03-01 19:04:31	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x77e1ec…
03-01 11:51:11	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x935a6f…
02-28 21:30:55	will antti paalanen win umk 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4450d4…
02-28 17:04:35	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x67390b…
02-28 10:11:13	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb25e80…