Rude-Dumbwaiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:49
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:50
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:26
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:44
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:35
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:40
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0fb25…
10-31 09:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x329420…
10-30 09:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d9649…
10-29 17:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd48a2a…
10-29 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf8aa1…
10-28 05:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5604ef…
10-27 08:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33d687…
10-26 08:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5737c9…
10-24 09:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42c30d…
10-22 10:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33177d…
10-20 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6a92a…
10-19 08:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a78c5…
10-18 08:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4c609…
10-17 08:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a4bb0…
10-16 08:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91bf97…
10-15 08:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a894…
10-14 08:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb5804…
10-13 08:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cc736…
10-12 08:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb04fe6…
10-11 07:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb14ce…
10-08 08:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a5a37…
10-07 13:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe52947…
10-06 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfebdf0…
10-04 10:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03b859…
10-03 05:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x235be4…
10-02 07:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x340210…
10-01 08:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa03e9…
09-30 11:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2e6a…
09-29 09:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d1db4…
09-28 09:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8789f…
09-27 08:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe104f9…
09-25 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9393d6…
09-24 08:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x655317…
09-23 05:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6fc6b…
09-22 07:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc7324…
09-21 08:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x739add…
09-20 05:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe24b8…
09-19 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd8080…
09-18 01:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7734d9…
09-17 03:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddbdaa…
09-16 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4328e…
09-15 08:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29c227…
09-14 07:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17129a…
09-13 09:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x626a44…
09-12 10:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88bc8d…
09-11 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa225d7…
09-10 02:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa51018…
09-09 01:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce43ca…
09-08 01:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd99da3…
09-07 08:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe75894…
09-06 17:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa00e32…
09-06 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd73099…
09-05 09:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8238d8…
09-04 09:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3552d0…
09-03 08:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c3cd…
09-01 01:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09dc7e…
08-30 07:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6345c…
08-29 06:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe09039…
08-28 06:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf21c…
08-27 07:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13309a…
08-26 08:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x600ef8…
08-25 07:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fa59c…
08-24 09:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f865f…
08-23 08:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cda1d…
08-22 07:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa06163…
08-21 03:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5778a4…
08-20 08:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x753bf8…
08-19 08:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x591c55…
08-18 04:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e2e17…
08-17 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1af20e…
08-16 10:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a3a6…
08-15 08:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fe42e…
08-14 06:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f751e…
08-13 07:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9672d4…
08-12 07:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42f2f0…
08-11 00:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b0f96…
08-10 00:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x838e4a…
08-09 01:11:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa51519…
08-08 07:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb121f5…
08-07 00:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbfaa4…
08-06 00:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84dcbb…
08-05 07:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf3138…
08-04 07:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x555623…
08-03 01:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf398a9…
08-02 01:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d469f…
08-01 00:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92a4de…
07-31 07:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49ca73…
07-30 01:17:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98a353…
07-29 05:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb707a…
07-28 05:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8def7e…
07-27 07:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbef576…
07-26 06:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42e369…
07-25 00:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90a809…
07-24 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7a50d…
07-23 09:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa5773…
07-23 02:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81ef23…
07-22 01:40:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5409f3…
07-20 23:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28c1e…
07-20 02:14:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc27206…
07-18 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x181c06…