Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

165

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$233

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-05 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

90% 55% +$4

Politics

9% 78% +$7

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	11-02 12:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+2	$1	57¢	$1	$0	11-05 21:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	11-03 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-05 12:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-26 00:58
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-03 10:51
will warsh say independent or independence during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-21 16:54
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-27 14:22
spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	09-04 00:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-24 17:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 01:40
will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-27 22:24
will mu reach 1050 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 11:57
will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-29 07:42
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 17:40
Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 01:06
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-17 19:53
spy up or down on august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-10 15:01
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-18 12:32
spy up or down on august 27 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Up	-$2	08-26 22:18
will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-29 15:44
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-20 23:40
wti closes above 88 on august 21 2026	1	$2	11	+11	No	-$2	08-20 23:40
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 09:39
Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-01 09:11
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-25 03:44
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	08-12 09:54
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	11	+11	No	-$2	08-18 22:28
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 09:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 04:03
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-28 22:27
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-01 17:24
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-24 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x317786…
11-05 12:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x57d1ad…
11-03 04:06:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x16142b…
11-02 20:05:45	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9bef0e…
11-02 12:05:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb74d3c…
11-01 00:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9c03c6…
10-30 12:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8ad176…
10-30 04:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf8f053…
10-29 19:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x985c63…
10-29 10:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x599c25…
10-29 02:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3355f5…
10-22 01:20:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdaa891…
10-21 17:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x785174…
10-21 09:02:35	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcfdcf5…
10-17 11:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdb7cd9…
10-17 00:31:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a6f1f…
10-16 03:54:42	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x009d59…
10-15 18:58:10	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x23b9c5…
10-15 09:51:13	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf4dc99…
10-15 01:24:02	will wti dip to 90 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdcbd7e…
10-09 03:12:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x85c6f1…
10-08 19:12:06	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x42216f…
10-08 10:13:29	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa92d96…
10-08 02:13:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb1bb86…
10-07 14:58:44	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x684a0c…
10-07 14:24:04	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ab9e1…
10-06 16:05:24	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb2470c…
10-06 11:54:22	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfb5cf2…
10-06 08:02:34	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd74c5f…
10-05 13:23:43	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x157a6d…
10-04 20:14:16	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x41fdfe…
10-04 16:13:55	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a4d28…
10-04 16:13:52	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x041eaa…
10-04 06:55:08	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfe4e32…
10-04 06:55:07	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8e37f7…
10-04 06:14:22	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf7294e…
10-04 06:14:19	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe46a95…
10-04 05:31:01	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x25dc9a…
10-03 12:43:24	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x695996…
10-03 09:33:09	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3a365…
10-03 09:33:05	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3bfffc…
10-03 03:35:56	Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd50e75…
10-03 02:59:06	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf23482…
10-02 21:01:41	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6a8306…
10-02 18:41:42	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc8b8c0…
10-02 14:39:24	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6ec87b…
10-02 13:33:56	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x25fec9…
10-02 11:51:45	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2986fc…
10-02 07:24:59	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8a9bb1…
10-02 07:24:57	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x024dfa…
10-02 05:34:12	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0b05cc…
10-01 22:04:56	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x77b6fe…
10-01 10:15:26	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x134e8f…
10-01 09:47:39	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60d4ab…
10-01 05:58:05	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x20edce…
09-30 11:26:20	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xea1c89…
09-30 07:44:54	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6ff75c…
09-30 07:24:12	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xda0c9b…
09-30 06:43:15	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea8c17…
09-30 05:28:33	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd7af04…
09-30 05:28:32	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x208777…
09-30 04:57:36	Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7be92d…
09-30 03:19:57	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x29e5b9…
09-30 00:34:14	uslc rho iel 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd65eb4…
09-29 19:26:23	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x05851e…
09-29 06:41:27	uslc mia spo 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x392b83…
09-29 04:53:57	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbf6cc6…
09-28 05:14:35	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3e1d04…
09-28 04:51:41	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x887e71…
09-27 14:13:51	Will Club Almagro win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7a5dfd…
09-27 04:31:18	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x06969b…
09-26 17:40:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf9e301…
09-26 13:53:08	Birmingham City WFC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2eee59…
09-26 11:49:27	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x64cf47…
09-20 02:03:28	Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7065df…
09-17 08:56:22	Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x7f8ec0…
09-15 16:09:54	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7680d5…
09-15 13:10:09	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfad5ee…
09-15 08:43:12	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x65f50f…
09-15 05:27:57	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd5dd2b…
09-15 05:27:54	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa0c9cd…
09-14 23:29:42	RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x859d31…
09-14 20:52:18	IFK Varnamo vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4baf6e…
09-14 18:44:48	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbbf773…
09-14 17:55:57	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x812aef…
09-14 15:31:45	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd2a1d…
09-14 13:22:33	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcb0f29…
09-14 07:37:39	Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	Instituto AC Córdoba	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xea6b32…
09-14 05:07:19	Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe4dc2e…
09-14 04:19:15	Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x02fd55…
09-14 01:13:24	Djurgardens IF vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x15af63…
09-13 22:38:13	CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe26085…
09-13 21:40:37	CA Independiente vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x869b55…
09-13 18:29:55	CA Patronato Parana vs. CA Temperley: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9bebdf…
09-13 17:59:37	Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)	HNK Hajduk Split	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xea95c1…
09-13 16:00:31	HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc2bb25…
09-13 14:57:24	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9035b0…
09-13 14:57:21	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa21e98…
09-13 14:57:16	FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs. FK Zorya Luhansk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc52232…
09-13 13:25:30	Moss FK vs. FK Haugesund: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2b0deb…