Scientific-Vibration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

725

Trades

1,479

lifetime

Volume

$462.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-04 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 35% -$9,165

Other

38% 23% +$664

Politics

13% 21% -$3,901

Sports

2% 50% -$1,700

Tech

0% 0% -$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$18.7K	73,467	73,467	+0	No	+$6,309	05-10 00:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	6	$13.3K	15,521	15,521	+0	No	+$6,931	05-29 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$11.1K	8,897	8,897	+0	Yes	+$6,255	05-22 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$10.9K	43,627	43,627	+0	No	-$2,874	05-24 12:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	6	$8.7K	85,117	85,117	+0	No	-$4,819	05-08 14:45
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$8.5K	1,700,480	1,700,480	+0	No	-$1,700	06-16 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	5	$7.5K	10,751	10,751	+0	Yes	+$1,202	06-02 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	5	$7.4K	6,399	6,399	+0	Yes	+$3,771	06-15 15:45
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	2	$7.2K	4,800	4,800	+0	Yes	+$2,395	06-17 20:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$7.0K	21,524	14,019	+7,505	No	-$3,711	05-29 22:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6.6K	22,005	22,005	+0	No	+$1,841	05-20 19:38
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$6.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$5,617	04-29 16:27
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	2	$6.5K	29,412	3,824	+25,588	No	-$3,471	06-13 22:26
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	3	$5.7K	7,400	7,400	+0	No	-$1,740	06-17 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$5.6K	8,114	8,003	+111	No	+$1,699	05-05 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$5.2K	15,166	15,166	+0	No	-$2,798	05-31 08:08
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	3	$5.2K	9,183	9,183	+0	No	+$2,340	06-15 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$5.1K	3,758	3,758	+0	Up	+$2,320	05-24 11:10
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$5.0K	22,419	22,419	+0	No	-$1,617	05-13 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$4.6K	18,889	11,231	+7,658	No	-$3,072	05-26 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$4.4K	14,399	14,399	+0	No	-$1,439	05-21 00:25
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	2	$4.2K	7,134	7,134	+0	Yes	-$3,096	06-16 20:53
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score	4	$4.1K	10,067	8,932	+1,136	No	-$3,666	06-15 17:40
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	3	$4.0K	4,940	2,885	+2,056	No	-$1,098	07-03 00:58
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	1	$4.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	-$4,000	06-13 19:56
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	2	$3.8K	90,911	90,911	+0	No	-$182	06-14 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$3.5K	3,450	3,450	+0	No	+$1,657	05-22 08:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	3	$3.4K	4,721	4,721	+0	Yes	-$588	06-28 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$3.4K	49,143	49,143	+0	No	-$425	05-10 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:10 UTC	6	$3.1K	3,517	3,517	+0	Up	-$105	08-22 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x35775d…
11-04 14:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x69e169…
11-04 14:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x268fe7…
11-03 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8d0cef…
11-03 00:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x79ec20…
11-03 00:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x800c18…
11-03 00:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	648	18¢	$115	0x938290…
11-03 00:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	648	29¢	$188	0x5d10f9…
11-02 17:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	530	35¢	$185	0xeb1571…
11-02 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf279a2…
11-02 17:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	607	41¢	$250	0xf6aec1…
11-02 17:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	309	40¢	$124	0x9ccee9…
10-31 00:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x123f34…
10-30 22:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf375ee…
10-30 22:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd0ac19…
10-30 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa97eac…
10-30 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	297	37¢	$110	0xdc1c22…
10-30 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7b7d5c…
10-30 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xcf9318…
10-30 14:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xd11948…
10-30 14:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	86	19¢	$16	0xdb6802…
10-30 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x4a90f4…
10-30 14:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xb8231f…
10-30 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x4b1d30…
10-30 14:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	227	5¢	$12	0x33e402…
10-30 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xe21149…
10-29 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	506	40¢	$200	0x53d51d…
10-29 00:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x3a5a91…
10-29 00:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	231	41¢	$95	0xec78ff…
10-29 00:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	129	78¢	$101	0xcb7464…
10-29 00:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	541	46¢	$249	0x3dc068…
10-29 00:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xf6e580…
10-29 00:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	349	34¢	$120	0x1adff4…
10-29 00:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	127	25¢	$32	0xd761ac…
10-28 23:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfd9f5…
10-28 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	738	28¢	$208	0x85a963…
10-26 00:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0xf942c5…
10-26 00:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x52b7b5…
10-26 00:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x032518…
10-26 00:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcdb1e8…
10-25 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	112	32¢	$36	0x99f075…
10-25 09:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	91	7¢	$6	0x9e774c…
10-25 09:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	371	70¢	$259	0xdecb31…
10-25 09:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x2773dd…
10-25 09:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	371	38¢	$140	0xef14f8…
10-25 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	143	16¢	$23	0xc2433b…
10-25 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	438	78¢	$342	0x76bebb…
10-25 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xe5ab78…
10-25 09:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	438	32¢	$140	0x1087ea…
10-25 00:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x015c21…
10-25 00:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0xaff720…
10-25 00:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x781521…
10-25 00:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xe81fa4…
10-25 00:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0x909df5…
10-24 23:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	606	32¢	$196	0x0cb89a…
10-24 23:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0xd3828b…
10-24 23:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	89	18¢	$16	0x2fb920…
10-24 23:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	405	81¢	$327	0xfc90bc…
10-24 23:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x27aec2…
10-24 23:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	405	42¢	$170	0x3a3d67…
10-24 23:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	207	14¢	$29	0x240530…
10-24 23:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	207	30¢	$62	0xbcd276…
10-24 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x4d0ff5…
10-24 23:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	199	18¢	$36	0xc1403f…
10-24 23:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	199	31¢	$62	0x4177c7…
10-24 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	353	35¢	$124	0xe2eb72…
10-24 19:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	276	32¢	$89	0x708c60…
10-24 19:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x4330a4…
10-24 19:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x6f39a7…
10-24 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	889	7¢	$62	0xd03c10…
10-23 19:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xb8a2b5…
10-23 19:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x79000f…
10-22 17:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	167	42¢	$70	0xe81bae…
10-22 17:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xe8f922…
10-22 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0x9462e0…
10-20 18:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	42¢	$42	0x053110…
10-20 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	333	37¢	$123	0x1af180…
10-19 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0x1bd98f…
10-17 02:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	364	34¢	$124	0x2bcd5a…
10-17 00:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	107	45¢	$48	0xba42da…
10-17 00:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	371	5¢	$19	0x9d0360…
10-17 00:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	371	32¢	$119	0x9e9f16…
10-17 00:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	47	73¢	$34	0xf95ccf…
10-17 00:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	47	31¢	$14	0xc5e354…
10-17 00:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	912	44¢	$400	0x02d142…
10-17 00:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	562	99¢	$556	0x563ec1…
10-17 00:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	562	46¢	$259	0xe64993…
10-16 23:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,044	48¢	$498	0x2926ff…
10-16 23:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	479	59¢	$284	0x3d0d1a…
10-16 23:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1,285	16¢	$206	0x21db2a…
10-16 23:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	833	26¢	$213	0xad6294…
10-16 23:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	572	33¢	$187	0x0b3ae7…
10-16 23:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	510	21¢	$107	0x9f6a5d…
10-16 23:21:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	918	44¢	$400	0x7ec82f…
10-16 23:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x4e7956…
10-16 23:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,069	37¢	$395	0x6b660b…
10-16 23:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x3b711e…
10-16 22:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1,133	35¢	$400	0xfac30f…
10-16 22:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,355	24¢	$332	0xf01039…
10-16 22:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	261	26¢	$68	0x93efe9…