Noteworthy-Faith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

+$405

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

198

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$9.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$603

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-22 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% -$413

Other

1% 100% +$13

Politics

1% 0% -$15

Sports

1% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,033	-$682	32¢	$-336	+$346	05-08 11:00
will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	No	+254	$201	100¢	$254	+$53	10-14 19:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$10	46¢	$13	+$3	10-22 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-13	-$5	12¢	$-2	+$4	05-02 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$682	0	1,033	-1,033	open	—	05-08 11:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$505	3,385	0	+3,385	No	-$505	06-01 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$463	266	266	+0	Up	+$63	06-01 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:35 UTC	3	$305	179	177	+2	Down	+$48	03-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:30 UTC	2	$289	186	181	+6	Down	+$75	03-31 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$242	215	215	+0	Down	+$42	06-01 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:55 UTC	2	$238	162	159	+3	Up	+$80	03-29 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:35 UTC	3	$234	140	137	+3	Down	+$40	03-31 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	2	$229	135	133	+3	Up	+$31	03-31 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$218	119	119	+0	Down	+$18	06-01 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$210	220	220	+0	Down	+$10	06-01 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	2	$206	112	111	+1	Up	+$7	03-31 15:13
will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	1	$201	254	0	+254	open	—	10-14 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:00 UTC	2	$201	108	107	+1	Up	+$14	03-31 15:05
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	4	$197	140	140	+0	Yes	+$82	08-21 09:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	2	$187	263	263	+0	Up	-$13	08-17 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:05 UTC	2	$150	100	97	+3	Down	+$45	04-09 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:55 UTC	3	$142	88	86	+2	Up	+$30	04-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$132	83	83	+0	Down	+$32	06-02 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$128	96	96	+0	Down	+$28	06-03 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:05 UTC	2	$128	65	65	+0	Down	+$2	04-24 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:25 UTC	2	$118	96	93	+3	Up	+$13	04-24 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	6	$116	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	06-02 15:15
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$113	63	63	+0	Yes	+$13	04-08 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:55 UTC	2	$106	65	64	+2	Up	+$22	04-24 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	2	$103	67	65	+2	Down	+$25	04-08 16:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?	1	$100	345	0	+345	No	-$100	09-03 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:45 UTC	2	$99	80	78	+2	Down	+$8	04-24 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:50 UTC	4	$91	58	57	+2	Up	+$23	04-02 17:55
xrp above 1pt3 on august 21 2026	2	$89	78	78	+0	Yes	+$49	08-21 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 19:17:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7b48e1…
10-14 19:21:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	No	BUY	254	79¢	$201	0x969052…
09-03 16:15:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x20f113…
09-01 15:50:36	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x752f8b…
09-01 15:50:36	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x34ec18…
08-21 09:01:13	will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x31d749…
08-21 08:57:40	xrp above 1pt3 on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	78	89¢	$69	0xe90ef4…
08-20 21:31:18	xrp above 1pt5 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x973e8e…
08-20 21:30:34	xrp above 1pt3 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0xaa844e…
08-20 18:23:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x8d344c…
08-20 18:23:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	128	2¢	$2	0x257925…
08-20 18:20:48	will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xb41bea…
08-20 18:20:31	will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf64fea…
08-20 18:19:48	will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x356027…
08-17 00:34:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	263	33¢	$87	0xfc98b6…
08-17 00:33:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xc594e9…
08-17 00:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x910917…
08-17 00:20:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa1f252…
08-16 18:33:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x7c5e4e…
08-16 18:33:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x59c8d5…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x32da54…
07-19 19:58:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xc8d7a6…
07-19 18:58:42	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x0835b7…
06-07 13:11:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	403	9¢	$37	0x3886ca…
06-05 15:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x1fed1a…
06-05 15:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcaaaf6…
06-05 15:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa62e4f…
06-03 15:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x694f23…
06-03 15:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x653807…
06-03 15:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2e606a…
06-03 15:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x23c826…
06-03 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x865832…
06-03 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbec255…
06-03 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	96	82¢	$78	0x0ef753…
06-03 15:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x845b6e…
06-03 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x887cc3…
06-03 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xed6a98…
06-03 13:53:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	403	12¢	$50	0xb893c1…
06-03 12:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe63274…
06-03 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x1b6df5…
06-03 11:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x546d31…
06-03 09:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x6b7663…
06-03 09:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x499099…
06-02 19:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x64026b…
06-02 19:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x607a1b…
06-02 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	71¢	$33	0x54f1eb…
06-02 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb6d0dd…
06-02 19:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xced287…
06-02 19:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5af307…
06-02 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x423d82…
06-02 19:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x5e090d…
06-02 19:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x17b595…
06-02 19:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xce9c72…
06-02 19:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbdaad8…
06-02 19:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0b6523…
06-02 15:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	45	83¢	$38	0xcdf36c…
06-02 15:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3e6e78…
06-02 15:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xc86f62…
06-02 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6a0ec2…
06-02 15:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0x7b7bb9…
06-02 15:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x3bd4a9…
06-02 15:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xe78abe…
06-02 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x3e972c…
06-02 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xf645c1…
06-02 15:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x19c58a…
06-02 15:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x29221f…
06-02 15:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x88c0f3…
06-02 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	34	79¢	$27	0x5ee2aa…
06-02 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xd306f9…
06-02 15:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0xb82176…
06-02 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xf32ab3…
06-02 14:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2e4b1b…
06-02 08:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x997760…
06-01 21:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x8e0748…
06-01 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x10d675…
06-01 21:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5d4576…
06-01 21:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe7226a…
06-01 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x054efb…
06-01 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	220	50¢	$110	0x56ad19…
06-01 18:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x581673…
06-01 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	215	66¢	$142	0xaa68b5…
06-01 17:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x6b91b5…
06-01 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	266	99¢	$263	0x5f04e0…
06-01 17:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xdb23b3…
06-01 17:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0630fb…
06-01 17:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5c99df…
06-01 17:03:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xc5cf69…
06-01 15:59:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	885	56¢	$500	0xe723c2…
05-08 11:00:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,033	66¢	$682	0x5fa319…
05-02 19:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x592417…
05-02 19:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22d330…
05-02 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe85286…
05-02 19:13:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x8dd5b9…
04-24 15:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	89	70¢	$62	0x074fdf…
04-24 15:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5cb340…
04-24 15:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	93	69¢	$64	0x95170c…
04-24 15:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	96	56¢	$54	0xe08bd6…
04-24 15:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x998efe…
04-24 15:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	55	63¢	$35	0x8851e3…
04-24 15:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdb2c56…