Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

493

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-26 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

58% 26% -$74

Crypto

42% 41% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-26 17:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	5	$36	54	37	+17	Yes	+$29	03-22 04:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	6	$21	35	12	+23	No	-$1	03-23 02:45
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 19c	5	$19	51	51	+0	No	-$3	03-22 01:00
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 17c	4	$18	84	44	+40	No	-$1	03-22 03:33
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 14c	3	$17	35	35	+0	No	-$6	03-21 10:42
highest temperature in singapore on march 25 2026 33c	3	$16	20	10	+10	Yes	+$4	03-25 05:04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	3	$15	20	10	+10	No	$0	10-20 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$15	25	5	+20	Yes	-$1	06-30 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:20 UTC	5	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$8	07-17 07:24
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	4	$13	31	31	+0	Yes	-$7	03-24 06:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	5	$13	17	16	+0	Yes	+$3	04-03 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	2	$12	10	5	+5	Yes	+$2	06-27 15:07
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	7	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	04-14 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$11	40	20	+20	No	-$2	06-26 06:15
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$11	25	9	+16	Yes	+$12	03-22 01:48
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	3	$11	30	10	+20	No	+$1	04-04 13:40
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	3	$10	25	25	+0	Yes	-$6	03-27 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$10	210	5	+205	No	-$3	06-23 15:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	3	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	04-08 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 19:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 15c	3	$8	25	25	+0	No	-$2	03-24 04:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-26 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 03:35 UTC	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	06-30 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	3	$7	10	6	+4	Yes	+$7	07-24 13:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 18c	4	$7	15	15	+0	No	-$4	03-27 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:20 UTC	3	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	06-30 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 10:15 UTC	3	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	07-01 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$7	10	5	+5	Yes	+$5	10-09 08:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	3	$7	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-25 06:04
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 15c	2	$7	18	18	+0	No	-$3	03-26 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x888326…
10-26 16:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5da86a…
10-26 06:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18761c…
10-23 12:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1a62fa…
10-23 12:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x08a6c8…
10-23 11:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x017e1e…
10-23 11:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x698b6e…
10-23 11:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbca4d0…
10-23 11:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb75219…
10-23 11:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaa0fb3…
10-23 11:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4aa544…
10-23 11:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x50e178…
10-23 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2c3138…
10-23 11:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e0de4…
10-23 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc35ea8…
10-23 11:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x24010c…
10-23 11:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe516b…
10-23 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9d00b9…
10-23 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5f0a09…
10-23 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0b874b…
10-23 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5c5101…
10-23 04:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe768a2…
10-23 04:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfec778…
10-23 04:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9871bf…
10-22 21:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5363eb…
10-22 21:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x05d979…
10-22 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcfe825…
10-22 20:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x02e465…
10-22 20:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x05ce6f…
10-22 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x497533…
10-22 20:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x251b58…
10-22 20:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7ca4a8…
10-22 20:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xabb203…
10-22 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd23f9d…
10-22 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x17ed07…
10-22 20:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc13ccb…
10-22 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xdebee8…
10-22 20:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4a77c8…
10-22 20:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xabe764…
10-22 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x352ba3…
10-22 20:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f5b7f…
10-22 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7e5d42…
10-22 20:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6a0b22…
10-22 20:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x60a568…
10-22 20:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x156242…
10-22 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaa8b55…
10-22 19:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7a0050…
10-22 19:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x54e15a…
10-22 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ee9c9…
10-22 19:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc94b74…
10-22 19:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xba82c1…
10-22 19:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x71f762…
10-22 19:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe397f7…
10-22 19:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x58e1b3…
10-22 19:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdee5ec…
10-22 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x876d2e…
10-22 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa07448…
10-22 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94ea94…
10-22 19:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2053c3…
10-22 19:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4b4292…
10-22 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9ea44b…
10-22 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb61dcc…
10-22 19:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e31b9…
10-22 19:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2826b2…
10-22 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2e327…
10-22 14:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xcf907a…
10-22 14:05:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x633758…
10-22 11:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x270ebb…
10-22 08:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x627907…
10-22 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8d45af…
10-22 08:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x060da5…
10-22 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xa9918f…
10-22 08:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5ea32c…
10-22 08:08:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x706158…
10-22 07:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x4ae3aa…
10-22 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9cf4b5…
10-22 07:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xa8ebd8…
10-22 07:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1c4b3…
10-22 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x369ff6…
10-22 07:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x7632d4…
10-22 07:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x101f53…
10-22 07:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9518de…
10-22 07:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00d696…
10-22 06:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b377c…
10-22 06:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x880535…
10-22 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a7fc1…
10-22 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x94c66d…
10-22 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe387fe…
10-22 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8352f3…
10-22 06:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdbbf02…
10-22 06:27:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x029545…
10-22 06:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x700b8e…
10-20 14:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xb88b2d…
10-20 11:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd4b5c6…
10-19 06:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb7f5d6…
10-19 05:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x003b62…
10-12 15:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x45fc8e…
10-11 05:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa2c378…
10-09 08:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf4d51c…
10-09 04:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x879b10…