Stable-Chestnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-15 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 100% +$2

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	18	$2.7K	1,374	1,370	+4	open	—	03-30 08:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 28	3	$1.5K	780	730	+50	open	—	03-27 15:05
ethereum above 2300 on march 27	2	$1.4K	700	670	+30	open	—	03-27 06:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	2	$1.2K	605	600	+5	open	—	03-26 13:42
will bitcoin reach 78k march 23 29	2	$1.1K	570	559	+11	open	—	03-28 23:55
bitcoin above 68k on march 30	4	$1.0K	511	500	+11	open	—	03-30 15:57
ethereum above 2000 on april 5	4	$849	428	422	+6	open	—	04-05 15:46
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$839	850	0	+850	open	—	04-09 03:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$779	783	0	+783	open	—	04-15 11:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	3	$728	373	362	+11	open	—	04-11 15:14
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$699	700	0	+700	open	—	04-08 05:27
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	1	$627	630	0	+630	open	—	03-31 15:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$571	287	285	+2	open	—	03-30 07:52
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	1	$529	530	0	+530	open	—	03-27 15:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$500	503	0	+503	open	—	05-23 07:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	2	$500	0	500	-500	open	—	05-29 15:39
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	1	$499	500	0	+500	open	—	04-05 16:53
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	1	$499	500	0	+500	open	—	04-22 09:00
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 30	1	$499	499	0	+499	open	—	03-30 16:00
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	3	$480	244	240	+4	open	—	03-05 09:56
ethereum above 2400 on april 12	5	$448	230	223	+7	open	—	04-12 10:35
solana above 80 on april 10	4	$401	205	200	+5	open	—	04-10 15:49
ethereum above 2000 on april 14	3	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 07:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 10	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-10 15:57
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	2	$388	287	105	+182	open	—	04-06 15:31
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	3	$379	202	180	+22	open	—	03-26 13:43
will erwann davoux win the marseille mayor election	2	$339	170	170	+0	open	—	03-13 10:23
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	1	$331	333	0	+333	open	—	04-12 13:50
ethereum above 2300 on april 12	1	$331	340	0	+340	open	—	04-12 05:34
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$316	170	150	+20	open	—	03-16 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:27:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd5364d…
06-02 14:48:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x1e0a5a…
05-29 15:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaf7d39…
05-29 15:39:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x735e24…
05-29 14:07:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x7387dd…
05-23 07:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0x05a22e…
05-19 13:50:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x1871ab…
05-19 13:25:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7c4fdc…
05-19 13:25:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9b6be8…
05-12 15:05:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc4dddf…
05-12 14:41:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x48e8b0…
05-12 12:01:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0ad03e…
04-22 09:00:54	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf3b95d…
04-22 07:33:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x1fd9ad…
04-15 11:04:38	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	783	100¢	$779	0x24311a…
04-14 07:11:13	ethereum above 2000 on april 14	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xc5466f…
04-13 07:44:53	btc updown 5m 1776066000	Down	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x53cb0d…
04-13 07:44:29	btc updown 5m 1776066000	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe53ee1…
04-13 07:44:09	btc updown 5m 1776066000	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xafc51b…
04-13 07:03:39	ethereum above 2000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	191	99¢	$188	0x34caf4…
04-13 06:39:29	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x7df291…
04-13 06:35:27	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5c032f…
04-13 06:33:13	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x860e4e…
04-13 06:22:31	ethereum above 2000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x32a685…
04-13 06:14:39	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa82912…
04-13 06:12:13	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7365d1…
04-13 06:07:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x84e6e2…
04-13 06:06:25	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x669482…
04-12 13:50:57	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0x2b3281…
04-12 10:35:33	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x29120c…
04-12 10:10:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x07906b…
04-12 10:06:13	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x6978ce…
04-12 10:04:45	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2bb17c…
04-12 08:42:55	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x9fe7cc…
04-12 08:42:25	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8e7ffb…
04-12 08:42:21	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x61fc9d…
04-12 05:34:01	ethereum above 2300 on april 12	No	BUY	340	97¢	$331	0x465820…
04-11 15:24:31	ethereum above 2300 on april 11	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb16151…
04-11 15:20:07	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xc296de…
04-11 15:15:37	ethereum above 2300 on april 11	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2c511a…
04-11 15:14:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 11	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xc668ff…
04-11 15:14:03	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	SELL	362	100¢	$362	0x2138b3…
04-11 05:16:17	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	230	98¢	$225	0xebe54d…
04-10 15:57:35	bitcoin above 72k on april 10	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x141fd4…
04-10 15:53:21	bitcoin above 72k on april 10	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x595baa…
04-10 15:49:19	solana above 80 on april 10	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xd60c65…
04-10 07:54:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$131	0x1e8f55…
04-10 07:22:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x08e500…
04-10 07:22:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xae3989…
04-10 07:20:53	solana above 80 on april 10	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd8f7e8…
04-10 07:20:03	solana above 80 on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x90fc4e…
04-10 07:20:01	solana above 80 on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0d7681…
04-10 07:18:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x81884d…
04-10 07:18:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2c0232…
04-10 07:15:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf9463f…
04-10 07:13:23	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x7e419e…
04-10 07:13:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	343	98¢	$337	0x5934e8…
04-09 03:15:05	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	850	99¢	$839	0xd8a318…
04-08 13:35:03	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x659739…
04-08 05:47:13	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x9a941a…
04-08 05:27:41	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x7c8d8e…
04-07 03:58:23	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xde813b…
04-07 03:58:09	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x0e1b92…
04-06 15:31:43	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf75e1b…
04-06 06:58:25	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	287	99¢	$284	0xb5a32c…
04-05 16:53:49	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x583df7…
04-05 15:46:21	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	SELL	422	100¢	$422	0xab8454…
04-05 15:24:29	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fb4e3…
04-05 15:24:19	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9376df…
04-05 15:24:07	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$366	0xba3375…
04-05 15:22:29	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xbfe4b9…
03-31 15:19:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	630	100¢	$627	0x1c5c6d…
03-30 16:00:47	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 30	No	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0x08969b…
03-30 15:57:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x6b2921…
03-30 15:56:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	No	BUY	498	100¢	$496	0xdd9379…
03-30 15:55:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x096e79…
03-30 15:46:31	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ad885…
03-30 15:46:11	will bitcoin dip to 61k on march 30	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa231fd…
03-30 15:40:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x440f0b…
03-30 14:49:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5291d…
03-30 14:46:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x7abdea…
03-30 14:45:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xc7eb38…
03-30 14:44:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe1cc8a…
03-30 09:08:50	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64999d…
03-30 09:08:48	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xfc30a9…
03-30 08:54:00	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x99686c…
03-30 08:53:42	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x77f394…
03-30 08:52:44	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x12a0c3…
03-30 08:51:14	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xa610da…
03-30 08:50:54	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x11a89f…
03-30 08:50:50	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x7ede5e…
03-30 08:50:48	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x3f0270…
03-30 08:50:44	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x3de58a…
03-30 08:50:34	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xb2c4e7…
03-30 08:50:34	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46c69c…
03-30 08:28:06	atp basilas michals 2026 03 29	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xaeb9d4…
03-30 07:55:56	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	704	100¢	$702	0xcc4f60…
03-30 07:52:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	285	100¢	$284	0x679733…
03-29 19:02:54	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xa836f1…
03-29 18:53:12	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	174	99¢	$173	0xa8755c…