Happy-Tofu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

255

Trades

5,692

lifetime

Volume

$119.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-24 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

93% 39% -$5,310

Politics

6% 48% +$565

Crypto

1% 50% -$198

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	106	$4.3K	6,038	2,887	+3,151	No	-$1,235	07-23 22:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	87	$3.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	+$1,268	07-22 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	99	$3.6K	5,579	3,479	+2,100	Yes	+$1,234	08-26 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	80	$3.2K	3,371	2,543	+828	No	+$240	07-21 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	56	$2.8K	2,739	1,139	+1,600	No	-$1,412	07-29 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	96	$2.8K	3,176	2,976	+200	No	+$425	08-19 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	76	$2.7K	3,150	3,150	+0	No	-$212	08-22 15:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	31	$2.6K	1,860	1,860	+0	Yes	+$511	07-20 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	110	$2.5K	5,526	3,486	+2,040	No	-$520	09-04 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	62	$2.3K	3,003	3,003	+0	No	+$61	08-28 03:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	37	$1.9K	1,659	1,659	+0	Yes	+$916	08-21 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	141	$1.9K	10,650	5,336	+5,314	No	-$597	07-23 22:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	32	$1.9K	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	+$150	07-18 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	40	$1.7K	1,267	1,267	+0	Yes	+$243	08-04 13:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	23	$1.5K	1,117	1,117	+0	Yes	+$689	08-24 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	43	$1.5K	4,650	1,450	+3,200	Yes	-$16	09-02 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	33	$1.5K	1,149	1,149	+0	Yes	+$204	08-05 04:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	86	$1.5K	3,636	2,859	+778	No	-$247	07-29 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	31	$1.4K	1,694	784	+910	Yes	+$238	08-28 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	51	$1.2K	1,758	1,538	+220	Yes	+$159	08-18 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	54	$1.2K	1,745	1,745	+0	Yes	+$166	07-21 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	37	$1.2K	6,034	814	+5,220	Yes	+$351	08-31 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	11	$1.2K	820	820	+0	Yes	+$234	09-01 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	56	$1.2K	1,771	1,040	+731	No	-$240	09-04 22:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	84	$1.2K	4,891	3,180	+1,711	No	-$405	07-24 14:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	44	$1.2K	1,859	1,062	+797	No	+$101	08-03 15:26
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	91	$1.1K	3,718	450	+3,268	No	-$1,002	09-01 11:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	44	$1.1K	2,398	319	+2,079	Yes	+$1,222	07-26 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	37	$1.1K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$259	08-29 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	23	$1.0K	1,365	1,365	+0	No	+$19	08-28 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 05:54:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xccc70b…
10-24 01:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf7d99e…
10-24 00:59:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0x5fa889…
10-23 19:52:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1d6bfc…
10-23 19:52:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc5f480…
10-23 19:52:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x36d29d…
10-23 19:52:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x247487…
10-23 19:52:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa58843…
10-23 19:52:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd552cc…
10-23 19:52:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x14b011…
10-23 19:51:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x70eca6…
10-23 19:51:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc0132b…
10-23 19:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x1c0b70…
10-23 19:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf6c6df…
10-23 19:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x25bc89…
10-23 19:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x371881…
10-23 19:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xd53a1a…
10-23 19:29:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6eba7f…
10-23 19:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x38631b…
10-23 19:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x2b5e4c…
10-23 18:47:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4751bf…
10-23 18:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf00a69…
10-23 18:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xce07ea…
10-23 18:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x9bc213…
10-23 18:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x1339d3…
10-23 18:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x60fd6f…
10-23 18:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xa616bd…
10-23 18:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xbba672…
10-23 18:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xa58a0a…
10-23 18:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x4845cf…
10-23 18:45:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x02aa22…
10-23 18:24:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4e91ac…
10-23 18:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x298023…
10-14 02:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4832f7…
10-13 07:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc39966…
10-13 07:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa47400…
10-13 07:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5b831b…
10-13 07:40:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcfc914…
10-13 07:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x1245cf…
10-13 03:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0x24abb7…
10-13 03:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x96eae5…
10-13 03:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	18¢	$11	0xae9894…
10-13 03:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0x507b23…
10-13 03:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8fe0bd…
10-13 03:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x4e9cad…
10-13 03:17:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$1	0x6eea7f…
10-13 03:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x8b8900…
10-13 03:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3e3cb6…
10-13 02:50:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5b41d8…
10-13 02:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9153b3…
10-13 02:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xaeaf8c…
10-13 02:43:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3e7eef…
10-13 02:43:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0xfa74c6…
10-13 02:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc3b9a5…
10-13 02:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xdc49a0…
10-13 02:43:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x696101…
10-12 20:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x7e5383…
10-12 20:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x69c821…
10-12 20:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xed847c…
10-12 18:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xe886bc…
10-12 18:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0139de…
10-12 18:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x85a7d9…
10-12 17:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe25298…
10-12 17:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x80538e…
10-12 16:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xbacbdf…
10-12 16:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9cecb3…
10-12 16:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4f0c21…
10-12 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x730074…
10-12 16:09:35	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xe49ec2…
10-12 16:07:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x37c8ad…
10-12 16:04:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe425ae…
10-12 16:02:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1d59a2…
10-12 16:01:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0xbbb551…
10-12 16:01:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe33ea3…
10-12 16:00:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xb81d54…
10-12 16:00:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	9¢	$15	0xd31727…
10-12 16:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0xb602f3…
10-11 09:30:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xec09d1…
10-11 08:31:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xb507e1…
10-10 23:51:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xfb2112…
10-10 23:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x20b221…
10-10 23:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xc4c921…
10-10 23:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	46¢	$53	0xa86770…
10-10 23:50:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x8c0625…
10-10 23:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x91c0eb…
10-10 23:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	46¢	$68	0xf4d486…
10-10 23:49:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf0bb15…
10-10 23:49:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9973e6…
10-10 23:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x319b17…
10-10 23:49:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x252671…
10-10 23:49:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	11¢	$19	0x431eb1…
09-26 19:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	13¢	$12	0x870f27…
09-26 19:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xe3e34f…
09-26 01:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xefc52c…
09-26 01:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xb870a4…
09-26 01:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x57fca2…
09-26 01:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2f21e5…
09-26 01:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xdc167a…
09-26 01:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x67c690…
09-26 01:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe16c76…