Dependent-Familiar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

193

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-19 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 53% +$90

Other

5% 18% -$39

Sports

2% 0% -$24

Politics

1% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$327	218	218	+0	Down	+$104	05-16 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$244	404	375	+29	Down	+$79	05-13 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$165	104	104	+0	Up	+$38	05-16 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$163	183	173	+10	Up	+$81	04-26 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	20	$160	239	239	+0	Up	+$36	05-11 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$146	168	168	+0	Down	+$42	05-26 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$112	195	195	+0	Up	+$28	05-30 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$111	315	315	+0	Up	+$27	05-04 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$98	182	164	+18	Down	+$20	05-15 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:50 UTC	2	$98	65	63	+2	Up	+$29	04-17 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$87	182	182	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 02:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	5	$85	110	78	+32	Up	-$10	06-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$71	200	200	+0	Up	+$23	05-30 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$70	145	136	+9	Down	+$26	04-26 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$69	109	109	+0	Down	+$19	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$67	37	37	+0	Down	+$7	05-27 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$65	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	05-27 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:35 UTC	1	$56	98	0	+98	Down	-$56	04-14 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$56	31	31	+0	Up	+$6	05-27 17:49
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	2	$53	46	46	+0	United States	+$32	06-13 02:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:25 UTC	1	$48	251	0	+251	Down	-$48	06-06 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$48	87	87	+0	Up	+$6	05-30 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$47	72	68	+4	Down	+$10	04-27 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:55 UTC	1	$47	102	0	+102	Down	-$47	04-18 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$44	102	102	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$42	52	0	+52	Down	-$42	05-27 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$39	74	74	+0	Down	+$7	05-30 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$38	89	89	+0	Down	+$18	05-26 02:38
mlb hou sea 2026 04 11	3	$37	38	18	+20	Seattle Mariners	-$1	04-12 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$37	58	58	+0	Down	+$16	05-16 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x633c9e…
06-13 23:04:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0xd81979…
06-13 23:01:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0xcf6d14…
06-13 23:01:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0x212bf7…
06-13 23:01:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0x654d49…
06-13 23:01:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x07ff9f…
06-13 22:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	48	17¢	$8	0xda2407…
06-13 22:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x1dedeb…
06-13 22:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0x7edaa9…
06-13 22:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xb9e01e…
06-13 22:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xa32a85…
06-13 22:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0x1f3949…
06-13 22:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x21a786…
06-13 02:11:09	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	SELL	46	93¢	$42	0xe53459…
06-12 21:07:28	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	46	23¢	$10	0x7e500e…
06-08 00:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x805040…
06-08 00:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x1052ae…
06-08 00:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xe0edff…
06-08 00:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x764793…
06-06 06:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	251	19¢	$48	0xa935d7…
06-06 06:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x157588…
06-06 06:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4815c9…
06-06 06:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x855885…
05-30 03:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	21¢	$14	0x76ed6d…
05-30 02:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0xb1a59e…
05-30 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	195	22¢	$42	0xa0f68d…
05-30 01:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	200	24¢	$47	0xc19675…
05-30 01:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x62ae14…
05-30 01:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	87	31¢	$27	0x34cd29…
05-30 01:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	87	24¢	$21	0xe46607…
05-30 01:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	31¢	$23	0x3976c6…
05-30 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	22¢	$16	0x57ae7f…
05-27 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xc8c43d…
05-27 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9b995…
05-27 21:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0x5accf3…
05-27 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x815e59…
05-27 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x019cb2…
05-27 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe05f58…
05-27 21:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xcce6a8…
05-27 19:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xa159f6…
05-27 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xe6f082…
05-27 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xab65ca…
05-27 17:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x82bc3e…
05-27 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1e709a…
05-26 03:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	168	56¢	$94	0xfe74d7…
05-26 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	168	31¢	$52	0x3f0501…
05-26 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7833c3…
05-26 02:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x08c3f6…
05-26 02:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd4284f…
05-26 02:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6d18e4…
05-26 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	36	32¢	$11	0x4b82bb…
05-26 02:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa9cb76…
05-26 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x6b3278…
05-26 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xd685a5…
05-26 02:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa02885…
05-26 02:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb28302…
05-26 02:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	32¢	$28	0xad8677…
05-26 02:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xfd1698…
05-26 02:37:19	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1e4d68…
05-26 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x8f385b…
05-24 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7ab4a5…
05-24 01:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x6231dc…
05-24 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x21f3d8…
05-24 01:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x1d3d9e…
05-24 01:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6ae0bb…
05-24 01:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x37d058…
05-23 09:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x88bdcd…
05-16 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	218	99¢	$215	0x829eeb…
05-16 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	218	51¢	$111	0xf55bfc…
05-16 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x192437…
05-16 08:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x66a4cb…
05-16 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xc6338e…
05-16 08:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x267db6…
05-16 08:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0xeac129…
05-16 08:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	104	61¢	$63	0x750b46…
05-16 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07790a…
05-16 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xdd06a0…
05-16 08:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5fdccf…
05-16 08:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf6e34c…
05-16 08:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfebecb…
05-16 07:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc4885d…
05-15 02:35:30	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb2ca78…
05-15 02:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x4a74eb…
05-15 02:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd05edb…
05-15 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xc1529e…
05-15 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x041ae2…
05-15 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x355d12…
05-15 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x1f929c…
05-15 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	128	25¢	$33	0x693363…
05-15 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x0d1025…
05-15 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	164	36¢	$59	0x9ef10b…
05-15 01:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	164	20¢	$33	0x08b0d2…
05-15 01:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	73	13¢	$9	0xa8eb9d…
05-15 01:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x593bb4…
05-13 00:16:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xffa254…
05-13 00:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x617440…
05-13 00:13:43	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4fc881…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	54	40¢	$22	0x8beb75…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4f9b4d…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x2c3e1e…