Dependent-Familiar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$3.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-08 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 53% +$97

Other

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$327	218	218	+0	open	—	05-16 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$244	404	375	+29	Down	+$79	05-13 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$163	183	173	+10	open	—	04-26 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	20	$160	239	239	+0	Up	+$36	05-11 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$146	168	168	+0	open	—	05-26 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$112	195	195	+0	open	—	05-30 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$111	315	315	+0	open	—	05-04 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$98	182	164	+18	open	—	05-15 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776462600	2	$98	65	63	+2	open	—	04-17 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$87	182	182	+0	open	—	05-04 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$71	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$70	145	136	+9	open	—	04-26 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$69	109	109	+0	Down	+$19	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$67	37	37	+0	open	—	05-27 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	05-27 19:49
btc updown 5m 1776162900	1	$56	98	0	+98	open	—	04-14 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	05-27 17:49
btc updown 5m 1780727100	1	$48	251	0	+251	open	—	06-06 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$48	87	87	+0	open	—	05-30 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$47	72	68	+4	open	—	04-27 20:43
btc updown 5m 1776470100	1	$47	102	0	+102	open	—	04-18 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$44	102	102	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$42	52	0	+52	open	—	05-27 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$39	74	74	+0	open	—	05-30 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$38	89	89	+0	open	—	05-26 02:38
mlb hou sea 2026 04 11	3	$37	38	18	+20	open	—	04-12 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$34	55	53	+3	open	—	04-26 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$34	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 23:27
btc updown 5m 1776023100	1	$33	51	0	+51	open	—	04-12 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$33	128	0	+128	open	—	05-15 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 00:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780878300	Down	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x805040…
06-08 00:22:03	btc updown 5m 1780878000	Down	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x1052ae…
06-08 00:21:01	btc updown 5m 1780878000	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xe0edff…
06-08 00:18:22	btc updown 5m 1780877700	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x764793…
06-06 06:27:03	btc updown 5m 1780727100	Up	BUY	251	19¢	$48	0xa935d7…
06-06 06:24:12	btc updown 5m 1780726800	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4815c9…
06-06 06:23:57	btc updown 5m 1780726800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x855885…
05-30 03:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	21¢	$14	0x76ed6d…
05-30 02:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0xb1a59e…
05-30 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	195	22¢	$42	0xa0f68d…
05-30 01:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	200	24¢	$47	0xc19675…
05-30 01:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x62ae14…
05-30 01:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	87	31¢	$27	0x34cd29…
05-30 01:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	87	24¢	$21	0xe46607…
05-30 01:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	31¢	$23	0x3976c6…
05-30 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	22¢	$16	0x57ae7f…
05-27 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xc8c43d…
05-27 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9b995…
05-27 21:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0x5accf3…
05-27 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x815e59…
05-27 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x019cb2…
05-27 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe05f58…
05-27 21:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xcce6a8…
05-27 19:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xa159f6…
05-27 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xe6f082…
05-27 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xab65ca…
05-27 17:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x82bc3e…
05-27 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1e709a…
05-26 03:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	168	56¢	$94	0xfe74d7…
05-26 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	168	31¢	$52	0x3f0501…
05-26 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7833c3…
05-26 02:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x08c3f6…
05-26 02:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd4284f…
05-26 02:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6d18e4…
05-26 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xd685a5…
05-26 02:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa02885…
05-26 02:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb28302…
05-26 02:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	32¢	$28	0xad8677…
05-26 02:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xfd1698…
05-26 02:37:19	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1e4d68…
05-26 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x8f385b…
05-24 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7ab4a5…
05-24 01:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x6231dc…
05-24 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x21f3d8…
05-24 01:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x1d3d9e…
05-24 01:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6ae0bb…
05-24 01:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x37d058…
05-23 09:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x88bdcd…
05-16 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	218	99¢	$215	0x829eeb…
05-16 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	218	51¢	$111	0xf55bfc…
05-16 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x192437…
05-16 08:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x66a4cb…
05-16 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07790a…
05-16 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xdd06a0…
05-16 08:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5fdccf…
05-16 08:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfebecb…
05-16 07:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc4885d…
05-15 02:35:30	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb2ca78…
05-15 02:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x4a74eb…
05-15 02:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd05edb…
05-15 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xc1529e…
05-15 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x041ae2…
05-15 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x355d12…
05-15 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x1f929c…
05-15 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	128	25¢	$33	0x693363…
05-15 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x0d1025…
05-15 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	164	36¢	$59	0x9ef10b…
05-15 01:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	164	20¢	$33	0x08b0d2…
05-15 01:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	73	13¢	$9	0xa8eb9d…
05-15 01:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x593bb4…
05-13 00:16:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xffa254…
05-13 00:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x617440…
05-13 00:13:43	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4fc881…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	54	40¢	$22	0x8beb75…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4f9b4d…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x2c3e1e…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x2a87a1…
05-13 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x03c932…
05-13 00:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x1a8584…
05-13 00:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	375	43¢	$161	0x4395e4…
05-13 00:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	375	21¢	$79	0xafdd24…
05-12 23:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9e7bd6…
05-12 23:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	18¢	$24	0xbc0058…
05-12 23:43:45	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x71150b…
05-12 23:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xb24bb6…
05-12 23:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x758830…
05-12 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	17¢	$17	0xc401b9…
05-12 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xcce304…
05-12 23:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	23¢	$14	0x50cc41…
05-11 08:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xccfd87…
05-11 08:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xb10bc0…
05-11 08:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x01b45d…
05-11 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7b710c…
05-11 08:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x5fd7a6…
05-11 08:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xcaae4c…
05-11 07:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x678e23…
05-11 07:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd7931f…
05-11 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x424ff6…
05-11 07:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf07ccd…
05-11 07:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xef2feb…