Ideal-Panther — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$889

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$89.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$871

Open exposure

$1.09K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-23 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$111

Politics

34% 0% $-1,000

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No		+1,130	$1,039	96¢	$1.1K	+$47	06-23 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$11.4K	7,381	4,244	+3,137	open	—	01-30 07:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$4.4K	2,304	2,304	+0	open	—	02-04 16:13
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$4.0K	4,077	0	+4,077	open	—	01-18 21:30
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$3.8K	3,805	0	+3,805	open	—	04-30 18:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$3.4K	3,520	0	+3,520	open	—	01-23 06:54
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	3	$3.2K	2,230	1,100	+1,130	open	—	06-23 16:11
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	5	$3.1K	3,121	0	+3,121	open	—	01-15 07:56
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	1	$3.0K	3,031	0	+3,031	open	—	01-29 06:49
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$3.0K	3,018	0	+3,018	open	—	02-05 16:39
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	2	$3.0K	3,046	0	+3,046	open	—	02-08 21:04
will khamenei leave iran by friday	3	$3.0K	2,984	0	+2,984	open	—	01-08 18:45
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	4	$2.8K	2,511	450	+2,061	Yes	+$111	05-05 13:05
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$2.5K	2,816	2,816	+0	open	—	02-14 13:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$2.5K	1,245	1,245	+0	open	—	04-01 06:05
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	3	$2.4K	1,547	943	+604	open	—	03-18 16:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$2.4K	1,868	627	+1,241	open	—	03-19 15:38
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.3K	2,316	0	+2,316	open	—	04-24 14:36
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$2.2K	2,217	0	+2,217	open	—	03-15 18:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.1K	1,085	1,085	+0	open	—	04-27 05:43
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	2	$1.8K	915	915	+0	open	—	02-14 13:06
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$1.7K	1,692	0	+1,692	open	—	02-04 16:26
will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	9	$1.6K	1,622	0	+1,622	open	—	01-12 15:29
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the february meeting	1	$1.5K	1,571	0	+1,571	open	—	01-29 10:04
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1.4K	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	04-23 05:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,387	0	+1,387	open	—	05-22 16:50
will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	1	$1.2K	1,281	0	+1,281	open	—	04-01 06:06
will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	1	$1.2K	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	04-01 06:51
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	3	$1.2K	1,272	0	+1,272	open	—	04-23 05:54
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	04-27 05:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-29 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:11:55	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	1,058	94¢	$1,000	0x6ae120…
06-16 06:04:57	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	1,172	94¢	$1,100	0xcf3a01…
06-05 15:48:25	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	1,100	96¢	$1,061	0x19c0ec…
05-29 06:44:56	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,101	98¢	$1,080	0xac1571…
05-26 06:14:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$301	0xbb9054…
05-22 16:50:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0x30319a…
05-22 16:17:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x12c62f…
05-08 16:33:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	346	94¢	$327	0x96a73b…
05-05 13:05:38	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x06327c…
05-05 11:15:42	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4b193e…
05-05 11:11:40	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	2,031	98¢	$2,000	0x94ffbd…
05-05 09:48:12	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xbde0e7…
04-30 18:06:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,805	100¢	$3,800	0x15613a…
04-30 05:38:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,058	94¢	$1,000	0x5e2125…
04-28 07:09:46	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0xc14be0…
04-27 05:45:22	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,115	97¢	$1,084	0x876c41…
04-27 05:43:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1,085	100¢	$1,082	0x33ff43…
04-24 14:36:40	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,294	98¢	$1,270	0xee8359…
04-23 05:54:02	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xa23bab…
04-23 05:53:12	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	98¢	$1,400	0x177251…
04-22 06:08:26	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x7767bf…
04-22 06:00:54	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0x1630c2…
04-22 05:54:06	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0xb962a9…
04-01 09:26:37	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	1,067	99¢	$1,054	0xc51e2f…
04-01 06:51:03	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,269	98¢	$1,240	0xbf8b20…
04-01 06:06:23	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,281	97¢	$1,243	0x79e56a…
04-01 06:05:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,245	100¢	$1,243	0x76e571…
03-31 08:53:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,085	94¢	$1,020	0x729b67…
03-19 15:38:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	621	97¢	$600	0x4dd70b…
03-19 08:45:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	619	97¢	$600	0xf8701d…
03-19 08:44:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0x2b73aa…
03-18 19:32:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	629	97¢	$611	0xc41c09…
03-18 16:10:07	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x7b7c4b…
03-18 16:09:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	627	96¢	$602	0x907ed0…
03-15 18:20:15	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	993	98¢	$975	0xf5e998…
03-15 18:18:31	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	943	99¢	$934	0xc8e493…
03-15 18:17:37	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	609	99¢	$600	0x81d84c…
03-15 18:17:17	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,224	98¢	$1,200	0x63ea6f…
03-15 08:08:45	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	SELL	324	12¢	$39	0xeb6d6c…
03-15 07:53:13	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	324	22¢	$70	0x50e72d…
03-15 07:44:25	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	SELL	360	20¢	$72	0x3842dc…
03-15 07:34:37	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x3b819f…
03-15 07:33:31	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x238f6e…
03-13 16:13:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	627	96¢	$600	0x1ebbb0…
03-08 05:12:05	f1 australian grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 07	No	BUY	1,045	96¢	$1,000	0x24e794…
03-08 04:47:43	f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xb4628e…
03-01 05:30:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x20adc4…
02-28 15:19:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	289	69¢	$200	0x983aae…
02-18 08:33:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	568	99¢	$563	0x992c5e…
02-14 13:07:09	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	943	97¢	$914	0x8751e2…
02-14 13:06:51	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	No	SELL	915	100¢	$914	0x8090a6…
02-14 13:06:29	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	563	100¢	$562	0x15ec22…
02-14 13:03:19	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	2,816	1¢	$37	0xe9a0e3…
02-13 13:42:59	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 10km sprint quentin fillon maillet fra	Yes	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x6a4aaa…
02-13 05:35:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xe321c9…
02-12 21:04:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x9a29f3…
02-12 19:36:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,578	95¢	$1,500	0xd6ac12…
02-08 21:14:49	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	No	BUY	915	100¢	$912	0xb0873a…
02-08 21:04:27	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	Yes	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x5e6595…
02-08 20:36:17	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	Yes	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0x17e849…
02-08 13:17:19	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mixed relay sweden	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x26c23c…
02-05 16:39:53	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	3,018	99¢	$3,000	0xff1206…
02-04 16:26:41	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,692	100¢	$1,689	0x558297…
02-04 16:24:43	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x8d8352…
02-04 16:16:09	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xa806df…
02-04 16:14:25	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	185	87¢	$161	0x4bcba7…
02-04 16:13:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,304	98¢	$2,250	0xe24aba…
01-30 07:47:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x2575f8…
01-30 07:46:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,297	94¢	$2,159	0x2cab97…
01-30 07:45:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	2,178	100¢	$2,167	0xb3987c…
01-29 16:32:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2,178	100¢	$2,167	0x810c96…
01-29 10:04:38	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	1,571	95¢	$1,500	0x6c5066…
01-29 06:49:46	no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,031	99¢	$3,000	0x771165…
01-23 06:54:26	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0x765705…
01-23 06:52:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	3,137	98¢	$3,077	0x2f8850…
01-20 06:55:36	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,107	97¢	$2,037	0x88084b…
01-20 06:54:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	2,066	99¢	$2,037	0x81ca98…
01-19 11:31:54	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	245	96¢	$236	0x026b0c…
01-19 08:24:50	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0x05bcd7…
01-18 21:30:34	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x058df9…
01-18 21:15:08	will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x373d5e…
01-18 21:13:40	will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xdf00ff…
01-18 20:50:56	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,038	98¢	$2,000	0xbdf305…
01-15 07:56:40	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x21a046…
01-15 07:54:00	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xb24f9b…
01-15 07:04:34	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x772c4c…
01-15 06:43:10	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xd202ec…
01-15 04:14:26	will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	Yes	BUY	1,511	99¢	$1,500	0x355b95…
01-12 15:29:34	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0202ef…
01-12 15:28:50	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x277357…
01-12 15:26:50	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3a1775…
01-10 14:57:34	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0x6fb5bc…
01-08 18:45:00	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	665	99¢	$660	0x19fddd…
01-08 18:43:26	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xe7af87…
01-08 17:03:00	btc updown 15m 1767891600	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xadc771…
01-07 12:04:35	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x897ea7…
01-07 09:43:41	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x59cc16…
01-07 09:42:03	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	2,016	99¢	$2,000	0xac6647…
01-07 09:25:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2,066	97¢	$2,000	0xe86c1e…
01-07 09:24:31	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x043174…