Both-Poison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,187

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-31 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 76% +$4

Politics

7% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-11	$-8	84¢	$-10	$-2	05-31 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	21	$50	58	58	+0	open	—	03-27 18:29
bitcoin up or down march 4 9pm et	37	$45	39	39	+0	open	—	03-05 02:59
btc updown 5m 1773821400	5	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-18 08:15
btc updown 5m 1772199300	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 13:38
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	6	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-19 22:43
bitcoin up or down march 4 8pm et	19	$30	24	18	+5	open	—	03-05 01:56
btc updown 15m 1770944400	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	02-13 01:12
bitcoin up or down february 19 11pm et	16	$26	38	26	+12	open	—	02-20 04:45
btc updown 5m 1774318800	6	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-24 02:25
btc updown 5m 1775686200	8	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-08 22:14
bitcoin up or down february 19 9pm et	23	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	02-20 03:43
btc updown 15m 1770850800	8	$24	16	15	+0	open	—	02-11 23:15
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	9	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 17:10
btc updown 15m 1774439100	9	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-25 11:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 16:58
btc updown 5m 1774306200	7	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-23 22:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	10	$22	16	8	+8	open	—	03-01 21:33
btc updown 5m 1774438200	10	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-25 11:35
btc updown 5m 1774405500	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-25 02:30
btc updown 15m 1770851700	9	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	02-11 23:27
bitcoin up or down february 17 6pm et	16	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	02-17 23:54
will iran strike israel on march 3	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-04 12:45
btc updown 5m 1774305900	5	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	03-23 22:50
btc updown 5m 1774440300	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-25 12:10
btc updown 15m 1774305000	7	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	03-23 22:45
bitcoin up or down march 6 1pm et	15	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	03-06 18:41
btc updown 5m 1774306500	5	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775688000	8	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 22:44
btc updown 5m 1774061700	6	$19	13	9	+5	open	—	03-21 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 17:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x846ce2…
05-31 17:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2b594d…
05-31 17:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4f0410…
05-31 17:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x454802…
05-31 17:46:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x08a63c…
05-31 17:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x38a4c8…
05-31 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xffa032…
05-31 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x30cda0…
05-31 17:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6b6407…
05-31 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbda05f…
05-31 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbca39c…
05-31 17:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3b50fe…
05-31 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb47e8d…
05-31 16:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc174f6…
05-31 16:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc42ea7…
05-31 16:58:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe5a945…
05-25 00:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b10b8…
05-25 00:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd897e…
05-25 00:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x32050b…
05-25 00:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd49cc1…
05-25 00:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbbd785…
05-25 00:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbfa2a5…
05-24 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe3f28b…
05-24 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc3839f…
05-14 18:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfd3d94…
05-14 18:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x245805…
05-14 18:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdf5cf8…
05-14 18:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x01caa3…
05-14 18:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x74aab0…
05-14 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xec134f…
05-14 18:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x82a7e3…
05-14 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xba1074…
05-14 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8c5262…
05-14 17:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x290d0c…
05-14 17:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xde6711…
05-14 17:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x84c3d9…
05-14 17:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8b2030…
05-14 17:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4da852…
05-14 17:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x29871b…
05-14 17:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6ad63d…
05-14 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x03b80e…
05-14 17:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0e3bce…
05-14 17:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x442b83…
05-14 17:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd0f02a…
05-14 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe64ead…
05-14 17:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x450ee5…
05-14 17:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc3baf6…
05-14 17:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3a8e85…
05-14 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x14239b…
05-14 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb16795…
05-14 17:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4385ba…
05-14 17:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3406db…
05-14 17:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe6b42b…
05-14 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x979a9d…
05-14 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8c8f14…
05-14 17:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa0cf1b…
05-14 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xca8086…
05-14 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3cf34b…
05-14 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5e0333…
05-14 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9cf2a2…
05-14 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7aff1e…
05-14 16:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbd5127…
05-14 16:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x998148…
05-14 16:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5cd9b3…
05-14 16:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x15d8b3…
05-14 16:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1ab322…
05-14 16:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1b9ed0…
05-14 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xec228f…
05-14 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x39ae18…
05-14 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0a3f7d…
05-14 16:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb2c44a…
05-14 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4eef9f…
05-14 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa614e3…
05-14 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x76f2ce…
05-14 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x08121e…
05-14 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd5b899…
05-14 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x69dd9b…
05-14 15:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x86e0d8…
05-14 15:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0b821d…
05-14 15:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x520c72…
05-14 15:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6f6a7f…
05-14 15:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc35847…
05-14 15:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x67f847…
05-14 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1bf83d…
05-14 15:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa84466…
05-14 15:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5278f1…
05-14 13:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcdca85…
05-14 13:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x62d1e1…
05-14 13:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x43bf96…
05-14 13:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xaac3bd…
05-14 13:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7d5d63…
05-14 13:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x184e1a…
05-14 13:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6cb478…
05-14 13:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x50fd9b…
05-14 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x15ed4d…
05-14 12:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x79dc62…
05-14 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb47911…
05-14 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbbb7aa…
05-14 12:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe7d5e7…
05-14 11:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa88b9a…