Scarce-Hydrocarbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

Trades

352

lifetime

Volume

$724

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-15 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 50% +$0

Other

35% — —

Politics

9% — —

Tech

1% 0% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	7	$65	258	129	+129	open	—	01-11 03:40
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 20:09
sol updown 15m 1769213700	3	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	01-24 00:30
sol updown 15m 1768699800	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	01-18 01:43
btc updown 15m 1769274900	5	$24	21	20	+0	open	—	01-24 17:26
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	01-22 11:30
us x venezuela ceasefire by january 31	3	$21	546	546	+0	open	—	01-24 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$21	24	14	+10	open	—	05-15 20:14
btc updown 15m 1768480200	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	01-15 12:43
xrp updown 15m 1768377600	2	$16	23	0	+23	open	—	01-14 08:13
btc updown 15m 1769312700	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 03:47
btc updown 15m 1768704300	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-18 02:55
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	3	$11	31	0	+31	open	—	04-28 21:43
will player 173 win beast games season 2 816	45	$11	1,160	1,160	-1	open	—	02-18 08:05
btc updown 15m 1768590000	3	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	01-16 19:14
will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	14	$11	517	44	+473	open	—	02-18 08:09
will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	36	$11	1,257	174	+1,084	open	—	02-18 08:07
eth updown 15m 1768374900	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	01-14 07:24
xrp updown 15m 1768374900	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	01-14 07:23
xrp updown 15m 1768482000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-15 13:12
will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	10	$9	595	595	+0	open	—	02-18 08:04
nothing ever happens us strike edition	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	01-19 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 20:18
will player 172 win beast games season 2 457	6	$9	575	53	+522	open	—	02-13 22:39
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	2	$8	12	0	+12	No	$-8	05-02 07:38
xrp updown 15m 1767911400	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-08 22:37
eth updown 15m 1768595400	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-16 20:43
btc updown 15m 1768377600	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	01-14 08:13
bitcoin up or down january 24 1pm et	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	01-24 18:10
eth updown 15m 1769313600	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 04:59:25	btc updown 5m 1786164900	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3bcd0f…
08-08 04:58:24	btc updown 5m 1786164900	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe0f306…
08-08 04:57:21	sol updown 5m 1786164900	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x171465…
08-08 04:57:01	eth updown 5m 1786164900	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x39a83f…
08-08 04:56:49	btc updown 5m 1786164900	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x79a008…
08-08 04:52:42	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xc91b07…
08-08 04:52:36	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbf86df…
08-08 04:51:45	btc updown 5m 1786164600	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x40426d…
08-08 04:50:06	eth updown 15m 1786164300	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x02e0fa…
08-08 04:49:52	btc updown 15m 1786164300	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb0ecfb…
08-08 04:48:48	eth updown 5m 1786164300	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2bc1df…
08-08 04:48:34	btc updown 5m 1786164300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc7747…
08-08 04:45:49	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe3ec2e…
08-08 04:44:34	btc updown 5m 1786164000	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1cd988…
08-08 04:42:55	xrp updown 15m 1786163400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x72df37…
08-08 04:37:13	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0xdd1e38…
05-15 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x4a3b9d…
05-15 20:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4690f9…
05-15 20:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf95140…
05-15 20:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x99e448…
05-15 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9872d1…
05-15 20:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xa41d9f…
05-15 20:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6d1961…
05-15 20:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x91c20a…
05-15 20:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xcd5a58…
05-15 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x4bcd9e…
05-15 20:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x90c81a…
05-15 20:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x61b92a…
05-15 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba47a5…
05-15 20:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x02b974…
05-15 20:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xedb512…
05-15 20:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc2e5df…
05-15 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55f11a…
05-15 20:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xfb3caf…
05-15 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x718123…
05-15 20:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xba3573…
05-15 20:09:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x0ab61f…
05-14 07:25:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x70ab8d…
05-12 22:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x404dae…
05-12 22:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd76c30…
05-12 22:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0929d0…
05-12 22:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbeaf75…
05-12 22:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9126a7…
05-12 22:26:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7cf1b4…
05-02 07:38:42	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x44977b…
05-02 07:38:08	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x063777…
04-28 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfcc108…
04-28 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x85df3f…
04-28 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8afb03…
04-28 21:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x46e94b…
04-28 21:43:30	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba917d…
04-28 21:33:26	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x70dc10…
04-28 21:29:22	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x511bd2…
02-18 21:42:02	btc updown 5m 1771450800	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x3b5ff0…
02-18 09:23:26	will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5d4517…
02-18 08:58:20	will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x4471f2…
02-18 08:09:26	will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x2477c2…
02-18 08:08:56	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x76f313…
02-18 08:07:00	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x653573…
02-18 08:06:54	will player 58 win beast games season 2 278	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xf62640…
02-18 08:06:32	will player 58 win beast games season 2 278	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xdc74d1…
02-18 08:05:22	will player 38 win beast games season 2 448	Yes	SELL	723	0¢	$2	0x0fa7a4…
02-18 08:05:12	will player 173 win beast games season 2 816	Yes	SELL	1,160	0¢	$3	0x5cbf1e…
02-18 08:05:04	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	SELL	535	0¢	$1	0x4902a8…
02-18 08:04:52	will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	Yes	SELL	386	0¢	$1	0x1c83ad…
02-18 08:04:38	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	SELL	595	0¢	$1	0xca9c0f…
02-18 06:52:54	will player 58 win beast games season 2 278	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x6de195…
02-18 01:03:37	will player 58 win beast games season 2 278	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x6a5589…
02-18 01:01:45	will player 173 win beast games season 2 816	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xc3f2f8…
02-18 01:00:41	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$1	0xaf4106…
02-18 00:57:47	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xec113d…
02-18 00:56:43	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xcf7dd8…
02-18 00:55:23	will player 173 win beast games season 2 816	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x22d752…
02-18 00:54:29	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x6a868a…
02-18 00:52:35	will player 194 win beast games season 2 924	Yes	SELL	506	0¢	$1	0x184378…
02-16 12:47:07	will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x67caf1…
02-16 00:55:17	will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e3d4b…
02-14 02:05:59	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x0f1fbf…
02-14 02:03:13	will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0xa1f641…
02-14 02:03:03	will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5304d1…
02-13 23:45:27	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x959bdc…
02-13 23:45:25	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1a67eb…
02-13 23:45:23	will player 38 win beast games season 2 448	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xe51e30…
02-13 23:45:23	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe4c243…
02-13 23:45:23	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xd412d1…
02-13 23:45:23	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x7154a3…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xe97ba6…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd971f5…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xd129b8…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa8d3f8…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x999569…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x9246ff…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8d703c…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0x662c35…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 38 win beast games season 2 448	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x51c0ac…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 118 win beast games season 2 768	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x3e11dc…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x2eaa36…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 38 win beast games season 2 448	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x287800…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 99 win beast games season 2 674	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1225f3…
02-13 23:45:21	will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$1	0x031886…