Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-15 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

86% 83% -$200

Other

14% 0% -$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-12	-$11	96¢	$-11	$0	08-15 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$292	1,178	0	+1,178	Yes	-$292	03-05 21:35
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$250	154	154	+0	Yes	+$50	03-05 21:34
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$81	120	120	+0	No	-$19	03-05 16:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$51	42	42	+0	No	+$11	04-01 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$37	27	27	+0	No	+$17	04-01 07:59
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 21:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	03-05 21:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 21:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 21:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$20	78	67	+12	No	-$8	03-05 16:37
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$20	88	0	+88	Yes	-$9	03-01 13:37
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	2	$20	1,682	0	+1,682	Yes	-$10	03-01 13:47
will bnb reach 700 in march	2	$15	11	11	+0	No	-$5	03-05 16:31
will bnb dip to 600 in march	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	-$6	03-05 16:37
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	08-15 13:52
will opinion launch a token on march 13	1	$10	1,709	0	+1,709	No	-$10	03-01 13:37
will opinion launch a token on march 9	1	$10	662	0	+662	No	-$10	03-01 13:36
will opinion launch a token on march 8	1	$10	753	0	+753	No	-$10	03-01 13:36
will opinion launch a token on march 6	1	$10	266	0	+266	No	-$10	03-01 13:35
will opinion launch a token on march 10	1	$10	1,767	0	+1,767	No	-$10	03-01 13:36
will opinion launch a token on march 12	1	$10	1,870	0	+1,870	No	-$10	03-01 13:37
will opinion launch a token on march 11	1	$10	663	0	+663	No	-$10	03-01 13:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-01 13:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-01 20:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$10	32	0	+32	No	+$22	03-01 20:24
will opinion launch a token on march 7	1	$10	128	0	+128	No	-$10	03-01 13:35
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	03-03 17:59
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	03-01 14:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 13:32
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 13:52:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x925f6b…
04-01 08:00:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6874a5…
04-01 07:59:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x002909…
03-05 21:35:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	669	30¢	$201	0x11f49d…
03-05 21:34:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	SELL	154	97¢	$150	0xbc1872…
03-05 21:33:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc9fdbb…
03-05 21:33:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x6203fd…
03-05 21:33:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x046a90…
03-05 21:32:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x118783…
03-05 16:39:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0x2b9c1f…
03-05 16:37:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xa595df…
03-05 16:37:03	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x553dab…
03-05 16:34:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	326	18¢	$59	0x30317c…
03-05 16:33:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	120	26¢	$31	0x07d138…
03-05 16:31:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0xb697ae…
03-05 16:31:05	will bnb reach 700 in march	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x851329…
03-05 16:30:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x329ef8…
03-03 17:59:47	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbb0bc2…
03-01 20:25:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x6e0daa…
03-01 20:24:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6b8958…
03-01 20:24:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5529e0…
03-01 20:23:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x407fd3…
03-01 20:23:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x195d2b…
03-01 20:23:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd6acb8…
03-01 20:21:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x9c3abb…
03-01 20:21:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2a67c8…
03-01 20:21:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3f7807…
03-01 20:21:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5355bf…
03-01 20:21:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x05c0a8…
03-01 20:20:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2b5f77…
03-01 20:19:57	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe5869f…
03-01 20:19:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbd466a…
03-01 20:19:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1ba5a…
03-01 14:02:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc017cb…
03-01 14:01:23	will bnb reach 700 in march	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x313b04…
03-01 14:01:17	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0c57a9…
03-01 13:47:33	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	1,672	1¢	$10	0x136755…
03-01 13:43:41	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9e59d…
03-01 13:41:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xce806d…
03-01 13:37:39	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x45b1e8…
03-01 13:37:11	will opinion launch a token on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,709	1¢	$10	0xe3dd70…
03-01 13:37:01	will opinion launch a token on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,870	1¢	$10	0x441a07…
03-01 13:36:51	will opinion launch a token on march 11	Yes	BUY	663	2¢	$10	0x692929…
03-01 13:36:41	will opinion launch a token on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,767	1¢	$10	0x989b1d…
03-01 13:36:23	will opinion launch a token on march 9	Yes	BUY	662	2¢	$10	0xe17787…
03-01 13:36:11	will opinion launch a token on march 8	Yes	BUY	753	1¢	$10	0x2097ce…
03-01 13:35:35	will opinion launch a token on march 7	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x08eca0…
03-01 13:35:25	will opinion launch a token on march 6	Yes	BUY	266	4¢	$10	0x60ec67…
03-01 13:35:19	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x25e90f…
03-01 13:33:07	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6e936…
03-01 13:32:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc43c88…
03-01 13:31:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf15c7c…
03-01 13:31:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd38b65…
03-01 13:31:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf5f073…
03-01 13:31:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8c3973…
03-01 13:31:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7c9eb9…