Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-19 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

75% 36% +$10

Tech

21% 0% -$14

Crypto

3% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gpt 6 be released by september 15 2026	2	$28	648	648	+0	Yes	-$12	09-04 18:25
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	2	$27	24	24	+0	No	+$20	09-04 04:05
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 20:47
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 17:13
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	09-04 18:32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	$0	09-04 20:17
cs2 hotu ef1 2026 09 04	2	$7	5	5	+0	HOTU	+$1	09-04 13:38
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$7	27	27	+0	No	-$3	09-05 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	09-05 06:06
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$3	09-07 15:43
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$4	8	4	+4	No	-$2	09-18 03:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	-$3	09-05 04:10
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	3	$4	299	299	+0	No	-$1	09-10 03:15
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	09-10 03:10
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	09-15 16:01
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-19 06:43
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	09-08 16:05
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-07 14:40
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	09-10 03:05
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	09-06 19:09
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-03 02:37
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	09-26 04:36
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$1	8	8	+0	No	-$1	09-09 06:52
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	10-05 11:49
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	1	$1	2	0	+2	Ben Shelton	-$1	09-09 06:57
will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-22 04:28
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of September 28?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-03 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:43:08	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xcb715b…
10-05 11:49:25	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x36b1ee…
10-03 19:13:01	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa9f703…
10-03 04:44:17	Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96ccd5…
10-03 02:37:35	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xaaad4c…
10-02 20:47:44	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x67d3df…
10-02 17:15:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xffb157…
10-02 17:15:05	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1d9527…
10-02 17:13:14	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x688191…
10-02 06:29:39	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x42116a…
09-30 20:26:18	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9bd176…
09-26 04:36:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xc712b9…
09-26 04:35:08	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20cd5c…
09-25 04:30:30	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x28d850…
09-22 04:28:00	will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x429178…
09-18 03:31:39	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x368dbf…
09-17 15:07:45	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x65eda7…
09-15 16:05:12	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x57b5a6…
09-15 16:01:19	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6616ce…
09-10 03:20:21	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x189114…
09-10 03:15:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	299	0¢	$1	0x0f056f…
09-10 03:12:33	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x713ff9…
09-10 03:11:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$2	0x0359a4…
09-10 03:10:42	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xb138e2…
09-10 03:05:21	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcfde6b…
09-09 06:57:03	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x07f031…
09-09 06:52:48	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x64dd73…
09-09 04:11:00	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1e18f2…
09-08 16:05:10	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x247f3c…
09-08 03:30:54	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xc2cf41…
09-07 15:43:22	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8e4083…
09-07 15:11:21	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x83a5eb…
09-07 14:40:16	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xcdfe6e…
09-06 19:09:42	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x10c266…
09-06 19:09:15	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x9d70d1…
09-06 19:03:45	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa9ec62…
09-06 13:29:13	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x542ff0…
09-05 07:07:34	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbcd8af…
09-05 07:06:55	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xd72595…
09-05 06:19:52	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xbd5352…
09-05 06:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xafec12…
09-05 04:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xdea1fe…
09-04 20:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x93dcee…
09-04 20:17:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x5588b6…
09-04 18:32:18	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x984dc7…
09-04 18:25:52	will gpt 6 be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	648	1¢	$8	0x509d51…
09-04 14:34:34	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x82616b…
09-04 13:38:00	cs2 hotu ef1 2026 09 04	HOTU	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x0fbae5…
09-04 13:18:21	cs2 hotu ef1 2026 09 04	HOTU	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb5e796…
09-04 09:36:39	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	648	3¢	$20	0x8eb6b9…
09-04 04:05:24	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xf85346…
09-02 21:05:51	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xb6d9a9…