Exotic-Standardization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$817

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

7,539

Trades

13,539

lifetime

Volume

$89.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-21 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$817

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	1	$143	211	0	+211	Down	-$143	10-14 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$139	215	0	+215	Down	-$139	10-18 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	1	$136	206	0	+206	Up	+$70	10-16 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	1	$132	197	0	+197	Up	+$66	10-13 22:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$131	194	0	+194	Down	+$62	10-15 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$128	198	0	+198	Down	+$70	10-15 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	1	$125	189	0	+189	Down	+$64	10-15 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$124	206	0	+206	Down	-$124	10-18 20:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$117	169	169	+0	Down	-$90	10-01 11:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$112	180	0	+180	Up	-$112	10-20 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$106	146	146	+0	Down	-$90	10-06 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$105	152	152	+0	Up	-$86	10-06 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$105	146	146	+0	Up	-$82	10-02 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$105	144	144	+0	Up	-$79	10-01 14:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$104	155	155	+0	Up	-$97	10-01 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$103	146	146	+0	Down	-$77	10-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$101	142	142	+0	Up	-$78	10-02 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$101	144	144	+0	Down	-$95	10-01 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	1	$101	151	0	+151	Down	+$50	10-01 08:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:15 UTC	2	$100	147	147	+0	Up	-$80	10-03 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$100	153	153	+0	Up	-$94	10-02 00:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	1	$98	151	0	+151	Up	+$53	10-01 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$97	135	135	+0	Down	-$73	10-02 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:30 UTC	1	$96	144	0	+144	Down	+$47	10-01 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$96	141	141	+0	Down	-$77	10-03 23:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$96	124	124	+0	Up	-$76	10-01 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$95	153	0	+153	Up	+$58	10-01 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$95	152	0	+152	Up	+$58	10-06 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$94	126	126	+0	Up	-$74	10-04 03:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$94	147	0	+147	Down	+$53	10-01 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 02:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	77	62¢	$48	0xf7f544…
10-21 00:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x389c1c…
10-20 09:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xf78681…
10-20 04:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	180	62¢	$112	0x8e0ddf…
10-20 03:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x630643…
10-19 22:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	63¢	$44	0x5cdf09…
10-19 20:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x1fdc3d…
10-19 18:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0xdb92f8…
10-19 15:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0xf8c12a…
10-19 11:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x4a2657…
10-19 09:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x764fa1…
10-19 06:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5e6625…
10-19 01:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	72	60¢	$43	0x575e8d…
10-18 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	206	60¢	$124	0x4dd9b6…
10-18 16:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0xec1203…
10-18 15:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0xa10595…
10-18 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	215	65¢	$139	0x60d6aa…
10-18 13:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	95	59¢	$56	0xd315bd…
10-18 02:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0xe0188e…
10-17 16:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	87	62¢	$54	0xbee8e3…
10-17 10:37:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xd3e8f9…
10-16 21:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	206	66¢	$136	0x14c66c…
10-16 18:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	88	62¢	$54	0xe81f7e…
10-16 18:22:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0xcfea3b…
10-16 08:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	79	68¢	$54	0x05cef3…
10-16 01:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	67¢	$53	0x60ff00…
10-15 21:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	194	68¢	$131	0x21d31b…
10-15 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	85	62¢	$53	0xb5ad84…
10-15 18:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	198	65¢	$128	0xe0dd33…
10-15 13:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0x980484…
10-15 10:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x4c9598…
10-15 07:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe29159…
10-15 05:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	189	66¢	$125	0xa3802f…
10-14 07:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x5cc28b…
10-14 07:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	211	68¢	$143	0x1464c2…
10-14 06:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	84	68¢	$57	0x562c2b…
10-14 05:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0x4867aa…
10-14 02:27:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xd55ded…
10-13 22:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	197	67¢	$132	0x8c2453…
10-13 21:07:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe0b740…
10-13 12:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0xc54d33…
10-13 08:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x2e0630…
10-13 05:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xcabc16…
10-13 02:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2fa8e7…
10-13 02:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	77	64¢	$50	0xde6b12…
10-12 15:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x718f66…
10-12 04:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	54	64¢	$34	0x6e75a8…
10-11 19:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	66¢	$34	0xb0bbd9…
10-11 17:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	61¢	$34	0xb0bbe8…
10-11 12:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xa97696…
10-11 08:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x2e657f…
10-10 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	130	62¢	$81	0xa580c3…
10-10 18:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x992ec7…
10-10 17:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	77	66¢	$51	0x88754d…
10-10 17:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xe739c4…
10-10 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xf4072d…
10-10 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x4765de…
10-10 14:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x64bb4c…
10-10 11:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xfca560…
10-10 09:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x25a9f9…
10-10 08:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	66¢	$25	0x3c67ef…
10-10 04:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x2f4acf…
10-10 03:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	66¢	$49	0x2ad9b8…
10-10 02:22:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xe06320…
10-10 01:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x735e28…
10-10 00:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	66¢	$25	0x14425c…
10-10 00:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xa4bb14…
10-09 23:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x8eb4ba…
10-09 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x1594df…
10-09 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0xcde893…
10-09 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0xf0ccf5…
10-09 18:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0x6f12b2…
10-09 11:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	79	66¢	$52	0x528f3d…
10-09 07:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x73f3fe…
10-09 03:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0x2c797c…
10-09 02:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	64¢	$27	0xd54b3f…
10-09 00:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	68¢	$26	0x74badd…
10-09 00:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	79	65¢	$52	0x5d9ef8…
10-08 23:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	85	63¢	$54	0x2f2dec…
10-08 21:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0x367017…
10-08 20:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	67¢	$29	0x99493d…
10-08 18:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0xb251df…
10-08 18:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x93f1bd…
10-08 18:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x256ae9…
10-08 16:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0x3d2751…
10-08 15:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	62¢	$28	0x0fa56b…
10-08 14:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x123c54…
10-08 13:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	63¢	$29	0x9409d5…
10-08 10:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	65¢	$28	0xab7fde…
10-08 07:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x617b43…
10-08 05:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xfe1036…
10-08 04:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe6cd88…
10-08 00:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x40942e…
10-07 23:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x92984a…
10-07 18:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	65¢	$30	0x6ef696…
10-07 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x0713b7…
10-07 12:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0xd3be22…
10-07 02:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	68¢	$29	0x98f2de…
10-07 00:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0xc8b639…
10-06 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	146	9¢	$13	0x66cbd4…