Insidious-Company — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,844

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-07 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% +$7

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 496 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	3	$443	397	397	+0	open	—	01-19 16:56
btc updown 15m 1769018400	2	$371	1,339	294	+1,045	open	—	01-21 18:10
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$284	150	150	+0	open	—	01-15 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	60	$196	610	0	+610	open	—	04-25 14:43
btc updown 15m 1768775400	2	$189	203	201	+2	open	—	01-18 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$175	189	0	+189	open	—	04-25 03:04
bitcoin up or down january 20 3pm et	1	$174	295	0	+295	open	—	01-20 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$167	140	113	+26	open	—	04-25 01:10
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	6	$148	98	98	+0	open	—	01-04 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$145	184	0	+184	open	—	04-25 01:24
btc updown 5m 1776989400	6	$131	69	69	+0	open	—	04-24 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776991200	3	$130	73	68	+5	open	—	04-24 00:45
btc updown 5m 1776303000	5	$127	76	70	+6	open	—	04-16 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	48	$126	130	110	+20	open	—	04-25 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	19	$124	164	9	+155	open	—	04-25 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	12	$122	77	77	+0	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	37	$116	120	116	+4	open	—	04-25 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	14	$115	98	95	+3	open	—	04-25 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	10	$114	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 22:20
btc updown 5m 1777047600	3	$114	70	60	+9	open	—	04-24 16:25
btc updown 5m 1777047900	4	$111	68	52	+16	open	—	04-24 16:29
btc updown 15m 1771890300	44	$110	130	130	+0	open	—	02-24 00:01
btc updown 5m 1776990300	2	$106	60	59	+1	open	—	04-24 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	8	$104	66	65	+2	open	—	04-25 01:35
btc updown 15m 1769044500	1	$100	570	0	+570	open	—	01-22 01:18
bitcoin up or down january 20 4pm et	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	01-20 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	25	$98	153	120	+33	open	—	04-25 14:59
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	4	$95	90	59	+31	open	—	01-12 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$93	60	58	+2	open	—	04-25 02:10
btc updown 5m 1777045500	4	$92	63	48	+15	open	—	04-24 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 21:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x368356…
05-07 21:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x989df2…
05-07 21:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x1bb8f4…
05-06 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa6cc8d…
05-06 02:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9eba3b…
05-06 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfa2c2c…
05-06 01:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x26d3f0…
05-06 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x249d09…
05-06 00:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4507c0…
05-06 00:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xa878da…
05-06 00:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0ab648…
05-05 23:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2b32cb…
05-05 23:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd6da7a…
05-05 23:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x704b76…
05-05 23:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaab803…
05-02 01:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x653308…
05-02 01:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb26305…
05-02 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd7eefa…
05-02 00:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x19c414…
05-02 00:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xae4ba2…
05-02 00:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5092c0…
05-02 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9f7db1…
05-02 00:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9a3640…
05-02 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbbae12…
05-02 00:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x26e01f…
05-02 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xada699…
05-02 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b7231…
05-02 00:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2cced1…
05-02 00:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xc3ceb4…
05-02 00:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x348b16…
05-02 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x419d23…
05-02 00:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x06e6ed…
05-02 00:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3dd3fd…
05-02 00:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x041bc4…
05-02 00:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfbfb26…
05-01 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x37bb7c…
05-01 23:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbdd328…
05-01 23:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x63ff76…
05-01 23:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0dda31…
05-01 23:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6bc7a3…
05-01 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb3bbba…
05-01 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0d3efb…
05-01 23:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb015e8…
05-01 23:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7309d8…
05-01 23:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdb4c32…
05-01 23:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x545cb1…
05-01 23:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x74f1ae…
05-01 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xad0009…
05-01 22:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x3555f4…
05-01 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10d916…
05-01 22:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8129a9…
05-01 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x12cda3…
05-01 22:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd7cc3f…
05-01 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x24251d…
05-01 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbe2f3e…
05-01 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb13850…
05-01 22:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x302708…
05-01 22:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb0acda…
05-01 22:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xaef10f…
05-01 22:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xe213df…
05-01 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f5563…
05-01 22:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe00aa2…
05-01 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfce278…
05-01 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x0ddd99…
05-01 22:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x84ba99…
05-01 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xae73b5…
05-01 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e7e57…
05-01 22:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5dd69f…
05-01 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb6df48…
05-01 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa4d9e7…
05-01 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5f53b4…
05-01 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ac523…
05-01 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x96391c…
05-01 22:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2fe13d…
05-01 22:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x868da8…
05-01 22:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x099af6…
05-01 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x47f0ca…
05-01 22:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8ff417…
05-01 22:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x99d8b6…
05-01 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xa43132…
05-01 22:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1f693e…
05-01 22:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc00bbb…
05-01 22:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfbdb80…
05-01 22:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x969992…
05-01 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8180da…
05-01 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeac7c1…
05-01 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x4ab1e7…
05-01 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x556ea0…
05-01 21:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xfe16d2…
05-01 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x948d01…
05-01 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1facff…
04-30 16:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x65a128…
04-30 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x949233…
04-30 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x594a7b…
04-30 13:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x97c55b…
04-26 17:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xabd4db…
04-26 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x984055…
04-26 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3c79e6…
04-26 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x81e0b8…
04-26 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfca66b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	883	$22.7K	6,119	05-07 21:02
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	856	$57.3K	8,770	05-07 21:07
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	842	$2.00K	4,185	05-07 21:04
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	833	$13.5K	1,810	04-30 16:52
(anonymous) 0x8e9c…ed64	756	$188.1K	13,567	04-26 17:14
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	755	$11.7K	2,132	05-07 21:06
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	754	$130.0K	18,619	05-07 21:07
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	748	$1.11K	3,047	05-07 21:04