Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

443

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-10

last 10-28 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 65% +$46

Politics

4% 33% -$3

Other

1% 50% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+25	$20	97¢	$25	+$5	10-10 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$10	84¢	$10	$0	10-10 18:31
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$5	52¢	$7	+$2	10-10 19:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+8	$5	66¢	$5	+$0	10-10 19:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+19	$5	3¢	$1	-$4	10-10 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$24	27	3	+24	Down	-$1	10-12 14:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	3	$23	28	28	+0	open	—	10-27 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$22	31	0	+31	Up	$0	10-11 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$22	26	0	+26	Down	-$1	10-11 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$22	27	0	+27	Up	-$1	10-11 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$20	92	0	+92	Down	-$20	10-10 22:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	10-10 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$20	49	0	+49	Up	-$6	10-10 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$17	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	10-11 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$16	18	7	+11	Up	+$0	10-12 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	10-24 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	-$16	10-24 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	10-24 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$15	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	10-10 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	Down	-$7	10-10 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$14	17	0	+17	Down	-$3	10-11 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$12	18	0	+18	Up	+$1	10-12 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Down	-$1	10-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$12	17	0	+17	Up	-$1	10-11 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$12	18	0	+18	Down	-$1	10-11 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	$0	10-12 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Down	$0	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Down	-$1	10-12 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	10-12 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	10-11 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	10-10 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	10-12 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	10-11 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$12	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	10-11 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Down	-$2	10-11 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x99cb91…
10-28 05:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x290d79…
10-28 05:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xc45b8c…
10-28 05:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xcaec7e…
10-28 05:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc10814…
10-28 04:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x267138…
10-28 03:09:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd19343…
10-28 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdbd7dc…
10-28 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x258353…
10-28 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2996f3…
10-28 01:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x98274a…
10-28 01:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x26ebe3…
10-28 00:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6e1cde…
10-28 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0f16ef…
10-27 23:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6a0062…
10-27 23:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x761d00…
10-27 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb033e5…
10-27 21:14:18	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xeb0003…
10-27 21:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa57879…
10-27 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xee9004…
10-27 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd330c6…
10-27 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xda63e6…
10-27 20:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x970209…
10-27 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb1ed6e…
10-27 19:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbb8d86…
10-27 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0xc9a926…
10-27 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x3aa079…
10-27 16:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7b93e5…
10-27 16:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0b7eba…
10-27 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x631a9c…
10-27 15:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf924c5…
10-27 12:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8e742d…
10-27 11:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x26edf9…
10-27 11:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa493d4…
10-27 10:53:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x685d74…
10-27 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xef0cea…
10-27 10:19:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0cdbad…
10-27 09:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x39011d…
10-27 09:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14b8f7…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1247ab…
10-27 08:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3e77ee…
10-27 07:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x635b07…
10-27 07:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x10f40e…
10-27 07:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x710986…
10-27 07:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xeae734…
10-27 07:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaad9e4…
10-27 07:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x354ac0…
10-27 07:03:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2ad0f9…
10-27 06:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9201a8…
10-27 06:43:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd7726f…
10-27 06:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x50296f…
10-27 06:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe492bd…
10-27 06:08:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x407e94…
10-27 05:53:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbe1e09…
10-27 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x65de56…
10-27 05:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfed6ab…
10-27 05:19:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa065d6…
10-27 05:18:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x783714…
10-27 04:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xa10aa7…
10-27 04:28:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xce8b2e…
10-27 04:24:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd5882e…
10-27 04:18:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7a396f…
10-27 03:54:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa6d70b…
10-27 02:54:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1f0e2a…
10-27 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd5504b…
10-27 02:39:26	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xdef483…
10-27 02:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbb90a4…
10-27 02:24:30	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x60a8ca…
10-27 02:24:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd5b089…
10-27 02:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x81d3c7…
10-27 02:03:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe210e3…
10-27 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb5a91a…
10-27 01:18:30	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb58ccc…
10-27 01:08:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x279e51…
10-27 00:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x013273…
10-27 00:43:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbb6cb8…
10-27 00:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x781684…
10-27 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc46c8f…
10-27 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x46cbe3…
10-26 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xda8340…
10-26 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x750363…
10-26 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x180606…
10-26 23:33:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8fc33b…
10-26 23:23:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4c7f86…
10-26 22:38:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc8763a…
10-26 22:19:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd6c6d4…
10-26 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x683457…
10-26 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0828a0…
10-26 21:09:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x4102a6…
10-26 19:39:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xce6de9…
10-26 19:39:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x544958…
10-26 18:54:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xb724d9…
10-26 18:49:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x316022…
10-26 12:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc1ada1…
10-26 10:39:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd942ef…
10-26 05:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x2b6f19…
10-26 05:24:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x97f08e…
10-26 04:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x31e1d7…
10-26 01:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xb8f956…
10-25 22:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xa5d112…