Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 03-09 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

50% 88% -$8

Crypto

32% 33% -$40

Politics

18% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$44	16	30	-14	No	-$1	02-22 02:29
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$40	61	0	+61	No	-$40	02-07 10:49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	02-10 07:26
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	01-08 10:23
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-09 12:44
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	1	$18	19	0	+19	No	+$1	01-21 14:13
will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 2pt5	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-12 03:46
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	01-11 23:29
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	1	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	-$11	01-11 04:29
Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-26 09:58
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$0	02-04 07:23
us strike on colombia by january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-12 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-09 12:44:33	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xdaeb2c…
03-03 15:55:35	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xecc857…
02-22 02:29:38	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xeb1de8…
02-21 22:36:18	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x2f6ae8…
02-10 07:26:29	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe5418f…
02-07 10:49:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x7a5e41…
02-04 07:23:34	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x83381b…
01-26 09:58:49	Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fea7c…
01-21 14:13:58	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x6917a3…
01-12 12:01:38	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc80041…
01-12 03:46:22	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 2pt5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x09380f…
01-11 23:29:06	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x875dc3…
01-11 04:29:00	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xa39499…
01-08 10:23:39	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb1ef3…
01-07 18:31:51	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5fa20d…
01-07 17:57:55	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x448861…
01-06 12:59:17	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x9fd4e5…
01-06 09:38:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf4aefc…