Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$494

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 09-05 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 72% -$197

Politics

25% 0% -$17

Other

13% 0% -$280

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	4	$735	3,036	3,036	+0	No	-$17	09-01 16:17
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	3	$460	998	998	+0	Yes	-$278	09-03 03:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	2	$179	134	134	+0	open	—	09-01 07:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	2	$125	130	0	+130	Up	-$23	08-21 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$117	83	42	+40	Up	-$2	09-05 01:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:25 UTC	3	$93	73	44	+29	Up	-$7	08-21 03:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	4	$89	80	80	+0	Up	-$11	08-21 04:51
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	3	$84	109	109	+0	open	—	08-28 00:44
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	4	$77	112	112	+0	No	-$1	09-01 08:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:40 UTC	6	$73	51	51	+0	Up	+$3	08-21 03:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	5	$62	145	77	+67	Down	-$22	08-21 04:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:00 UTC	4	$61	39	39	+0	Up	+$1	08-21 04:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	4	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	08-21 05:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	4	$60	34	34	+0	Up	+$0	08-21 05:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:30 UTC	3	$57	34	29	+5	Up	+$2	08-21 04:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:35 UTC	2	$56	71	71	+0	Down	+$6	08-21 03:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:50 UTC	2	$55	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	08-21 03:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	-$50	09-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$49	50	0	+50	Up	-$49	09-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$49	49	0	+49	Up	+$0	09-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$48	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	09-05 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$48	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	09-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$48	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	09-05 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$47	47	0	+47	Down	+$0	09-05 02:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	8	$47	42	37	+5	Down	-$3	08-21 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$46	46	0	+46	Up	+$0	09-05 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$46	46	0	+46	Up	+$0	09-05 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	09-05 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$45	45	0	+45	Down	+$0	09-05 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	09-05 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 03:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4e34f9…
09-05 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xd3eeff…
09-05 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xa8423f…
09-05 03:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x7b289d…
09-05 02:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x6bb83c…
09-05 02:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xe2eea8…
09-05 02:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x86d584…
09-05 02:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xd095f6…
09-05 02:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x45edcc…
09-05 02:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5b4b33…
09-05 02:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xc3386a…
09-05 02:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xd2877b…
09-05 01:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x911478…
09-05 01:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x66dd96…
09-05 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7564fb…
09-05 01:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0x135da4…
09-05 01:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xc6e215…
09-05 01:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x3ba215…
09-05 01:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa616ff…
09-05 01:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1cf984…
09-05 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcabf9b…
09-05 01:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x37e375…
09-05 00:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xff7977…
09-05 00:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e301e…
09-05 00:47:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3b5ef5…
09-05 00:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x557cfe…
09-05 00:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44dbf7…
09-03 03:10:37	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	234	23¢	$53	0x9c033b…
09-03 03:10:27	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	765	5¢	$37	0x840b1f…
09-03 03:10:18	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	998	37¢	$369	0x154b42…
09-01 16:17:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,967	12¢	$351	0x29c2e1…
09-01 16:16:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,967	12¢	$368	0xcaa5c2…
09-01 13:01:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	12¢	$8	0x8ce17b…
09-01 13:01:18	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0x337fce…
09-01 08:22:18	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x1e5372…
09-01 08:22:12	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x6b199b…
09-01 07:12:42	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	SELL	62	33¢	$21	0xc62419…
09-01 07:12:36	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0x46be29…
09-01 07:10:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	134	66¢	$89	0xd8af9e…
09-01 07:10:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	134	67¢	$90	0x0eaa81…
08-28 00:44:10	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	37¢	$40	0xc32a5b…
08-28 00:10:42	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x807eb0…
08-28 00:10:18	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x10681a…
08-24 21:43:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x1dc1ae…
08-24 21:33:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc81b5c…
08-21 15:07:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9fcd80…
08-21 13:49:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xfbeb36…
08-21 13:48:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf8a0a8…
08-21 13:45:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xff3050…
08-21 06:32:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xa058a0…
08-21 06:31:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xf9e7f7…
08-21 06:27:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x44dec7…
08-21 06:26:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xef230e…
08-21 06:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c1c6e…
08-21 06:06:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x5bec17…
08-21 06:05:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x755c64…
08-21 06:03:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x933f62…
08-21 06:03:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8b4ddd…
08-21 05:59:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x026ffb…
08-21 05:58:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x11b276…
08-21 05:53:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf75705…
08-21 05:51:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x127435…
08-21 05:44:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd0bf28…
08-21 05:44:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x364080…
08-21 05:43:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xbd2027…
08-21 05:43:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xddce2d…
08-21 05:38:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xe35cb2…
08-21 05:38:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x75f617…
08-21 05:38:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x224d90…
08-21 05:38:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfed111…
08-21 05:33:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x675f1b…
08-21 05:32:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x2f8fb9…
08-21 05:32:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc99ae…
08-21 05:26:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbf8009…
08-21 05:26:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8583cc…
08-21 05:25:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xbaffcf…
08-21 05:25:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc089ba…
08-21 05:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbbc939…
08-21 05:23:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc39dad…
08-21 05:22:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa9877c…
08-21 05:18:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x60487b…
08-21 05:16:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xd5ff7d…
08-21 05:16:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x589ea7…
08-21 05:12:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf2dfc6…
08-21 05:12:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e97f4…
08-21 05:11:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xc903a1…
08-21 05:11:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1d00b9…
08-21 05:11:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xbb0210…
08-21 05:10:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xce8632…
08-21 05:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xf8932f…
08-21 05:08:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x68e899…
08-21 05:06:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x722a21…
08-21 05:06:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9e2779…
08-21 05:03:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3cc1cd…
08-21 05:03:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x18f7b3…
08-21 05:03:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x45b6bc…
08-21 05:02:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x13bec7…
08-21 05:02:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa88b13…
08-21 05:01:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x52fbe9…
08-21 05:00:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4caee2…