Repulsive-Savings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$365

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

490

Trades

947

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

69% 27% -$391

Sports

24% 40% +$6

Politics

4% 21% +$36

Crypto

2% 9% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+41	$5	12¢	$5	$0	07-24 15:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	7	$551	566	566	+0	Yes	+$99	07-06 03:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	9	$359	577	489	+87	Thunder	-$36	05-27 02:37
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$337	223	223	+0	Yes	+$102	07-04 18:52
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	7	$288	204	204	+0	Celtics	+$11	03-03 02:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	4	$271	199	199	+0	Yes	+$127	06-29 19:03
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02 total 219pt5	3	$268	147	147	+0	Under	+$26	03-03 05:40
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	4	$234	341	204	+136	No	-$50	06-26 02:42
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24?	4	$207	159	159	+0	Yes	+$107	05-25 01:11
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	3	$201	133	133	+0	Yes	+$21	06-22 21:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	5	$192	135	135	+0	Yes	+$78	10-14 21:17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$190	372	0	+372	Yes	+$182	07-06 03:07
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?	5	$187	450	0	+450	No	-$187	05-25 19:44
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	4	$170	112	112	+0	Yes	+$54	06-17 21:54
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?	2	$169	237	237	+0	Yes	-$11	05-25 23:26
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$157	1,973	1,973	+0	No	-$10	03-03 02:40
lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game3	7	$154	159	159	+0	LYON	+$34	07-10 10:27
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$147	100	100	+0	Yes	+$51	06-16 20:48
nhl cbj nyr 2026 03 02	4	$145	102	102	+0	Blue Jackets	-$45	03-03 02:38
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	3	$145	436	436	+0	No	-$134	07-06 02:57
nba den uta 2026 03 02	7	$136	115	115	+0	Nuggets	+$6	03-03 04:54
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	3	$133	111	111	+0	Clippers	-$7	03-03 04:53
nba phi gsw 2026 02 03	4	$133	94	94	+0	76ers	+$53	02-04 05:04
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?	5	$130	259	0	+259	No	-$130	07-29 12:01
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte2	3	$117	103	103	+0	Yes	+$87	06-23 01:17
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	2	$114	95	95	+0	Yes	+$74	06-15 01:04
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$112	270	0	+270	Spurs	-$112	05-25 01:13
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$111	257	257	+0	Yes	-$10	10-25 15:41
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	5	$108	107	107	+0	Knicks	+$46	06-11 03:32
nba den uta 2026 03 02 total 241pt5	2	$106	56	56	+0	Over	+$6	03-03 04:54
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$104	69	69	+0	Brazil	+$34	06-29 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:42:36	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x36d4a2…
11-01 22:42:24	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x77bb3f…
11-01 22:15:51	Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	Grêmio FBPA	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8ca867…
11-01 21:56:39	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x54e073…
11-01 21:56:31	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x6b517c…
11-01 21:53:48	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x04da0a…
10-28 13:14:47	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xae3e79…
10-28 13:14:31	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xac9b0a…
10-28 13:14:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38cd02…
10-25 23:22:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x5d57c0…
10-25 23:04:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0b1476…
10-25 22:58:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x6b51c6…
10-25 22:58:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2e7ede…
10-25 22:57:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf7d5ad…
10-25 22:54:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0xdea89b…
10-25 22:50:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xea1f08…
10-25 22:50:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfeea45…
10-25 22:36:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	143	47¢	$67	0xb857de…
10-25 22:34:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	SELL	83	29¢	$24	0x958ab3…
10-25 22:34:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	SELL	243	18¢	$44	0xb35c57…
10-25 15:45:03	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6e0437…
10-25 15:41:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0x00948e…
10-24 23:04:06	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x44214c…
10-24 01:16:54	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	SELL	144	18¢	$25	0x149a10…
10-24 01:15:54	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Knicks	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0x20da10…
10-24 00:52:47	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x474e1d…
10-24 00:41:59	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x63edf9…
10-24 00:41:42	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2575a9…
10-24 00:15:33	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x542483…
10-24 00:07:39	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x3f0ca8…
10-24 00:07:15	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x68ae6d…
10-24 00:02:45	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe7aa85…
10-23 23:56:33	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x49d62b…
10-22 23:18:26	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa39468…
10-22 22:21:54	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xfefbc7…
10-22 22:17:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	185	2¢	$3	0x5321fc…
10-22 22:14:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x1e0495…
10-22 22:11:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x883032…
10-22 22:11:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xf60408…
10-22 22:06:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x5ddcb2…
10-22 22:06:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x58906a…
10-22 22:04:03	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb01d6e…
10-21 23:41:45	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x384567…
10-21 23:38:00	Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x6c97ab…
10-21 02:54:21	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9086ea…
10-21 02:41:51	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4ab08b…
10-21 02:39:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x60ad37…
10-21 00:42:06	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2214ba…
10-21 00:39:08	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1a4258…
10-21 00:00:17	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0xfc9b70…
10-20 23:33:35	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5fd62e…
10-20 23:26:18	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc1c9ce…
10-20 23:25:42	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x05ec90…
10-20 21:29:09	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x42bbda…
10-20 21:28:02	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x81e0d0…
10-20 20:50:36	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x33100a…
10-20 20:47:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x71db37…
10-20 20:28:12	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xe6326d…
10-20 20:27:50	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xf1a52f…
10-20 19:37:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x532421…
10-20 19:17:08	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xac9bb3…
10-20 19:16:56	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x617179…
10-20 19:16:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc1cec3…
10-16 02:13:07	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xa22ddc…
10-16 02:11:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb3138e…
10-16 02:09:27	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xe5f1c5…
10-16 01:00:45	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb4d7b9…
10-16 00:59:15	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xb42ee7…
10-14 21:17:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x7905ed…
10-14 21:17:28	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x7ac47c…
10-14 19:39:12	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1b47ce…
10-14 19:30:04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x43f54a…
10-14 19:27:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xd53370…
10-14 19:26:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x58b809…
10-14 19:23:22	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x52639b…
10-14 19:22:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2fd459…
10-09 00:21:44	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd540e4…
10-08 23:49:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x8a5393…
10-08 23:49:30	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x0ea066…
10-06 22:00:05	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xdab352…
10-06 21:58:35	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe48892…
10-06 21:57:53	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xea5b1a…
10-06 21:57:27	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x287d9b…
10-06 21:56:39	Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5c7c8d…
09-29 02:11:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xa83c0c…
09-28 01:14:36	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x945b56…
09-28 01:11:51	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4c1458…
09-28 00:53:08	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x6c41c2…
09-28 00:48:35	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xb7901c…
09-28 00:48:35	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x95ce9c…
09-27 23:58:06	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 1 - 3 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xd5cb12…
09-27 23:57:39	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 1 - 3 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x23e893…
09-27 23:56:14	Exact Score: Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x28e550…
09-27 23:55:12	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe59728…
09-25 23:24:26	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x67a2be…
09-25 23:23:18	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x7dd285…
09-25 23:19:35	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd751ae…
09-25 23:19:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6f2714…
09-25 23:18:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc3eaeb…
09-25 23:17:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x50646c…