Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$238

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-24 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

35% — —

Other

31% — —

Crypto

22% 0% $-3

Sports

13% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+33	$5	15¢	$5	$-0	06-24 16:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$21	594	594	+0	open	—	02-19 15:24
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	345	0	+345	open	—	04-03 15:16
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$14	33	33	+0	open	—	03-16 23:31
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$12	0	565	-565	open	—	02-18 22:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$12	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 09:13
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$11	95	0	+95	open	—	03-30 15:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 00:37
btc updown 5m 1782331800	3	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-24 20:15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	04-24 14:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$8	38	38	+0	open	—	01-30 10:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7	285	0	+285	open	—	03-17 00:17
btc updown 5m 1773220500	3	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	03-11 09:18
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$6	86	86	+0	open	—	03-26 09:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$6	217	217	+0	open	—	03-26 09:30
btc updown 5m 1773220800	2	$6	31	0	+31	open	—	03-11 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773705600	5	$6	126	0	+126	open	—	03-17 00:02
amzn above 230 on march 31 2026	2	$5	72	72	+0	open	—	03-30 15:25
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	69	0	+69	open	—	05-16 20:44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-21 17:37
btc updown 5m 1773186600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 23:52
btc updown 5m 1773186900	1	$5	250	0	+250	open	—	03-10 23:59
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	06-24 16:13
btc updown 5m 1774887300	4	$5	96	0	+96	open	—	03-30 16:19
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-21 17:43
will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	2	$5	233	233	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$5	182	182	+0	open	—	04-01 06:36
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$4	0	11	-11	No	+$4	01-21 16:15
will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	2	$4	111	111	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	01-30 10:10
will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	2	$4	110	110	+0	open	—	02-28 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 20:15:35	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3a4e4f…
06-24 20:14:08	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb0a3ae…
06-24 20:13:58	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xce9341…
06-24 16:13:14	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8f5f07…
05-16 20:44:13	Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x3e15a1…
05-12 07:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d91fe…
05-12 07:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x985b9d…
05-12 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x3d3c7d…
05-12 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3903a6…
04-24 14:12:30	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x4ac9ae…
04-21 17:43:48	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5febac…
04-21 17:37:58	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xc47685…
04-06 14:22:33	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$2	0x42b53e…
04-03 15:16:51	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x4b1547…
04-01 06:36:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0xe37530…
03-30 16:19:29	btc updown 5m 1774887300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad7809…
03-30 16:19:13	btc updown 5m 1774887300	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2b9312…
03-30 16:18:51	btc updown 5m 1774887300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc534f8…
03-30 16:16:03	btc updown 5m 1774887300	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x87f4b0…
03-30 15:26:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xfbac12…
03-30 15:25:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa8a350…
03-30 15:25:15	amzn above 230 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x072e63…
03-26 09:41:31	amzn above 230 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x5b5609…
03-26 09:39:57	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x3c3ee8…
03-26 09:30:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$1	0xe1ad0d…
03-26 09:16:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0x26f92c…
03-26 09:13:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x43889c…
03-20 13:51:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xa4ea18…
03-20 13:49:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xa10735…
03-20 13:47:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x4029e4…
03-20 13:45:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcadb36…
03-17 00:41:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xfe7719…
03-17 00:37:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x65fefb…
03-17 00:17:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6546b1…
03-17 00:02:15	btc updown 5m 1773705600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2e9382…
03-17 00:01:55	btc updown 5m 1773705600	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2b4ba0…
03-17 00:01:45	btc updown 5m 1773705600	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x3956dc…
03-17 00:01:39	btc updown 5m 1773705600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce3115…
03-17 00:01:37	btc updown 5m 1773705600	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xe13d76…
03-16 23:38:55	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$9	0xdd8b80…
03-16 23:31:53	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xa70e8f…
03-12 08:23:11	btc updown 5m 1773303600	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xe174fd…
03-11 09:24:39	btc updown 5m 1773220800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf39fbd…
03-11 09:22:49	btc updown 5m 1773220800	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7628cc…
03-11 09:18:01	btc updown 5m 1773220500	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x04277d…
03-11 09:17:41	btc updown 5m 1773220500	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90bb01…
03-11 09:17:03	btc updown 5m 1773220500	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x999f04…
03-10 23:59:59	btc updown 5m 1773186900	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa7a9bc…
03-10 23:52:17	btc updown 5m 1773186600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc6089c…
03-10 23:46:59	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc2e4ad…
03-01 08:46:33	btc updown 5m 1772354700	Up	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x7d3396…
02-28 06:34:03	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x67b794…
02-28 06:34:01	will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$1	0xd9260e…
02-28 06:33:59	will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x6094de…
02-27 19:54:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	134	0¢	$0	0xea5117…
02-23 20:09:00	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x46eb5a…
02-23 20:08:46	will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x475236…
02-23 20:08:32	will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	Yes	BUY	233	2¢	$4	0x208170…
02-19 15:24:22	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	594	2¢	$10	0xb186ab…
02-19 12:08:06	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	594	2¢	$12	0xc58dfd…
02-18 22:20:34	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	565	2¢	$12	0xeb60e1…
02-05 23:08:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x5d9a53…
01-30 10:10:20	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xbcca40…
01-30 10:09:46	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xb16719…
01-29 14:42:06	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xdbac66…
01-21 16:15:16	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x30202b…