Knowing-Eavesdropper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$154.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$676

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-08 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$2,157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$11.3K	11,441	+11,441	open	—	05-29 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$9.8K	10,205	+10,205	open	—	05-31 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$9.1K	9,992	+9,992	open	—	05-23 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$8.8K	9,125	+9,125	open	—	05-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$8.4K	8,865	+8,865	open	—	05-20 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$8.2K	8,284	+8,284	open	—	05-16 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$8.1K	8,202	+8,202	open	—	05-16 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$8.0K	8,051	+8,051	Down	+$81	05-11 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$6.6K	6,703	+6,703	open	—	04-28 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$5.1K	5,289	+5,289	open	—	05-23 16:50
btc updown 5m 1780752000	2	$4.7K	4,802	+4,802	open	—	06-06 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$4.7K	4,821	+4,821	open	—	05-22 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$4.0K	4,011	+4,011	Up	+$40	05-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$3.9K	3,968	+3,968	Up	+$40	05-09 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	13	$3.8K	3,885	+3,885	open	—	05-17 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3.7K	3,794	+3,794	open	—	05-26 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$3.0K	3,018	+3,018	open	—	05-25 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2.8K	2,825	+2,825	open	—	06-03 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	12	$2.7K	2,712	+2,712	open	—	05-24 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,807	+1,807	open	—	05-18 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,771	+1,771	open	—	05-18 22:15
btc updown 5m 1780828800	1	$1.5K	1,521	+1,521	open	—	06-07 10:45
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,322	+1,322	open	—	05-23 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1.2K	1,286	+1,286	open	—	05-23 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1.2K	1,179	+1,179	open	—	05-27 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	27	$1.1K	1,133	+1,133	open	—	04-26 11:21
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1.1K	1,160	+1,160	open	—	05-02 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$1.0K	1,081	+1,081	open	—	05-15 08:15
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$990	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$10	05-12 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$938	971	+971	open	—	05-04 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:55:04	sol updown 5m 1780908600	Down	BUY	718	95¢	$685	0x43ec77…
06-08 05:50:04	sol updown 5m 1780897500	Up	BUY	519	98¢	$509	0x98e119…
06-08 05:00:04	sol updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	455	88¢	$401	0x40a7aa…
06-07 20:30:04	sol updown 5m 1780863900	Down	BUY	1,526	1¢	$15	0x35b16d…
06-07 18:45:04	xrp updown 5m 1780857600	Up	BUY	383	98¢	$375	0x6eddb3…
06-07 10:45:04	btc updown 5m 1780828800	Up	BUY	1,521	97¢	$1,481	0x944c60…
06-06 14:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780755300	Down	BUY	529	99¢	$522	0x121c6a…
06-06 13:25:04	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	BUY	2,676	97¢	$2,588	0xe18084…
06-06 13:25:04	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	BUY	2,126	99¢	$2,104	0x27f546…
06-03 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,262	96¢	$1,214	0xefdada…
06-03 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,563	99¢	$1,548	0xd17b4a…
06-03 13:10:03	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xad27cd…
06-03 12:05:04	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x8245e3…
06-01 10:20:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	760	99¢	$752	0xf37024…
05-31 21:25:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	295	98¢	$290	0x891264…
05-31 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2,981	99¢	$2,950	0xd33b1f…
05-31 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3,297	95¢	$3,144	0xcf2bba…
05-31 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2,268	91¢	$2,063	0x466d60…
05-31 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,659	99¢	$1,642	0x428a49…
05-30 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x14f7d0…
05-30 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x74cf11…
05-29 19:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,357	99¢	$1,343	0xd00ccc…
05-29 19:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x7f0c4f…
05-29 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x8ff610…
05-29 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x895637…
05-29 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x2a07ce…
05-29 19:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x5be658…
05-29 09:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xe30d6b…
05-28 19:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	540	99¢	$534	0x17f875…
05-27 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,179	99¢	$1,167	0xa18bed…
05-27 04:00:05	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	710	97¢	$692	0x66c8d2…
05-26 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2,048	99¢	$2,026	0xd3f0b0…
05-26 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,746	95¢	$1,658	0x18b91a…
05-26 18:15:54	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x15427c…
05-26 18:15:12	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe32b5f…
05-25 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2,562	99¢	$2,531	0xd7b12d…
05-25 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	456	99¢	$451	0xd0a1eb…
05-25 13:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	551	82¢	$454	0x5fd9dd…
05-25 13:20:04	xrp updown 5m 1779714900	Down	BUY	412	99¢	$408	0xd18160…
05-25 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	498	88¢	$440	0xfcf62f…
05-24 15:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xaad66d…
05-24 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8a538d…
05-24 15:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x37b3b4…
05-24 15:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	209	99¢	$206	0x227e7d…
05-24 15:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x27f556…
05-24 15:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x17f606…
05-24 15:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca135f…
05-24 15:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xb692d1…
05-24 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8ed642…
05-24 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x28314c…
05-24 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,897	99¢	$1,878	0xed0aad…
05-24 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	456	99¢	$451	0x5e5f8f…
05-24 03:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	782	98¢	$770	0x4c439c…
05-23 22:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	553	98¢	$542	0xaee714…
05-23 16:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,322	97¢	$1,281	0xce06e1…
05-23 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,934	91¢	$1,764	0x3ae93a…
05-23 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2,865	99¢	$2,830	0x078e9f…
05-23 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	490	99¢	$485	0x04bf62…
05-23 14:40:04	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xf3496b…
05-23 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3,274	99¢	$3,230	0xf3ab55…
05-23 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6,713	87¢	$5,857	0x319242…
05-23 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x02be52…
05-23 10:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,286	97¢	$1,247	0x84e153…
05-22 23:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	459	98¢	$451	0x67df35…
05-22 20:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	481	96¢	$462	0x25abf8…
05-22 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2,630	99¢	$2,595	0xf910aa…
05-22 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,061	90¢	$955	0x92ad92…
05-22 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,119	0x09420e…
05-22 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x4233f5…
05-21 04:55:04	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x53752b…
05-21 01:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	593	99¢	$587	0xb8207a…
05-20 18:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1b34b9…
05-20 18:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x0ffba2…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	736	99¢	$729	0xd21e1a…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2,985	99¢	$2,955	0x64684d…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,433	94¢	$1,350	0x6284af…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,322	86¢	$1,134	0x3627cf…
05-20 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2,649	98¢	$2,592	0x065937…
05-20 06:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2,050	99¢	$2,030	0xf8ceff…
05-20 06:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,972	97¢	$1,907	0xe818e4…
05-20 06:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2,847	99¢	$2,818	0xcd063c…
05-20 06:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,997	84¢	$1,679	0x295a03…
05-20 02:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xf461c1…
05-19 14:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	810	99¢	$802	0xd78c0a…
05-18 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,771	97¢	$1,721	0x223857…
05-18 19:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x642828…
05-18 19:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x438a86…
05-18 13:40:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xec9dc8…
05-18 11:05:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	910	97¢	$887	0x7ddf9a…
05-18 08:00:05	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	516	99¢	$509	0xc36e92…
05-18 05:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,178	96¢	$1,125	0x5a093b…
05-18 05:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	629	99¢	$623	0x173bfc…
05-18 02:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x36333b…
05-17 18:35:05	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	533	96¢	$512	0xe789bd…
05-17 18:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	764	97¢	$744	0x2ee1c7…
05-17 16:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,043	61¢	$635	0xb8a648…
05-17 15:55:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	295	98¢	$290	0xfa0ebf…
05-17 10:40:04	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	401	99¢	$397	0x7df52f…
05-17 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xdf7423…
05-17 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc7740e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	108	$6.29K	936	06-08 08:50
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	102	$9.50K	871	06-08 04:55
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	94	$26.4K	2,366	05-31 21:22
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	83	$6.86K	3,547	06-08 08:54
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	81	$34.0K	6,334	06-08 08:54
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	80	$11.4K	2,374	06-08 08:54
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	75	$15.1K	1,979	06-08 08:54
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	73	$1.81K	396	06-08 08:51