Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$65

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-16 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 43% $-2

Politics

12% 0% $-3

Other

8% 0% $-1

Tech

7% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	-10	$-5	50¢	$-5	+$0	06-16 00:20
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	-8	$-4	53¢	$-4	+$0	05-28 20:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-15	$-2	10¢	$-1	+$1	05-28 20:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	06-16 00:20
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-08 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 14:25
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$4	0	8	-8	open	—	05-28 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Up	$-4	05-10 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-10 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-11 13:41
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$3	7	0	+7	Canadiens	+$4	05-08 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-10 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	$-3	05-07 22:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$3	0	4	-4	Yes	$-1	05-10 19:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$2	0	15	-15	open	—	05-28 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	Down	$-2	05-11 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-11 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$2	33	0	+33	Up	$-2	05-11 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Down	+$9	05-11 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-11 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 00:20:34	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x37ae0a…
05-28 22:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6bafab…
05-28 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb3761b…
05-28 20:51:52	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x1b6aff…
05-28 20:51:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xc2573d…
05-11 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb7f69d…
05-11 21:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf87eb1…
05-11 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2277ff…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcca909…
05-11 14:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2410a8…
05-11 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0a1c2f…
05-11 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8f685e…
05-11 14:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3873f0…
05-11 13:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8989f1…
05-11 13:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x42ae5d…
05-11 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8cde6e…
05-10 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x99e13a…
05-10 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x94fd2f…
05-10 19:30:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xf0f9ea…
05-10 18:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x981258…
05-08 15:21:34	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x639510…
05-08 00:05:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x591a9c…
05-07 22:48:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3e1443…