Careful-Rations — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

16,843

lifetime

Volume

$1.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-28 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 2290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 26	14	$31.1K	41,895	41,895	+0	open	—	01-26 16:45
btc updown 15m 1769544900	2	$26.1K	13,131	13,131	+0	open	—	01-27 20:31
ethereum up or down on january 28	2	$24.6K	12,729	12,729	+0	open	—	01-28 17:00
bitcoin up or down on january 23	8	$22.2K	18,334	13,353	+4,981	open	—	01-23 17:10
bitcoin up or down on january 27	4	$18.5K	11,370	11,370	+0	open	—	01-27 17:01
bitcoin up or down on january 25	8	$11.9K	18,051	18,051	+0	open	—	01-25 14:32
btc updown 15m 1773156600	3	$11.4K	6,063	6,045	+18	open	—	03-10 15:45
btc updown 15m 1769357700	3	$11.2K	7,917	7,814	+103	open	—	01-25 16:30
sol updown 15m 1769537700	4	$11.1K	6,114	6,082	+32	open	—	01-27 18:30
btc updown 5m 1770900300	2	$10.5K	6,738	6,638	+100	open	—	02-12 12:51
eth updown 15m 1769455800	2	$10.5K	11,805	0	+11,805	open	—	01-26 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$9.4K	6,098	6,098	+0	Up	+$2,637	05-10 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	65	$8.6K	5,526	5,526	+0	open	—	05-18 08:58
btc updown 15m 1769163300	2	$8.0K	4,723	4,671	+53	open	—	01-23 10:33
btc updown 15m 1770396300	5	$7.9K	4,824	4,804	+20	open	—	02-06 17:00
solana up or down on january 28	3	$7.9K	6,494	6,494	+0	open	—	01-27 20:55
btc updown 5m 1780931100	62	$7.5K	4,522	4,522	+0	open	—	06-08 15:11
btc updown 5m 1770900900	2	$7.1K	4,737	4,664	+74	open	—	02-12 13:01
btc updown 5m 1770902400	2	$7.0K	11,168	0	+11,168	open	—	02-12 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	98	$6.8K	4,160	4,160	+0	Up	+$1,147	05-10 16:56
sol updown 15m 1769354100	6	$6.8K	4,303	4,245	+58	open	—	01-25 15:30
sol updown 15m 1769355900	1	$6.6K	7,119	0	+7,119	open	—	01-25 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	68	$6.4K	4,202	4,202	+0	Up	+$1,640	05-10 17:29
eth updown 15m 1769353200	4	$6.2K	3,346	3,335	+11	open	—	01-25 15:15
btc updown 15m 1769977800	3	$5.6K	3,005	2,996	+9	open	—	02-01 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	151	$5.6K	5,211	5,044	+167	open	—	04-25 12:14
btc updown 15m 1769259600	3	$5.5K	3,636	3,581	+56	open	—	01-24 13:16
btc updown 5m 1782645300	14	$5.5K	3,629	3,629	+0	open	—	06-28 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$5.4K	3,073	3,073	+0	Up	+$642	05-10 17:20
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11am et	2	$5.4K	3,069	3,047	+23	open	—	03-25 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 17:31:28	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	406	74¢	$300	0x8aa966…
06-28 17:31:13	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xccff3d…
06-28 17:31:04	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x6d6d62…
06-28 17:30:52	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	183	59¢	$108	0x6bc62d…
06-28 17:30:46	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	477	63¢	$300	0x8cafc2…
06-28 17:30:38	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	529	57¢	$300	0x2352fc…
06-28 17:29:47	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x11f3eb…
06-28 17:29:46	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4ad812…
06-28 17:29:43	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x011639…
06-28 17:29:41	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xbbf0e1…
06-28 17:29:31	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3b3028…
06-28 17:29:31	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0b8948…
06-28 17:29:29	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf962ba…
06-28 17:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x4464a3…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xfb7fa5…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe7cb45…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe3cf3f…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1adb6…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe16a78…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe00c1a…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc72f16…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa9407c…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa51f65…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa4685a…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9acd7d…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e2b0e…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8d8a44…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86d02b…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a59c6…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x74c00a…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x729f5a…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x622a4b…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x615e37…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x57bf20…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x5136de…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c38d0…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40c6f7…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3ffc88…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3b2d36…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2be939…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x2bc3cf…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b11c1…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28bbd9…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1a84ed…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x199e5e…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x171524…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x138adc…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x13295b…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0acb5a…
06-28 17:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x060e48…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd44008…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xa785a1…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa58e22…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x979d6f…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x73b87d…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x65139c…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x2e534c…
06-28 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2c1aa6…
06-28 17:21:56	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	BUY	615	49¢	$300	0xe0021d…
06-28 17:21:22	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	BUY	465	64¢	$300	0xeabfb4…
06-28 17:20:58	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Up	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xedf3d1…
06-28 17:19:22	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	398	50¢	$200	0x29fc7a…
06-28 17:18:58	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	622	48¢	$300	0x5bc963…
06-28 17:18:43	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	677	44¢	$300	0xe7846e…
06-28 17:18:31	btc updown 5m 1782666900	Up	SELL	824	33¢	$272	0xb9c9f0…
06-28 17:18:02	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x0d9439…
06-28 17:17:14	btc updown 5m 1782666900	Up	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xce0e5a…
06-28 17:16:49	btc updown 5m 1782666900	Up	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0x539b48…
06-28 17:16:29	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	459	65¢	$300	0x9bce8f…
06-28 17:15:56	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	450	67¢	$300	0xe3adfe…
06-28 17:15:46	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	463	65¢	$300	0x0e2051…
06-28 17:15:31	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	468	64¢	$300	0x2c6063…
06-28 17:12:38	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	SELL	1,138	9¢	$108	0xde3bf9…
06-28 17:12:31	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	SELL	732	10¢	$73	0x9802df…
06-28 17:11:46	btc updown 5m 1782666600	Up	SELL	499	3¢	$15	0x849942…
06-28 17:10:41	btc updown 5m 1782666600	Up	BUY	499	40¢	$200	0x86371f…
06-28 17:05:56	btc updown 5m 1782666300	Up	BUY	591	51¢	$300	0x743c28…
06-28 17:05:31	btc updown 5m 1782666300	Up	BUY	664	45¢	$300	0xaf31a5…
06-28 17:03:32	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	BUY	137	54¢	$75	0xc8719f…
06-28 17:03:16	btc updown 5m 1782666000	Up	SELL	1,136	39¢	$443	0x1958e3…
06-28 17:02:40	btc updown 5m 1782666000	Up	BUY	560	54¢	$300	0x3a9525…
06-28 17:02:13	btc updown 5m 1782666000	Up	BUY	576	52¢	$300	0x7b68d2…
06-28 17:01:44	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	BUY	573	52¢	$300	0x2bba95…
06-28 17:01:01	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	BUY	562	53¢	$300	0x12d3f4…
06-28 17:00:52	btc updown 15m 1782666000	Up	BUY	597	50¢	$300	0x8572a2…
06-28 16:55:22	btc updown 5m 1782665700	Up	BUY	605	50¢	$300	0x3e285d…
06-28 16:53:20	btc updown 5m 1782665400	Down	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x4c0e10…
06-28 16:52:52	btc updown 5m 1782665400	Down	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xccf46a…
06-28 16:51:52	btc updown 5m 1782665400	Up	SELL	643	37¢	$238	0x150322…
06-28 16:50:40	btc updown 5m 1782665400	Up	BUY	643	47¢	$300	0xcb8253…
06-28 16:47:13	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Up	BUY	434	69¢	$300	0xfbe780…
06-28 16:47:04	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x141cc9…
06-28 16:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	BUY	451	67¢	$300	0x2308d0…
06-28 16:46:49	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xaa7b92…
06-28 16:46:37	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Up	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0xc792f2…
06-28 16:46:07	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Up	BUY	936	53¢	$500	0xca919e…
06-28 16:44:31	btc updown 5m 1782664800	Up	SELL	352	1¢	$4	0xafef7d…
06-28 16:44:08	btc updown 5m 1782664800	Up	SELL	295	2¢	$6	0x23d7ca…
06-28 16:41:37	btc updown 5m 1782664800	Up	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xf1bc19…
06-28 16:41:22	btc updown 5m 1782664800	Up	BUY	461	65¢	$300	0x22bfd9…