Ugly-Horizon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$494

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

658

Trades

896

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-31 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

86% 48% +$837

Sports

14% 37% -$331

Crypto

0% 36% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	5	$290	209	209	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$128	07-12 11:52
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	5	$152	269	50	+219	Max Holloway	-$53	07-12 03:44
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?	3	$121	79	79	+0	Yes	+$37	09-29 12:11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$110	167	0	+167	Yes	+$57	06-20 14:46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	1	$102	185	0	+185	Yes	+$83	09-15 12:39
kbo kia kt 2026 06 19	6	$101	193	0	+193	Kia Tigers	+$42	06-19 09:30
lol gen hle1 2026 09 13	3	$100	176	0	+176	Gen.G	+$76	09-13 06:10
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$89	60	60	+0	Alexander Volkanovski	+$29	10-24 21:07
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$74	126	19	+108	Joshua Van	-$36	09-20 04:20
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins	2	$74	112	0	+112	LG Twins	+$38	09-20 04:22
lol kc dk 2026 07 19	1	$70	100	0	+100	Dplus KIA	+$30	07-19 10:28
lol hle1 t1 2026 08 23	1	$70	130	0	+130	Hanwha Life Esports	+$60	08-23 07:11
UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$64	50	50	+0	Patricio Pitbull	+$35	09-20 04:20
lol ly jdg 2026 07 15	2	$63	40	40	+0	JD Gaming	+$17	07-15 16:11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$62	106	0	+106	open	—	10-31 19:46
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$62	80	0	+80	Gen.G	+$18	10-23 11:36
ufc jea2 seo1 2026 07 18	1	$60	97	0	+97	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	-$60	07-18 17:24
lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14	2	$59	100	0	+100	BNK FEARX	-$59	10-14 02:34
lol g2 dk 2026 07 16	2	$59	100	0	+100	Dplus KIA	+$41	07-16 12:09
lol t1 dk 2026 09 06	3	$56	98	0	+98	T1	+$42	09-06 08:08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$55	100	0	+100	Yes	+$45	06-29 15:59
Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29?	1	$54	80	0	+80	No	-$54	09-29 15:36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$54	77	0	+77	Hanwha Life Esports	+$23	05-15 07:50
lol gen hle1 2026 09 05	2	$53	90	0	+90	Gen.G	+$37	09-05 06:40
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?	2	$52	30	30	+0	No	+$7	05-27 21:11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	1	$50	102	0	+102	No	-$50	10-14 17:45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$49	69	0	+69	Invictus Gaming	+$20	10-24 21:12
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$48	30	30	+0	Ghana	+$12	06-23 22:04
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$48	100	0	+100	Top Esports	+$52	10-25 17:51
lol ts kc 2026 07 15	2	$47	70	0	+70	Karmine Corp	+$23	07-15 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:49:31	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x760c78…
10-31 19:46:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xe115ee…
10-31 16:33:27	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	46	58¢	$26	0x93fc12…
10-31 16:32:57	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x8e8ed2…
10-31 16:32:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xc8f63e…
10-31 16:31:46	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xea75e2…
10-31 16:31:24	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x35fc3d…
10-31 16:31:13	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe22058…
10-31 16:30:40	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd3cca4…
10-31 07:00:15	Will Suwon Bluewings win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe79f0a…
10-29 08:36:20	KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x5856e4…
10-28 19:32:49	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x4ede3e…
10-28 19:32:29	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa172e5…
10-28 19:31:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x80cc65…
10-28 19:30:55	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc0a9d3…
10-28 19:30:44	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x672dc3…
10-28 19:30:38	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcec12b…
10-28 11:16:10	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x2ba19b…
10-28 11:15:55	Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x6e60b8…
10-27 19:40:06	Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4fb964…
10-27 19:38:32	Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x35fb43…
10-27 19:38:15	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf5b3b1…
10-26 19:03:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x68b441…
10-26 18:45:30	Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	LOS	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x78939d…
10-26 18:45:11	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x1aed99…
10-26 17:45:45	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x034cf1…
10-26 17:45:36	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x4e4a92…
10-26 16:06:54	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x4cca3d…
10-26 15:23:23	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x09fd29…
10-26 06:58:14	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xa68862…
10-26 04:19:14	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x72afb1…
10-26 04:04:35	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe3cef0…
10-25 18:52:48	Will Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x3ca462…
10-25 18:50:27	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x796d08…
10-25 18:49:27	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x4b882f…
10-25 17:51:42	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x60c31a…
10-25 16:57:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x461259…
10-25 09:27:26	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x19d0a3…
10-25 09:27:18	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6ad75d…
10-25 04:24:41	Seongnam Ilhwa vs. Suwon Bluewings: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0bfffa…
10-25 04:24:26	Will Suwon Bluewings win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x6495a7…
10-24 21:12:18	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x1feef5…
10-24 21:10:39	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xac95a8…
10-24 21:07:11	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x5d5b68…
10-24 19:47:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xc3cf46…
10-24 18:45:47	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc57955…
10-24 18:45:17	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe1d079…
10-24 18:44:11	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x3bd819…
10-24 18:08:50	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x75a2af…
10-24 18:07:15	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x83ddd5…
10-24 16:31:02	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x29d419…
10-24 16:29:47	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x12f2ee…
10-24 16:27:27	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb6ddac…
10-24 16:27:20	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x2ab0b2…
10-24 16:26:48	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x0d8822…
10-24 03:27:26	FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x84be87…
10-24 03:26:32	Will FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xa7e9e4…
10-24 03:26:21	FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaa8b27…
10-24 03:26:06	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x520e09…
10-24 03:25:59	Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6ec845…
10-23 17:59:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	47	77¢	$37	0x55bf8f…
10-23 11:36:50	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x861c1f…
10-22 18:45:03	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xe5c59e…
10-22 18:08:59	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x6aa6eb…
10-22 10:09:33	Mobis Phoebus vs. LG Sakers	LG Sakers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9762e9…
10-21 17:58:23	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x524e1a…
10-21 17:56:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xa93e12…
10-20 13:51:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	87	37¢	$32	0xc71d50…
10-20 04:23:38	KBO Playoff: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x99eaba…
10-20 03:37:36	KBO Playoff: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x207554…
10-20 03:34:47	KBO Playoff: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x82c4db…
10-20 03:26:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x0d5990…
10-19 18:02:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x26dd53…
10-19 18:02:21	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x30edb9…
10-19 16:11:47	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xdf5dd7…
10-19 16:11:09	Will AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8a84be…
10-19 16:10:57	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xf8e651…
10-19 16:10:48	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc332c7…
10-18 17:53:50	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x89bacb…
10-18 10:26:12	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x1065d9…
10-18 10:26:05	AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xacf206…
10-18 10:25:53	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xeb3679…
10-18 10:25:32	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xb17c66…
10-18 10:25:24	Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe3638a…
10-18 10:23:39	Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xa80cef…
10-18 10:23:32	Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdf519e…
10-18 06:51:39	Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x736f38…
10-18 06:51:30	Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1f6345…
10-18 06:51:24	Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x66fbdd…
10-18 03:05:09	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)	MVK Esports	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x570e8c…
10-18 03:04:32	KBO Playoff: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x438cfa…
10-18 03:02:45	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x6a40ca…
10-18 03:02:38	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x405f14…
10-18 00:51:26	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xdb21ac…
10-18 00:50:36	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xbeb72b…
10-17 17:59:35	LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xf7780d…
10-17 00:16:08	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	Team WE	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x8a569a…
10-16 22:43:35	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17 game handicap away 1pt5	Team WE	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x1635a0…
10-16 19:51:54	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x56f7d4…
10-16 19:49:06	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x8900e2…