Secondary-Washtub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$433

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

531

Trades

1,063

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-03 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

69% 43% -$391

Sports

20% 76% +$33

Politics

6% 27% -$28

Crypto

2% 0% -$32

Tech

2% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No		+0	-$1	80¢	$0	+$1	05-20 07:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	18	$511	455	655	-199	Yes	-$48	05-14 03:29
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	11	$470	324	324	+0	No	-$3	07-06 00:50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$455	239	239	+0	Spurs	+$15	05-07 03:05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	3	$424	225	225	+0	Yes	+$24	05-10 23:37
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon	2	$408	208	208	+0	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	+$8	05-08 22:20
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	10	$336	217	217	+0	No	+$1	05-18 18:05
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	2	$327	167	167	+0	Yes	+$7	04-24 20:36
Thunder vs. Suns	2	$309	155	155	+0	Thunder	+$1	04-25 22:13
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$307	154	154	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$0	04-25 19:01
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	4	$307	244	244	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$18	04-29 16:50
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	8	$303	272	272	+0	No	-$15	04-17 18:18
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	6	$297	326	326	+0	No	-$54	05-06 23:31
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	8	$291	215	215	+0	Yes	-$17	07-13 17:45
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	3	$276	139	139	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$2	05-13 03:34
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	2	$265	167	167	+0	New York Yankees	+$68	05-07 19:55
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	3	$261	168	168	+0	Yes	-$15	05-05 10:26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot	3	$258	138	138	+0	Barbora Krejcikova	+$18	05-05 11:31
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	10	$254	147	147	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 09:46
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	3	$252	140	140	+0	No	-$1	04-26 04:55
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsa	3	$245	167	167	+0	Shuai Zhang	-$85	05-19 10:26
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	2	$219	119	119	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$19	05-09 02:33
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	7	$219	85	175	-90	Yes	-$17	05-25 23:15
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$215	129	349	-220	No	-$19	04-24 18:40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$208	109	108	+0	Yes	+$9	04-25 16:02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	3	$205	106	106	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 20:55
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$203	108	108	+0	Pistons	+$13	05-16 01:54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	05-16 17:06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	2	$201	101	101	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$1	05-16 20:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$191	98	98	+0	No	$0	04-18 20:28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$190	96	96	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$1	04-21 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:18:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x566d0d…
11-03 12:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2550a8…
11-03 03:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x5b5371…
11-03 03:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0xa60e1b…
11-01 11:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x85f6e0…
11-01 03:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x7a46f3…
11-01 03:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xf18c20…
11-01 03:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x7cabf9…
11-01 03:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xf09845…
10-31 13:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x27ec0a…
10-31 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x81aa9e…
10-31 03:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x7dfb20…
10-31 03:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x98eaa6…
10-31 03:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x812b0b…
10-31 03:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x5b5ea4…
10-30 03:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x34b0d3…
10-29 00:40:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x08f236…
10-28 08:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x9f8404…
10-28 03:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x48955e…
10-28 03:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x100b72…
10-27 03:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x146819…
10-27 03:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x7c4eae…
10-27 03:05:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5e073d…
10-27 03:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x2947b4…
10-27 03:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9c216d…
10-27 01:00:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x473923…
10-26 09:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7f2358…
10-26 03:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x377633…
10-26 03:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x8fc0a3…
10-26 00:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2d8103…
10-25 03:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd676ec…
10-25 03:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x31a297…
10-24 12:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x6cff80…
10-24 03:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x979abc…
10-24 03:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x45a41f…
10-23 03:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xf22324…
10-23 03:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x934289…
10-23 03:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$2	0x291f7b…
10-23 03:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x91a0da…
10-22 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xee6281…
10-22 03:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x12f06b…
10-22 03:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x47fa3d…
10-22 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xe56334…
10-21 10:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xec5e2d…
10-21 03:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf63531…
10-21 03:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x585741…
10-19 03:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x9d17fa…
10-18 19:48:35	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x20bfcc…
10-18 15:41:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe24512…
10-18 13:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xad963a…
10-18 04:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x93c20d…
10-18 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x1a60c6…
10-18 04:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x95b1cc…
10-18 03:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc2e0b3…
10-17 03:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x08f42d…
10-17 03:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x836e74…
10-16 09:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0ba57f…
10-16 03:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xe29a52…
10-16 03:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xeaf8f4…
10-16 03:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xa40cdc…
10-15 11:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd6ff54…
10-15 03:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x9d20d0…
10-15 03:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x623ba4…
10-14 03:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0b0907…
10-13 18:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdfad4a…
10-13 03:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x21e001…
10-12 11:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb68651…
10-12 03:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8a8e89…
10-12 03:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$4	0x395caf…
10-12 03:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x573931…
10-11 11:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xea6a07…
10-11 03:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x597063…
10-11 03:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xd98926…
10-11 03:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x02206c…
10-11 03:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x92c201…
10-10 19:20:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xba7aab…
10-10 04:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5c2e55…
10-09 10:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0cb9c7…
10-09 03:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x14e927…
10-09 03:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x60c5bd…
10-08 03:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x41bd6b…
10-07 05:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xf0ed3a…
10-07 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x2cf524…
10-07 03:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa11846…
10-07 03:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x36a8a8…
10-06 10:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf94e15…
10-06 03:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xd86f07…
10-06 03:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x20f58e…
10-05 09:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7d1b3b…
10-05 04:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$11	0x7229a8…
10-05 04:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8cfd07…
09-28 03:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x4d9eb0…
09-28 03:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x6ca1f7…
09-28 03:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xbac762…
09-27 03:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x7c3cef…
09-27 03:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xb32911…
09-27 03:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xb0b84d…
09-27 03:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xbb1905…
09-26 10:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x838199…
09-26 03:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe78b0a…