False-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

118

Trades

1,921

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-05 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-442

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$477	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	20	$438	700	290	+410	open	—	04-25 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776787200	1	$297	300	0	+300	open	—	04-21 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$264	200	200	+0	Down	+$56	05-06 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	14	$227	200	190	+10	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	15	$220	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	12	$213	400	150	+250	open	—	04-25 19:44
btc updown 5m 1777023000	24	$209	410	0	+410	open	—	04-24 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$199	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$198	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	16	$197	210	209	+1	open	—	04-25 22:05
btc updown 5m 1776786600	2	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	04-21 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$185	500	0	+500	open	—	04-27 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$185	200	0	+200	open	—	04-30 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	24	$182	600	0	+600	open	—	04-24 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$180	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	17	$175	500	0	+500	Up	$-175	05-04 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	26	$167	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	17	$163	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	21	$162	165	164	+1	open	—	04-24 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$160	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776803700	3	$158	200	97	+103	open	—	04-21 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	9	$156	300	96	+204	open	—	04-25 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$144	186	100	+86	open	—	04-29 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	10	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	11	$138	600	0	+600	open	—	04-24 22:10
btc updown 5m 1777058400	14	$132	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 21:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780695000	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x159651…
06-05 21:29:00	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x7efc1c…
06-05 21:19:19	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc9ad73…
06-05 21:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc1ff3d…
06-05 21:12:21	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x15f10f…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xee70ec…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x98d5dd…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1c8ec1…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c19fa…
06-05 21:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x925bfa…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xef2829…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xd9a116…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x603091…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x4abde7…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x0fff23…
06-05 20:57:16	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x3eaa03…
06-05 20:34:07	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Down	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9d147e…
06-05 20:31:10	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x10242f…
06-05 20:27:57	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xb0a004…
06-05 20:25:36	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x795a7f…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0xfbd16a…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe2946f…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd40c1c…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x58e0bb…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x1fe0e7…
06-05 20:04:39	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x95d17f…
06-05 19:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab2fbf…
06-05 19:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c5bc4…
06-05 19:12:13	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa9d450…
06-05 19:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa42403…
06-05 19:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6997b6…
06-05 19:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xfbd6ed…
06-05 19:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x40356e…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x49acf9…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	64	65¢	$42	0x45f2a5…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x2c94c7…
06-05 19:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x424f5c…
06-05 19:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x12d894…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf5ec7c…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x93d78e…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x301919…
06-05 18:54:48	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x29faff…
06-05 18:51:24	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x324393…
06-05 18:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x17b09d…
06-05 18:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9ed13b…
05-30 03:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf64d22…
05-30 03:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x5d6d98…
05-30 03:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa01f65…
05-30 03:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd35389…
05-30 02:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4dd517…
05-30 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x790a91…
05-30 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xc1c3c5…
05-30 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x65d6d1…
05-17 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xde4fd9…
05-17 09:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x96cefe…
05-16 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x292b76…
05-16 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe93654…
05-16 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x982323…
05-16 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x1f224d…
05-16 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	46	56¢	$26	0x1b2868…
05-16 20:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x5c2b43…
05-16 20:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0xd97a8b…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe72c34…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x86140d…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x665334…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x3c3ba6…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x37e394…
05-16 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0af928…
05-16 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7967e3…
05-16 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xa4709e…
05-16 20:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$19	0xc1bbe2…
05-16 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3945b7…
05-16 19:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$24	0xb5115c…
05-16 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc929a1…
05-16 19:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdd6899…
05-16 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3a7f43…
05-16 19:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbf76b9…
05-16 19:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x9411e7…
05-16 19:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x889bfd…
05-16 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b57cd…
05-16 18:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5c7ef9…
05-16 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfa12a4…
05-16 18:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc1b90…
05-14 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd01340…
05-14 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5141c4…
05-14 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0eee68…
05-14 20:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc5b946…
05-14 20:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xccc964…
05-14 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c904e…
05-14 09:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa7a979…
05-14 07:22:32	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4c10fe…
05-13 10:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaebe3e…
05-13 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xe56af2…
05-13 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0xd4358b…
05-13 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x9a2725…
05-13 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x6e60a7…
05-13 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x5ff163…
05-13 10:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xb73cbb…
05-13 10:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xa0735a…
05-13 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xbf0793…