False-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

118

Trades

1,977

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-03 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 47% $-442

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$477	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	20	$438	700	290	+410	open	—	04-25 22:09
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	13	$298	160	160	+0	open	—	07-01 22:49
btc updown 5m 1776787200	1	$297	300	0	+300	open	—	04-21 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$264	200	200	+0	Down	+$56	05-06 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	14	$227	200	190	+10	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	15	$220	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 23:24
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	2	$214	114	114	+0	open	—	06-25 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	12	$213	400	150	+250	open	—	04-25 19:44
btc updown 5m 1777023000	24	$209	410	0	+410	open	—	04-24 09:32
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	2	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	07-01 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$199	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$198	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	16	$197	210	209	+1	open	—	04-25 22:05
btc updown 5m 1776786600	2	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	04-21 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$185	500	0	+500	open	—	04-27 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$185	200	0	+200	open	—	04-30 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	24	$182	600	0	+600	open	—	04-24 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$180	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	17	$175	500	0	+500	Up	$-175	05-04 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	26	$167	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	17	$163	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	21	$162	165	164	+1	open	—	04-24 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$160	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776803700	3	$158	200	97	+103	open	—	04-21 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	9	$156	300	96	+204	open	—	04-25 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$144	186	100	+86	open	—	04-29 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 18:47:28	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x63bcc3…
07-03 18:40:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x553f57…
07-03 18:38:17	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x986ee5…
07-03 17:59:40	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf2bd89…
07-03 17:59:25	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa4c2bb…
07-01 22:49:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xb97980…
07-01 22:48:11	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x37fd2c…
07-01 22:48:07	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x00ab47…
07-01 22:45:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc9795c…
07-01 22:45:53	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe175c4…
07-01 22:44:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x524e2b…
07-01 22:44:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c7537…
07-01 22:39:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xe79b7f…
07-01 22:39:19	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfe2978…
07-01 22:38:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x09c654…
07-01 22:38:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4a770d…
07-01 22:38:44	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x7acdb2…
07-01 22:38:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x02c418…
07-01 22:00:35	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xec3fdd…
07-01 21:59:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xc55936…
07-01 20:55:05	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6083bf…
07-01 20:47:28	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x58d412…
06-25 21:59:34	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xaf6bea…
06-25 20:45:40	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x10ef6b…
06-25 07:04:47	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc906f9…
06-23 20:52:59	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7a104c…
06-23 20:52:13	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Ghana	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x1ba387…
06-23 20:40:07	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x187009…
06-23 20:37:41	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd9bebe…
06-23 19:00:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0512…
06-23 19:00:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd1d3d…
06-23 18:30:58	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x97735c…
06-23 18:29:37	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x003979…
06-22 19:07:56	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2d2fea…
06-22 17:56:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xee7ffd…
06-21 06:28:20	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners team away 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x112e64…
06-20 22:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781993100	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa7d1cc…
06-20 20:42:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34a6b8…
06-20 20:32:14	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x56efd2…
06-20 14:27:56	btc updown 5m 1781965500	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f3371…
06-19 11:14:53	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x58ade1…
06-19 10:59:41	btc updown 5m 1781866500	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2a2045…
06-19 10:47:59	btc updown 5m 1781865900	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x33ca3d…
06-19 10:44:55	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe1b715…
06-19 10:44:44	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xbd63f3…
06-19 10:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa7b4cf…
06-19 10:37:32	btc updown 5m 1781865300	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x5d96a5…
06-19 10:35:52	btc updown 5m 1781865300	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x82b2bd…
06-19 10:32:05	btc updown 5m 1781865000	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xef118b…
06-19 10:32:05	btc updown 5m 1781865000	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x826603…
06-19 10:32:05	btc updown 5m 1781865000	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x17973d…
06-19 10:32:05	btc updown 5m 1781865000	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0b42dd…
06-19 10:32:04	btc updown 5m 1781865000	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xccace3…
06-19 10:26:49	btc updown 5m 1781864700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x655bd7…
06-19 10:24:52	btc updown 5m 1781864400	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x9d1280…
06-19 10:24:25	btc updown 5m 1781864400	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x9897ac…
06-05 21:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780695000	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x159651…
06-05 21:29:00	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x7efc1c…
06-05 21:19:19	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc9ad73…
06-05 21:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc1ff3d…
06-05 21:12:21	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x15f10f…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xee70ec…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x98d5dd…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1c8ec1…
06-05 21:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c19fa…
06-05 21:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x925bfa…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xef2829…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xd9a116…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x603091…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x4abde7…
06-05 21:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x0fff23…
06-05 20:57:16	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x3eaa03…
06-05 20:34:07	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Down	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9d147e…
06-05 20:31:10	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x10242f…
06-05 20:27:57	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xb0a004…
06-05 20:25:36	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x795a7f…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0xfbd16a…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe2946f…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd40c1c…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x58e0bb…
06-05 20:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x1fe0e7…
06-05 20:04:39	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x95d17f…
06-05 19:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab2fbf…
06-05 19:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c5bc4…
06-05 19:12:13	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa9d450…
06-05 19:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa42403…
06-05 19:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6997b6…
06-05 19:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xfbd6ed…
06-05 19:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x40356e…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x49acf9…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	64	65¢	$42	0x45f2a5…
06-05 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x2c94c7…
06-05 19:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x424f5c…
06-05 19:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x12d894…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf5ec7c…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x93d78e…
06-05 19:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x301919…
06-05 18:54:48	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x29faff…
06-05 18:51:24	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x324393…
06-05 18:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x17b09d…