Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

114

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$554

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

13 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 09-04 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

60% 83% -$1

Politics

37% 81% +$0

Crypto

3% 0% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$1	08-29 18:09
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	No	+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	08-29 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$2	83¢	$2	+$0	09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$2	77¢	$2	+$1	09-02 05:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	72¢	$2	-$1	09-01 18:02
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	No	+5	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	08-29 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	-3	$0	15¢	$-0	$0	09-02 05:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	-3	$0	10¢	$-0	$0	09-02 05:46
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	-3	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	09-02 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 14:24:39	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfdc9c0…
09-04 14:24:34	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xc206c3…
09-04 14:24:34	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9a03cb…
09-02 16:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x130d64…
09-02 16:04:48	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xced42d…
09-02 16:04:48	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa48213…
09-02 16:04:48	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x8b673e…
09-02 16:04:48	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x0b47c8…
09-02 10:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x65182a…
09-02 10:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5a7baf…
09-02 10:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x148a73…
09-02 08:11:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xca2715…
09-02 08:11:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x78757b…
09-02 08:11:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4199b1…
09-02 08:11:31	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x94b790…
09-02 08:11:31	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x65105c…
09-02 08:11:31	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5a7fc4…
09-02 07:00:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x9e8264…
09-02 07:00:31	Will Hong Kong have between 350-375mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x2bbd00…
09-02 07:00:28	Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x1206f5…
09-02 07:00:25	Will Hong Kong have between 400-450mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x4a9351…
09-02 06:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc60cd4…
09-02 06:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe9552a…
09-02 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2cd48b…
09-02 06:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4ddb4b…
09-02 06:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 2?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xfda5e9…
09-02 06:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x98650b…
09-02 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbad7b2…
09-02 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x80e6d8…
09-02 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x48e7a6…
09-02 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0fa2bb…
09-02 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x098fa6…
09-02 06:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc9d1a6…
09-02 06:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x76e285…
09-02 06:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x536b85…
09-02 06:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x33befd…
09-02 06:35:34	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x697e06…
09-02 06:34:07	Will Delegado Alessandro win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xcde002…
09-02 06:34:06	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xf2c359…
09-02 06:34:06	Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xf20803…
09-02 06:34:06	Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x647f56…
09-02 06:34:06	Will Eduardo Amorim win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x260b6b…
09-02 06:26:19	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x2d0518…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xeae391…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdb2907…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc9fb7a…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 0%-20%?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x85594e…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x752192…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6f4863…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x650022…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5add27…
09-02 06:24:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 60% or more?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4dba5e…
09-02 06:18:27	Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46b41d…
09-02 06:18:25	Will Anna Belousovová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8eae5d…
09-02 06:18:25	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6aa0f3…
09-02 06:18:25	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5a5105…
09-02 05:46:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x32e1c5…
09-02 05:46:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x398c08…
09-02 05:45:54	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf33978…
09-02 05:40:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe569db…
09-02 05:39:36	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x998f87…
09-01 18:02:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xa7ef0f…
09-01 18:02:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x24008a…
09-01 18:02:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe87729…
09-01 18:02:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xbcff8c…
09-01 18:02:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x773031…
09-01 18:02:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4c3acc…
09-01 18:02:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2249f1…
09-01 17:23:09	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xebc652…
09-01 16:43:01	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc1da49…
09-01 16:43:01	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2dd2fb…
09-01 16:43:00	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe16074…
09-01 16:43:00	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xd47d9f…
09-01 16:43:00	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xca7e55…
09-01 16:43:00	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x66f329…
09-01 16:25:34	Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xde0449…
09-01 16:25:34	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xd2255b…
09-01 16:25:34	Will Anton Kysel win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xaf6db2…
09-01 16:25:34	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x3c44fd…
09-01 16:25:34	Will Michal Bratranec win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x06395c…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf56a24…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xbe41c9…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have more than 4 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x947019…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8d7b98…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x84e04a…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x687dd8…
09-01 16:12:43	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x562bdb…
09-01 15:21:18	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xce9785…
09-01 15:21:13	Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5220f0…
09-01 15:21:06	Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6b295c…
09-01 15:20:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe4da76…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 25%-35%?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf9eab0…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 0%-25%?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc8ba78…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 65% or more?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xafabde…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9ae9e1…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x669d31…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x483ab2…
09-01 14:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2fc8c6…
09-01 14:29:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe0a039…
09-01 14:29:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcdcac0…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	13	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	08-31 12:01
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	08-31 12:01
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	08-29 16:57
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	08-29 16:57
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	08-29 16:57
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$8	08-29 16:57
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$7	10	0	+10	No	+$3	08-29 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:25 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$0	08-21 07:27
Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-02 06:18
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-31 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 2?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-02 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-31 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 2?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-02 06:45
Will Anna Belousovová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-02 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-02 16:33
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-31 13:54
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	08-31 12:43
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	08-29 18:09
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	08-31 10:44
Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-31 12:43
Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-01 16:25
Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-31 12:43
Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-02 06:18
Will Anton Kysel win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-01 16:25
Will Delegado Alessandro win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-02 06:34
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-31 10:44
Will Eduardo Amorim win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-02 06:34
Will Michal Bratranec win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-01 16:25
Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-02 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-31 04:35