Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
502
Trades
739
lifetime
Volume
$1.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$7
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 11-04 03:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
73% 45% -$20
Sports
19% 42% -$3
Crypto
7% 70% -$9
Politics
1% 83% +$5
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-26 09:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 11-03 08:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 10-04 13:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 10-04 13:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 -$1 42¢ $1 +$1 09-05 11:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 10-29 09:29
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +3 $1 21¢ $1 -$1 10-04 13:09
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 05-04 17:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-19 14:11