Outgoing-Canoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$596

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

32,096

Trades

41,016

lifetime

Volume

$224.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 65% -$520

Other

4% 62% -$99

Politics

0% 55% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 85% +$14

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 1009 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:40 UTC	3	$242	143	143	+0	Up	+$22	06-11 17:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:50 UTC	4	$209	108	108	+0	Up	+$6	06-22 09:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	12	$159	942	942	+0	Down	-$65	05-24 20:28
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3am et	3	$130	165	0	+165	Up	-$130	04-22 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	5	$128	198	158	+40	Down	-$52	04-26 08:56
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5am et	4	$125	220	0	+220	Down	-$11	04-22 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 10?	51	$102	128	0	+128	No	+$26	06-09 13:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 04:00 UTC	3	$100	115	0	+115	Up	+$15	04-22 07:22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 2?	50	$100	140	0	+140	No	+$40	06-01 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?	50	$100	136	0	+136	No	+$36	06-05 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 2?	50	$100	136	0	+136	Yes	-$100	06-01 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 3?	50	$100	127	0	+127	No	+$27	06-02 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?	50	$100	130	0	+130	Yes	-$100	06-08 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 3?	50	$100	120	0	+120	No	+$20	06-02 19:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$100	61	61	+0	Yes	+$20	04-20 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 2?	49	$98	121	0	+121	No	+$23	06-01 07:04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	48	$96	118	0	+118	No	+$22	06-09 12:49
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$85	47	47	+0	Yes	+$5	04-20 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 4?	42	$84	118	0	+118	Yes	-$84	06-03 10:25
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$80	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-27 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:20 UTC	2	$75	162	0	+162	Down	-$13	04-22 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$75	112	0	+112	Down	-$1	04-25 18:55
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	3	$75	85	0	+85	Yes	-$75	04-21 19:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 08:00 UTC	3	$70	84	0	+84	Up	+$14	04-21 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 4?	35	$70	84	0	+84	No	+$14	06-03 06:31
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 10:10 UTC	3	$69	37	37	+0	Up	+$4	07-03 10:15
us strike on colombia by march 31	12	$69	37	37	+0	No	+$3	02-14 22:00
another us strike on venezuela by march 31	12	$68	37	37	+0	No	+$2	02-14 22:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 08:55 UTC	3	$67	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	07-02 09:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 12:00 UTC	2	$66	37	37	+0	Down	+$8	06-28 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd0ffd0…
10-30 02:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb75848…
10-30 01:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8b0987…
10-30 01:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd7f843…
10-30 01:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x98f93b…
10-29 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x08038c…
10-29 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8c4b5b…
10-29 22:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2697bd…
10-29 21:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0958a9…
10-29 20:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8a009c…
10-29 19:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2df261…
10-29 16:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x620062…
10-29 16:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2c5b22…
10-29 16:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd05ffc…
10-29 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf38319…
10-29 16:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe3c254…
10-29 15:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x82b8ba…
10-29 15:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7f0b26…
10-29 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x33236d…
10-29 15:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7e0571…
10-29 14:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xce5ae7…
10-29 12:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xc701b5…
10-29 12:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x82733f…
10-29 12:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa12f1b…
10-29 11:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xff06e4…
10-29 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf114b6…
10-29 11:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x63622c…
10-29 10:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4322c1…
10-29 10:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x878422…
10-29 09:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xdf81b2…
10-29 05:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd695d8…
10-29 03:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7ebdd1…
10-29 03:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x273af1…
10-29 03:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf7161e…
10-29 02:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdc12ad…
10-29 02:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x029099…
10-29 01:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfde0cd…
10-29 01:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x40b5af…
10-29 00:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x323a2d…
10-28 23:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeed689…
10-28 23:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8ab8c5…
10-28 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x5aab59…
10-28 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdb58fb…
10-28 19:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2bdd79…
10-28 15:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x92ed63…
10-28 15:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc4918b…
10-28 15:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe3aa6f…
10-28 15:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xde9c2c…
10-28 14:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x3e7ef2…
10-28 14:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc608ae…
10-28 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb9fe50…
10-28 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8a849b…
10-28 12:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb393f4…
10-28 12:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x15b842…
10-28 11:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x077266…
10-28 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x86c6f1…
10-28 08:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2216d2…
10-28 03:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0de1d2…
10-28 03:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3ea9e2…
10-28 03:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3ed32d…
10-28 02:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf2364b…
10-28 02:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc7ba77…
10-28 01:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x25bd98…
10-28 00:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe857c1…
10-28 00:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf15615…
10-27 22:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x21cc3c…
10-27 22:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc6bbaa…
10-27 22:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2cdfdf…
10-27 21:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4f0707…
10-27 21:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f55c0…
10-27 20:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa1f3ba…
10-27 16:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f6ac1…
10-27 16:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6fe757…
10-27 16:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x607f16…
10-27 16:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5c11ce…
10-27 15:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2e7ebb…
10-27 15:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe96e34…
10-27 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcfaaa1…
10-27 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa92f34…
10-27 12:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x1c6f95…
10-27 10:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4c55e1…
10-27 08:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8466e9…
10-27 07:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd1ea9f…
10-27 05:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x95af62…
10-27 04:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4ed28e…
10-27 02:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x77fbfc…
10-27 01:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x327cec…
10-26 22:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe768d0…
10-26 21:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2b653e…
10-26 21:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x40e936…
10-26 18:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x41eebd…
10-26 18:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2b723d…
10-24 15:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe86386…
10-24 15:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe53ba1…
10-24 15:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x24b3a3…
10-24 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc7eee1…
10-23 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd46321…
10-23 15:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6beb17…
10-23 12:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x69cf62…
10-23 08:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x18018e…