Untrue-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

855

Trades

3,747

lifetime

Volume

$152.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 09-19 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

98% 70% +$10,034

Crypto

2% 44% -$248

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?	5	$2.6K	1,363	1,363	+0	No	+$146	09-04 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 5?	14	$1.7K	1,002	839	+163	No	+$82	09-05 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?	21	$1.6K	1,386	816	+571	Yes	-$53	05-30 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	12	$1.4K	942	942	+0	Yes	-$191	05-28 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	14	$1.2K	1,417	328	+1,089	No	+$47	05-14 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	7	$1.2K	673	673	+0	No	+$133	06-04 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	41	$1.2K	1,047	1,047	-0	Yes	+$52	06-04 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?	37	$1.1K	1,047	1,047	+0	No	+$101	06-04 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	28	$1.1K	1,183	1,119	+64	Yes	-$251	05-15 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	16	$1.1K	707	707	+0	Yes	+$88	05-12 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?	10	$1.1K	928	755	+173	Yes	+$503	08-27 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 9?	3	$947	491	491	+0	No	+$24	09-08 23:31
lol kt dk 2026 09 04 game1	2	$933	667	667	+0	KT Rolster	+$333	09-04 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	16	$929	1,059	331	+728	Yes	-$20	08-24 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17?	10	$916	640	640	+0	Yes	+$5	09-17 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?	7	$902	566	566	+0	No	+$103	05-22 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	2	$823	418	418	+0	No	+$12	08-24 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	2	$817	846	0	+846	Yes	+$29	09-03 07:00
lol al we 2026 08 21	5	$812	2,182	1,875	+307	Team WE	+$138	08-21 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?	13	$807	565	454	+111	No	-$1	05-29 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	34	$806	618	618	+0	Yes	-$51	05-12 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	3	$783	429	429	+0	Yes	+$73	05-09 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	8	$774	885	295	+590	Yes	+$239	09-14 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 17?	3	$752	399	399	-0	No	+$44	09-17 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?	19	$751	866	866	+0	No	+$58	05-22 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	29	$746	705	705	+0	Yes	-$1	05-09 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	19	$739	908	285	+622	No	+$132	08-16 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	23	$730	851	312	+539	No	+$146	05-14 06:27
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	5	$713	1,053	1,053	+0	Dplus KIA	-$87	09-03 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	16	$711	667	280	+387	Yes	+$31	09-06 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 13:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xbcb0ee…
09-19 13:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xee8596…
09-19 06:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x6bc067…
09-19 06:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x4791f2…
09-19 03:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?	No	SELL	86	25¢	$22	0x44e632…
09-19 02:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x86b8c8…
09-19 02:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd6cfac…
09-19 02:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xa57a06…
09-19 02:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x31c71a…
09-19 02:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x10cac3…
09-19 02:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	94	88¢	$83	0x691d2b…
09-19 02:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x3a9b0a…
09-19 02:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0xf236da…
09-19 02:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	84	85¢	$72	0x2cf564…
09-19 02:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe4f24a…
09-19 02:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x271cd9…
09-19 01:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	43	68¢	$30	0x87e2f0…
09-19 01:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	42	73¢	$30	0xc69bfb…
09-19 01:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x9dcb5c…
09-19 01:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8117fa…
09-19 01:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xf3b7c4…
09-19 01:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$40	0x7ff336…
09-19 01:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xb3b8ea…
09-19 01:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x7e4d88…
09-19 01:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x4a62c4…
09-19 01:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	SELL	188	32¢	$61	0x4efe07…
09-19 00:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x2a4b3b…
09-19 00:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xcb948a…
09-19 00:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x6377a8…
09-19 00:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0xd172b5…
09-19 00:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc1cebe…
09-19 00:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x990823…
09-19 00:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x8d79b1…
09-19 00:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x4296e9…
09-19 00:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0xaeaef0…
09-19 00:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0xda674d…
09-19 00:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	44	60¢	$26	0x02b3c9…
09-19 00:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?	No	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x523de5…
09-19 00:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0xf119da…
09-19 00:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x7b3102…
09-18 14:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x198eff…
09-18 14:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xea91bb…
09-18 14:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x7a1052…
09-18 14:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7b788a…
09-18 14:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x1cccab…
09-18 14:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x961bc8…
09-18 14:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x56a2db…
09-18 14:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xac4bca…
09-18 14:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x3ae37d…
09-18 13:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0xedf8d4…
09-18 13:02:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xf57f00…
09-18 11:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0x8f123f…
09-18 11:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$5	0xbde43c…
09-18 11:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18?	No	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0xad338c…
09-18 10:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x1ea7e3…
09-18 10:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	135	30¢	$40	0xc8e918…
09-18 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	No	SELL	45	76¢	$34	0x498be3…
09-18 09:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xf74a8b…
09-18 07:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8b5e87…
09-18 07:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x7f9f83…
09-18 07:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	SELL	148	13¢	$19	0x2802ae…
09-18 07:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	63	31¢	$19	0xef2a17…
09-18 07:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x6be45c…
09-18 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xb537d0…
09-18 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x42d373…
09-18 07:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	123	65¢	$79	0x19c113…
09-18 07:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xbceecb…
09-18 07:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x5e6b9c…
09-18 07:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x0aed78…
09-18 06:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x4f02f4…
09-18 06:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x2b302e…
09-18 06:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0xde02dd…
09-18 06:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x6289c8…
09-18 05:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x3853cc…
09-18 05:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x8e2dd7…
09-18 05:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xda5169…
09-18 05:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa95c08…
09-18 05:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x805f4e…
09-18 05:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	SELL	49	56¢	$28	0xa89b59…
09-18 05:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd4e84b…
09-18 05:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8919b7…
09-18 05:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x673c7a…
09-18 05:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x02a8f0…
09-18 04:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf00581…
09-18 04:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xab0117…
09-18 04:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x729353…
09-18 04:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x79e14a…
09-18 04:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x9ca88f…
09-18 04:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xbd725e…
09-18 04:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xe49bb7…
09-18 04:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xfb2ec8…
09-18 04:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x2fdbf3…
09-18 03:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?	No	SELL	159	44¢	$69	0x597a45…
09-18 02:47:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x8a050f…
09-18 02:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	228	95¢	$217	0x066207…
09-18 02:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0xfe30b1…
09-18 02:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0x4d768f…
09-18 02:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x0eef19…
09-18 02:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xc5e953…
09-18 02:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xdfca40…