Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-27 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 33% -$219

Sports

30% 53% +$46

Other

17% 33% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+157	$50	30¢	$47	-$3	10-27 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$431	333	333	+0	Down	+$31	10-27 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$313	455	455	+0	Up	-$87	10-27 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$245	379	379	+0	Up	-$155	10-27 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$200	328	0	+328	Down	+$128	10-27 00:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	3	$125	167	42	+125	open	—	10-27 01:17
Bills vs. Rams	1	$100	256	0	+256	Bills	+$156	10-11 15:31
Ravens vs. Bills	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	10-27 00:59
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?	1	$100	204	0	+204	No	-$100	10-06 16:08
Commanders vs. 49ers	1	$100	127	0	+127	49ers	+$27	10-19 21:56
Titans vs. Colts	1	$50	67	0	+67	Titans	-$50	10-16 16:51
Browns vs. Titans	1	$50	91	0	+91	Browns	+$41	10-22 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$50	109	0	+109	Up	-$50	10-27 00:01
Bills vs. Raiders	1	$50	74	0	+74	Bills	+$24	10-16 16:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$50	157	0	+157	open	—	10-27 01:03
Will France win on 2026-10-05?	1	$50	75	0	+75	Yes	+$25	10-05 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$50	96	0	+96	Up	-$50	10-27 00:05
Bengals vs. Ravens	1	$50	94	0	+94	Bengals	-$50	10-22 23:29
Jets vs. Patriots	1	$50	66	0	+66	Patriots	+$16	10-16 16:52
Eagles vs. Titans	1	$40	53	0	+53	Eagles	+$13	09-19 22:37
Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-05?	1	$40	111	0	+111	No	-$40	10-05 17:15
Falcons vs. Packers	1	$40	57	0	+57	Falcons	-$40	09-24 15:52
Seahawks vs. Broncos	1	$30	53	0	+53	Broncos	-$30	10-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	Down	+$18	10-26 23:50
will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 16 2026	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	10-16 16:53
Patriots vs. Bills	1	$30	40	0	+40	Patriots	-$30	10-03 20:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	1	$30	75	0	+75	Yes	+$45	10-19 21:54
Buccaneers vs. Panthers	1	$30	51	0	+51	Buccaneers	-$30	10-22 23:28
Lions vs. Bills	1	$30	44	0	+44	Bills	+$14	09-16 20:14
Saints vs. Ravens	1	$30	38	0	+38	Saints	-$30	09-19 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$25	85	85	+0	Down	-$15	10-26 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x06ac64…
10-27 01:17:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0xaaa2ca…
10-27 01:15:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xaa8ec7…
10-27 01:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd7caa3…
10-27 01:03:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x1d041c…
10-27 01:03:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x9fc461…
10-27 00:59:54	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0xefd595…
10-27 00:59:18	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2076b8…
10-27 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x55a4fe…
10-27 00:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	455	25¢	$113	0x5ecd87…
10-27 00:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x759cae…
10-27 00:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	333	69¢	$231	0x23759f…
10-27 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x91d650…
10-27 00:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	379	12¢	$45	0xe768ad…
10-27 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x1d281b…
10-27 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xc18964…
10-27 00:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3e6c6c…
10-27 00:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x24f15c…
10-26 23:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x495a0d…
10-26 23:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x2f125b…
10-26 23:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	85	6¢	$5	0xd7fc5f…
10-26 23:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x6c16d5…
10-26 23:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x0da42b…
10-22 23:41:06	Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x243bde…
10-22 23:33:11	ucl bvb bet 2026 11 04 draw	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x573c43…
10-22 23:29:30	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x74d2ba…
10-22 23:29:21	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x2fc187…
10-22 23:28:56	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd0c654…
10-22 23:28:12	ucl bvb bet 2026 11 04 draw	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd3e7a0…
10-19 21:56:55	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x51b44c…
10-19 21:55:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe80d71…
10-19 21:54:42	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc447ab…
10-19 21:54:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xf3aefd…
10-16 16:53:12	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xab95cb…
10-16 16:52:31	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa8a279…
10-16 16:52:01	Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4eb39e…
10-16 16:51:37	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x99b8a1…
10-15 16:07:05	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb37f19…
10-15 16:04:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x278ab7…
10-15 15:59:59	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x33f004…
10-11 15:31:49	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x8d2765…
10-06 16:08:30	Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe5d2ea…
10-05 17:15:52	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x1870e3…
10-05 17:15:02	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xb79a50…
10-03 20:08:53	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x487547…
10-03 20:07:41	Packers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf70c2f…
10-03 20:06:13	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf45fc9…
09-24 15:52:06	Falcons vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x77a6d4…
09-19 22:39:34	Saints vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x9d7f5c…
09-19 22:37:40	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x477c39…
09-16 20:14:00	Lions vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x47a6ef…
09-04 19:09:40	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1341ca…