Muddy-Descent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

2,561

Trades

6,023

lifetime

Volume

$102.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-29 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 58% -$1,270

Sports

3% 20% -$1,863

Other

1% 29% -$188

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	9	$2.8K	9,095	9,095	+0	No	-$1,766	04-04 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$408	218	218	+0	Up	+$8	09-11 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:45 UTC	4	$408	216	215	+0	Up	+$8	03-16 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$406	238	238	+0	Down	+$6	09-12 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$392	460	460	+0	Up	-$8	09-12 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 05:55 UTC	5	$307	396	390	+6	Up	-$113	02-26 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:25 UTC	4	$271	166	165	+2	Up	+$33	03-17 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 13:45 UTC	2	$262	204	201	+3	Up	+$62	03-03 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 01:30 UTC	6	$262	153	153	+1	Up	$0	03-18 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$261	147	147	+0	Down	+$5	09-12 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:55 UTC	4	$256	166	165	+1	Down	-$3	03-18 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:50 UTC	5	$252	164	163	+2	Down	+$23	03-16 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:30 UTC	4	$247	137	136	+0	Up	+$8	03-17 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:05 UTC	6	$244	249	210	+39	Up	+$19	04-11 00:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$240	131	131	+0	Yes	+$20	04-12 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:15 UTC	4	$239	146	145	+1	Up	$0	03-16 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$235	211	211	+0	Up	+$15	05-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$222	128	106	+22	Down	-$12	09-12 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$220	131	131	+0	Up	+$4	09-12 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 13:30 UTC	2	$219	161	159	+2	Down	+$22	03-03 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:20 UTC	2	$217	120	120	+1	Down	+$18	03-18 02:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 14:00 UTC	2	$216	200	197	+3	Up	+$16	03-03 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$212	120	120	+0	Down	+$12	09-12 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$211	115	115	+0	Up	+$11	09-12 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:25 UTC	2	$207	114	114	+0	Up	+$7	03-15 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$205	115	115	+0	Down	+$5	09-12 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:10 UTC	2	$205	108	107	+0	Up	+$5	03-15 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:30 UTC	2	$205	120	120	+1	Down	+$6	03-16 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:45 UTC	2	$203	116	116	+0	Down	+$3	03-15 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:10 UTC	4	$203	136	134	+2	Up	+$65	02-22 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x09e3e7…
10-29 03:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x8d84ac…
10-29 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x924d8e…
10-29 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4188e5…
10-29 02:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e660e…
10-24 08:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x1849d2…
10-24 08:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xe9d86d…
10-24 08:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0xe8ab20…
10-24 08:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x9bacb6…
10-24 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x54ec40…
10-24 07:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x31eee4…
10-24 07:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x3f89a7…
10-24 07:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x866236…
10-24 07:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xc8d6b5…
10-24 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd239ce…
10-24 06:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xff027c…
10-24 06:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x4b301c…
10-24 06:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9e6b2b…
10-24 06:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xd860e6…
10-24 06:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x34fbb8…
10-24 05:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x8a7509…
10-24 05:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xcf4edf…
10-24 04:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x8a1368…
10-24 04:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x2bfb06…
10-24 01:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x193148…
10-24 01:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x5b64e4…
10-24 01:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0x5266f1…
10-24 01:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x565f98…
10-23 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x714989…
10-23 23:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	37	80¢	$29	0xfe53ff…
10-23 09:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x3dba37…
10-23 09:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x3d6313…
10-23 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x71ff61…
10-23 08:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x51350d…
10-23 06:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x81f87b…
10-23 06:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2c40a1…
10-23 05:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x0d7487…
10-23 05:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2050f4…
10-23 05:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xbec46c…
10-23 05:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbd09ec…
10-23 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x80543c…
10-23 04:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa7ea5b…
10-08 11:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x38fbbc…
10-08 10:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x614d09…
10-08 10:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x9d0c41…
10-08 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x14449f…
09-27 11:55:23	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xeeddbf…
09-27 11:47:33	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x095a5d…
09-27 11:46:06	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x06cfd0…
09-27 11:45:06	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xb63add…
09-21 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x5a021c…
09-21 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xa5ea65…
09-21 04:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x7d3cae…
09-21 04:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x146ceb…
09-21 04:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5b6452…
09-21 04:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0xd673ed…
09-21 04:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x48c3cb…
09-21 04:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x28a392…
09-21 04:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xe5ed5b…
09-21 04:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x900341…
09-21 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0x9a1714…
09-21 04:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xf5b222…
09-21 04:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc3dab8…
09-21 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xb07fa2…
09-21 04:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc5056f…
09-21 04:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x68735c…
09-21 04:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb14ffd…
09-21 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x0f60c5…
09-21 04:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x32a0f3…
09-21 04:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xff7443…
09-21 04:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0xcbcfc5…
09-21 04:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x09f400…
09-21 04:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x204e22…
09-21 04:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x84217b…
09-21 03:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x3fd352…
09-21 03:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x701652…
09-21 03:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7d63ef…
09-21 03:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x10ca90…
09-21 03:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x3ce755…
09-21 03:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x91b4df…
09-21 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x6f3eb0…
09-21 03:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x81178f…
09-21 03:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe87316…
09-21 03:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa71329…
09-21 03:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xc7e476…
09-21 03:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x340a7d…
09-21 03:36:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x91a1ac…
09-21 03:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x54aca9…
09-21 03:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x173f7c…
09-21 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xda45f5…
09-21 03:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x9d2cc0…
09-21 03:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x87d786…
09-21 03:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0xa3bd18…
09-21 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x5a1246…
09-21 03:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xc77f5c…
09-21 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x83c99b…
09-21 03:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x9290c2…
09-21 03:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x305eb2…
09-21 02:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x86e9ed…
09-21 02:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5c7bcb…