Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

56% 83% +$9

Politics

32% 50% +$75

Crypto

13% 71% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+67	$24	28¢	$18	-$6	10-26 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$911	615	615	+0	No	+$123	10-05 15:59
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$446	229	229	+0	No	+$11	10-09 10:24
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$406	204	204	+0	No	+$3	10-09 10:24
Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	2	$223	231	0	+231	No	+$8	10-12 09:31
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	14	$127	208	208	+0	Yes	-$17	10-25 14:58
nvda close above 220 on october 14 2026	3	$104	130	0	+130	Yes	+$26	10-14 18:43
Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	10-12 09:29
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	10-12 09:30
Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	10-12 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	10-12 12:28
bitcoin up or down january 2 1pm et	2	$60	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	01-02 19:19
bitcoin up or down january 3 12am et	3	$49	69	58	+11	Down	-$22	01-03 05:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$48	61	0	+61	Yes	-$48	10-25 14:12
bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	3	$48	26	26	+0	Down	+$5	01-02 16:33
tsla up or down on october 16 2026	3	$48	60	0	+60	Down	-$48	10-16 14:31
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	5	$29	26	26	+0	Yes	+$5	10-27 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:30 UTC	1	$26	28	0	+28	Up	+$1	01-02 16:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$24	67	0	+67	open	—	10-26 15:34
bitcoin up or down january 3 11am et	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	01-03 17:00
bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	1	$23	27	0	+27	Up	+$3	01-01 17:25
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 12?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-12 19:25
bitcoin up or down january 3 12pm et	1	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$12	01-03 17:01
bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	01-02 14:34
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-15 16:40
bitcoin up or down january 2 7am et	2	$9	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	01-02 12:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 17:00 UTC	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	01-02 17:09
bitcoin up or down january 2 2pm et	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	01-02 19:20
bitcoin up or down january 2 5am et	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	01-02 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	10-11 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:29:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x5435d1…
10-26 15:34:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0xd24d4d…
10-26 15:21:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x0c1887…
10-25 14:58:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0xd6270e…
10-25 14:12:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	61	79¢	$48	0xb6a4fa…
10-25 14:10:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0xe54fb1…
10-25 14:10:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	123	26¢	$32	0x7bc35f…
10-25 08:25:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x191779…
10-18 19:43:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x92f2e0…
10-18 19:20:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0a43a0…
10-17 16:05:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5d69bc…
10-16 18:58:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4efb8c…
10-16 14:53:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x80b3c1…
10-16 14:31:55	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x87f43e…
10-16 13:51:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1579d6…
10-16 13:33:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xac9ba7…
10-16 13:28:04	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x855ded…
10-16 13:28:03	tsla up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd30d51…
10-16 03:44:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xad497d…
10-16 03:44:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x117768…
10-15 16:40:20	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9330fc…
10-14 18:43:24	nvda close above 220 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5c1e9d…
10-14 17:51:09	nvda close above 220 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe23cb8…
10-14 17:46:00	nvda close above 220 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x217923…
10-12 19:25:39	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59d644…
10-12 12:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd9a185…
10-12 09:31:34	Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x4896c7…
10-12 09:30:46	Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2b0652…
10-12 09:30:29	Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x473e37…
10-12 09:29:52	Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xad3f1c…
10-12 09:29:01	Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x9e12d1…
10-11 14:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xaed2e2…
10-09 10:24:16	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x90b78c…
10-09 10:24:04	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0xd497ce…
10-09 08:52:31	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x460f22…
10-09 08:51:34	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x79c083…
10-09 08:50:52	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xcd17d0…
10-09 08:50:06	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x4a2a29…
10-09 08:39:39	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x4a7f0c…
10-05 15:59:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	615	84¢	$517	0x0c48b7…
10-04 18:35:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	402	63¢	$254	0x880f57…
10-04 05:33:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	66¢	$130	0x56ce8d…
10-04 05:29:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xde4714…
01-03 17:01:17	bitcoin up or down january 3 12pm et	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xfc24ce…
01-03 17:00:47	bitcoin up or down january 3 11am et	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd9fc90…
01-03 16:44:09	bitcoin up or down january 3 11am et	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xe08244…
01-03 05:25:43	bitcoin up or down january 3 12am et	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x135de1…
01-03 05:25:19	bitcoin up or down january 3 12am et	Up	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0x9c43e4…
01-03 05:06:05	bitcoin up or down january 3 12am et	Up	BUY	58	54¢	$31	0x0c54f8…
01-02 19:20:47	bitcoin up or down january 2 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x676b5f…
01-02 19:19:27	bitcoin up or down january 2 1pm et	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xef18df…
01-02 18:48:45	bitcoin up or down january 2 1pm et	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xaf7d66…
01-02 17:09:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x898d3b…
01-02 17:09:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x16bd32…
01-02 16:35:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x6bac6f…
01-02 16:33:53	bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa8c935…
01-02 15:26:37	bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$13	0xb34207…
01-02 15:26:37	bitcoin up or down january 2 10am et	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x1a9604…
01-02 14:34:11	bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x50902f…
01-02 12:18:57	bitcoin up or down january 2 7am et	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x381abd…
01-02 12:02:53	bitcoin up or down january 2 7am et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa0d803…
01-02 10:27:55	bitcoin up or down january 2 5am et	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xeb0d8a…
01-01 17:25:21	bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	Up	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xa4183b…