Stark-Doorpost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

198

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-17 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

86% 54% -$63

Politics

14% 43% +$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	4	$84	70	70	+0	No	+$56	04-03 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	8	$62	65	65	+0	Yes	+$34	06-29 06:36
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	16	$49	224	0	+224	No	-$49	06-21 20:44
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	12	$49	816	0	+816	IR Iran	-$49	06-21 20:33
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	2	$44	158	0	+158	Under	-$44	06-21 20:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	18	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	08-20 06:17
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	2	$41	51	39	+13	Yes	+$13	04-26 13:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-29 14:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?	15	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 10?	4	$35	22	22	+0	Yes	+$6	08-10 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	8	$32	20	18	+1	Yes	+$4	08-24 20:05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	3	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 23:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$30	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 6?	7	$25	28	25	+3	No	-$7	06-06 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12?	5	$24	45	20	+25	No	+$20	06-12 18:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?	2	$24	60	35	+25	No	-$5	07-14 16:40
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$23	79	79	+0	open	—	05-13 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	11	$22	21	2	+18	No	+$1	05-12 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?	3	$21	18	18	+0	No	-$1	05-29 03:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-29 14:10
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	5	$20	70	0	+70	Yes	-$20	04-02 19:32
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	3	$20	123	0	+123	Yes	-$20	04-24 14:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$20	56	0	+56	No	+$36	04-21 20:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 6?	3	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-07 03:11
will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	2	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	08-16 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	3	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	06-03 04:14
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?	3	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	08-24 21:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?	3	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	07-21 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	2	$20	34	0	+34	Yes	+$14	06-26 05:00
where will it rain on august 24 2026 phoenix az	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	08-24 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 14:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8717f1…
09-17 13:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfe6985…
09-16 19:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd7f43f…
09-15 02:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4c770a…
09-11 17:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x0dc8ca…
09-10 19:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x00c4bc…
09-10 15:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x841964…
09-10 15:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x0ce5be…
09-10 15:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9a9c4a…
09-09 20:40:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8c3188…
09-09 20:40:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xff0878…
09-06 19:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd770d6…
09-06 16:31:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xa3bf16…
09-06 15:13:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xd941df…
09-05 22:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xe60b8f…
09-05 19:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x302e85…
09-01 18:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xfd0414…
09-01 10:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x5e3d9f…
08-31 18:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd84ed0…
08-30 19:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 30?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d8997…
08-30 19:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 30?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x9dadb6…
08-30 15:39:12	where will it rain on august 30 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcea6a2…
08-30 12:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 30?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xe52cfa…
08-30 12:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 30?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x7937b2…
08-30 12:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 30?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x99b407…
08-29 21:45:10	where will it rain on august 29 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90e171…
08-29 19:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xce6f79…
08-29 19:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x4f091a…
08-29 16:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x46ff24…
08-29 14:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 29?	No	BUY	52	28¢	$14	0x62e6e5…
08-29 14:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xdd9518…
08-27 20:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x826915…
08-27 20:51:30	where will it rain on august 27 2026 miami fl	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeacf7c…
08-27 19:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	907	1¢	$9	0x5764ba…
08-27 13:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x62cb8d…
08-26 11:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x2dffa6…
08-24 21:43:55	Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x823b39…
08-24 21:42:49	Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xeef0bf…
08-24 21:42:49	Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x34af0e…
08-24 21:42:45	Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9ff47e…
08-24 21:41:42	Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xbbf65e…
08-24 20:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 24?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x970408…
08-24 20:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb3c358…
08-24 20:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc45ec7…
08-24 19:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x226a25…
08-24 19:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2b9c66…
08-24 19:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb2765a…
08-24 19:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc6a9b2…
08-24 19:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x942150…
08-24 18:13:07	Will 60 to 79 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xac9db6…
08-24 17:02:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x950881…
08-24 16:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9fddbf…
08-24 13:18:10	where will it rain on august 24 2026 phoenix az	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x828e9d…
08-24 12:32:21	where will it rain on august 24 2026 phoenix az	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xaa6299…
08-23 03:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 23?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xbea33a…
08-23 03:12:37	where will it rain on august 22 2026 new york ny	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4cc344…
08-23 02:38:09	where will it rain on august 22 2026 philadelphia pa	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x407903…
08-23 02:36:28	where will it rain on august 22 2026 new orleans la	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x67a6c6…
08-23 02:00:25	where will it rain on august 22 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x46af75…
08-22 14:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xac6f4f…
08-22 14:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xb5b050…
08-22 12:47:19	where will it rain on august 22 2026 philadelphia pa	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e50f8…
08-20 20:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 20?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xb6f908…
08-20 20:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xde4343…
08-20 10:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x6a19a3…
08-20 06:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8d839a…
08-20 06:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe7d9e9…
08-20 06:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa77d84…
08-20 06:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0861b6…
08-20 06:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x36df5a…
08-20 06:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x08bf72…
08-20 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf259ff…
08-20 06:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xba8b35…
08-20 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x70c928…
08-20 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1894e0…
08-20 05:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x76d204…
08-20 05:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xeb6ce2…
08-20 05:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb6b838…
08-20 05:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5375ad…
08-20 05:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfc1388…
08-20 05:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdb0300…
08-20 04:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xab276d…
08-20 04:08:24	where will it rain on august 19 2026 houston tx	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x350efd…
08-20 02:55:42	where will it rain on august 19 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b508b…
08-20 02:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x9df341…
08-20 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x023604…
08-19 21:25:54	where will it rain on august 19 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3613b…
08-19 19:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xfae394…
08-19 19:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6159ec…
08-19 19:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3c243b…
08-19 19:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x95560e…
08-19 19:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x612511…
08-19 19:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xab3eb9…
08-19 19:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x59ad9e…
08-19 18:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x1c35ab…
08-19 18:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0dc8c8…
08-19 18:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x3524c9…
08-19 18:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x41583f…
08-18 18:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 18?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x6943ec…
08-17 23:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1c149e…