Elementary-Psychoanalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$594

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

2,032

Trades

5,335

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-14 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

88% 50% -$560

Crypto

7% 55% +$22

Sports

4% 54% -$44

Politics

1% 0% -$12

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	9	$464	486	422	+64	Yes	+$398	04-27 07:46
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	13	$417	592	492	+100	Yes	-$42	05-04 18:14
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	4	$198	388	2	+386	No	-$2	05-04 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 27?	7	$168	173	125	+48	Yes	+$81	04-27 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	10	$151	220	142	+78	Yes	+$94	04-27 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	13	$128	125	122	+2	Yes	+$119	04-28 21:25
cs2 ast10 eye 2026 04 09 total games 2pt5	22	$107	114	107	+7	Over	-$4	04-09 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	36	$106	831	48	+783	No	-$9	04-27 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	4	$105	68	68	+1	No	+$31	04-27 23:35
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$104	201	1	+200	Yes	-$3	05-02 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	3	$102	66	64	+1	No	+$28	04-28 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	7	$100	64	63	+1	No	+$26	04-28 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 28?	2	$99	62	61	+1	No	+$25	04-28 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	9	$98	61	61	+0	No	+$23	04-28 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	19	$98	1,466	8	+1,458	No	+$122	04-27 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	4	$97	60	60	+0	No	+$23	04-28 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	3	$97	60	59	+0	No	+$22	04-28 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	5	$96	59	58	+0	No	+$21	04-28 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	22	$95	93	92	+0	Yes	+$85	04-28 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	2	$95	59	58	+1	No	+$21	04-28 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	5	$94	58	57	+0	No	+$20	04-28 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 28?	4	$94	59	58	+1	No	+$20	04-28 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 28?	4	$93	56	56	+0	No	+$18	04-28 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 28?	5	$93	56	56	+0	No	+$18	04-28 20:30
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$91	177	1	+176	No	-$2	05-04 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 28?	8	$91	54	54	+0	No	+$16	04-28 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 27?	7	$90	54	53	+0	No	+$15	04-27 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	5	$89	52	52	+0	No	+$14	04-28 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?	7	$89	170	44	+125	No	-$1	04-27 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 27?	9	$89	51	51	+0	No	+$14	04-27 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x87cef2…
05-14 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5cc39d…
05-14 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x93ac16…
05-14 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x002bcf…
05-14 14:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9dbeb3…
05-14 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1c9d59…
05-14 14:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d1443…
05-14 14:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2c2da1…
05-14 14:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x387971…
05-14 14:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3bbe61…
05-14 14:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4223b6…
05-14 13:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x803016…
05-14 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x97739e…
05-14 12:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x33e99d…
05-14 12:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2bdffa…
05-14 12:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a8106…
05-14 12:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc0aea8…
05-14 11:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x19d427…
05-14 11:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d5f3c…
05-14 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf7aff…
05-14 11:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x92bcef…
05-14 11:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x67d103…
05-14 10:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x94b567…
05-14 10:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x27e682…
05-14 10:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe6d89c…
05-14 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2c469b…
05-14 09:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x13f0f6…
05-14 09:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbb6119…
05-14 08:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x059d26…
05-14 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x13a704…
05-14 07:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5d034b…
05-14 07:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xea4c83…
05-14 06:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcd8d01…
05-14 06:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd5e9ca…
05-14 06:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b86dc…
05-14 06:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1d4968…
05-14 06:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x15a07a…
05-14 06:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe6c50b…
05-14 06:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2e0de2…
05-14 06:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xff92a8…
05-14 06:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4a03ee…
05-13 21:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb80d09…
05-13 20:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9e84a0…
05-13 20:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x01b5f9…
05-13 20:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7d5e72…
05-13 20:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc906c5…
05-13 20:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9f905b…
05-13 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1c0e25…
05-13 20:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe85adf…
05-13 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf30f1e…
05-13 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x002216…
05-13 20:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf305e…
05-13 20:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xac6a25…
05-13 20:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbc3b11…
05-13 20:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbbf7d5…
05-13 20:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc29592…
05-13 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x8a7f9b…
05-13 20:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa6dd2e…
05-13 20:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb690c5…
05-13 20:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x353e1a…
05-13 20:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x262f53…
05-13 20:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x93edf9…
05-13 20:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0ea362…
05-13 20:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x50b7da…
05-13 20:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x19dd88…
05-13 20:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf35836…
05-13 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1d40d3…
05-13 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe47ebc…
05-13 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x691b6a…
05-13 19:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2e857a…
05-13 19:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9a6d78…
05-13 19:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6332e4…
05-13 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb4c885…
05-13 19:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7362c5…
05-13 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8144a7…
05-13 19:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8876b5…
05-13 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x706d80…
05-13 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x037506…
05-13 19:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaeb4c7…
05-13 19:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcf1df0…
05-13 19:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf0a8ac…
05-13 19:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xad9c13…
05-13 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa332ab…
05-13 18:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3b31f9…
05-13 18:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x09a2e8…
05-13 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa9d4de…
05-13 18:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x984395…
05-13 18:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x22e657…
05-13 18:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6207c4…
05-13 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc41aeb…
05-13 18:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xba1e7b…
05-13 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x29f4e4…
05-13 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb560ee…
05-13 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1f59c8…
05-13 18:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x823ff3…
05-13 18:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x33dcde…
05-13 18:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3e9aeb…
05-13 18:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe507ad…
05-13 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x23c284…
05-13 18:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x755b19…