Candid-Eggnog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-24 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

37% 33% $-14

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$855	440	440	+0	open	—	05-08 05:24
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	1	$423	455	0	+455	FC UTA Arad	+$32	05-08 05:35
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	2	$61	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	05-24 05:14
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	2	$39	982	0	+982	open	—	04-27 07:15
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	2	$27	920	0	+920	RB Leipzig	$-27	05-09 08:15
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	5	$21	850	850	+0	open	—	05-10 04:54
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	2	$19	870	0	+870	Como 1907	$-19	05-10 05:05
bra bot cor 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	2	$7	679	0	+679	open	—	04-12 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:14:45	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	520	6¢	$31	0xbbff94…
05-24 05:14:24	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	489	6¢	$29	0xc494cb…
05-10 05:05:56	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Hellas Verona FC	BUY	440	2¢	$10	0x74e8d3…
05-10 05:05:27	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Hellas Verona FC	BUY	430	2¢	$9	0xb31fd3…
05-10 04:54:02	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x1de4f7…
05-10 04:53:03	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	406	1¢	$5	0x286c6c…
05-10 04:52:38	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	1¢	$5	0x90f0df…
05-10 03:13:21	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$6	0x2278ef…
05-10 03:13:11	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	1¢	$5	0xdf74f6…
05-09 08:15:39	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	450	3¢	$13	0xb1500c…
05-09 08:15:22	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	470	3¢	$14	0x8ca61b…
05-08 05:35:35	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	455	93¢	$423	0x434d8a…
05-08 05:24:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	440	97¢	$428	0xa7bf86…
05-08 03:05:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	97¢	$428	0x7c8987…
04-27 07:15:36	Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	ENPPI	BUY	508	4¢	$20	0xa0920d…
04-27 07:15:20	Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	ENPPI	BUY	474	4¢	$19	0x485d96…
04-12 06:31:49	bra bot cor 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Coritiba FBC	BUY	376	1¢	$4	0x7479ea…
04-12 06:30:21	bra bot cor 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Coritiba FBC	BUY	303	1¢	$3	0x52c259…