Realized P&L
-$764
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
7.7%
Resolved
19
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$895
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$4
1 position
First seen
2026-01-25
last 05-24 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
51%
0%
-$439
Politics
39%
14%
-$233
Crypto
10%
0%
-$92
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +221 | $15 | 2¢ | $4 | -$11 | 05-24 18:18 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 1 | $300 | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | Yes | -$300 | 01-25 18:02 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 1 | $100 | 100,000 | 0 | +100,000 | Yes | -$100 | 04-24 20:46 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 1 | $100 | 909 | 0 | +909 | Yes | -$100 | 05-10 02:02 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1 | $99 | 12,362 | 0 | +12,362 | No | -$99 | 01-25 18:45 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 3 | $68 | 143 | 143 | +0 | No | +$48 | 03-17 16:27 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | 1 | $50 | 1,341 | 0 | +1,341 | Yes | -$50 | 05-10 02:01 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1 | $20 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | -$20 | 01-25 19:13 |
| us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449 | 1 | $20 | 1,538 | 0 | +1,538 | No | -$20 | 01-25 20:10 |
| bitcoin up or down january 25 1pm et | 1 | $20 | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Down | -$20 | 01-25 19:30 |
| bitcoin above 92k on january 26 | 1 | $20 | 1,588 | 0 | +1,588 | No | -$20 | 01-25 19:28 |
| bitcoin above 94k on february 1 | 1 | $20 | 222 | 0 | +222 | No | -$20 | 01-25 19:27 |
| bitcoin above 92k on january 29 | 1 | $20 | 182 | 0 | +182 | No | -$20 | 01-25 19:26 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 2 | $15 | 221 | 0 | +221 | open | — | 05-24 18:18 |
| bitcoin above 90k on january 26 | 1 | $10 | 132 | 0 | +132 | No | -$10 | 01-25 19:23 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1 | $10 | 1,111 | 0 | +1,111 | No | -$10 | 04-24 20:53 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 1 | $10 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | -$10 | 04-24 20:50 |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | 1 | $10 | 2,594 | 0 | +2,594 | Yes | -$10 | 02-22 04:11 |
| will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026 | 1 | $1 | 500 | 0 | +500 | No | -$1 | 04-24 20:45 |
| bitcoin up or down january 25 12pm et | 1 | $1 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Down | -$1 | 01-25 19:30 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:30 UTC | 1 | $1 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Up | -$1 | 01-25 19:42 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||