Handmade-Houseboat-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$672

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

444

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-28 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 52% -$2,089

Politics

19% 27% +$1,303

Sports

7% 55% +$1,288

Other

5% 27% -$1,174

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes		+3,333	$31	1¢	$25	-$6	10-26 13:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No		+7	$2	18¢	$1	-$1	10-28 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	3	$2.6K	2,561	2,556	+5	No	+$2,458	08-30 21:37
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$1.9K	2,041	2,041	+0	Up	-$99	09-07 15:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	7	$1.0K	2,912	2,912	+0	open	—	10-19 12:18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$800	1,483	0	+1,483	Down	-$800	09-07 15:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	3	$714	2,116	1,055	+1,061	Yes	-$144	08-01 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$711	3,437	3,437	+0	No	-$663	06-29 20:49
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	3	$708	512	512	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$314	09-06 20:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$680	2,229	2,229	+0	Yes	-$12	09-03 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$628	523	308	+215	Up	+$43	09-07 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$621	474	263	+211	Down	-$179	09-07 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$608	477	260	+217	Up	+$25	09-07 19:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$588	753	753	+0	Yes	+$91	05-26 23:29
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$500	893	0	+893	Tampa Bay Rays	+$393	09-01 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$497	469	469	+0	Up	+$297	09-06 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	6	$496	581	581	+0	Down	+$76	10-16 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$488	324	324	+0	Up	+$88	09-02 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$487	358	358	+0	Up	+$87	09-01 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$464	830	830	+0	Down	+$64	09-02 05:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$456	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$144	07-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$445	253	253	+0	Up	+$45	09-07 19:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$422	434	434	+0	Yes	+$212	06-14 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$408	210	210	+0	Down	+$8	09-07 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$404	220	220	+0	Up	+$4	09-07 20:58
mlb nym tb 2026 08 31	1	$400	1,081	0	+1,081	New York Mets	+$681	08-31 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$400	451	0	+451	Up	+$51	09-07 20:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	3	$390	9,144	9,144	+0	Yes	-$200	07-27 23:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$383	1,531	1,531	+0	Yes	-$15	07-27 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$339	287	287	+0	Down	+$139	09-12 20:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	3	$327	17,972	17,972	+0	Yes	-$229	07-27 23:12
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$326	387	263	+124	Down	+$50	09-03 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:39:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf2daf7…
10-26 13:16:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$30	0x365fc3…
10-24 13:48:12	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc573b5…
10-23 08:17:23	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xfb44a9…
10-23 08:11:03	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf1467c…
10-23 07:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xeff075…
10-23 07:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	152	32¢	$48	0x1001a4…
10-23 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x3f364b…
10-23 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe06344…
10-23 07:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x99f2e2…
10-21 21:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x20ac3b…
10-21 21:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xf5adc6…
10-21 20:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xff8725…
10-20 13:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb0ac3f…
10-20 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1a8fff…
10-20 12:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf7d375…
10-20 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x42137e…
10-20 12:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7a21b0…
10-19 16:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0xb640be…
10-19 16:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1474e3…
10-19 16:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdf4d5b…
10-19 16:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x517d47…
10-19 16:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8db2c3…
10-19 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1fa1bd…
10-19 16:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	193	67¢	$129	0xc7023f…
10-19 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x1ccf81…
10-19 16:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x83bbe7…
10-19 16:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x17cd65…
10-19 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb054a6…
10-19 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	71	35¢	$25	0xb3f839…
10-19 12:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xa238d6…
10-19 12:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	167	39¢	$65	0xbeb13f…
10-19 12:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xf348d6…
10-19 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd2ca38…
10-19 12:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x768d2c…
10-19 12:18:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,528	16¢	$407	0x29fb4e…
10-18 17:07:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	378	18¢	$68	0x96c1f8…
10-18 17:07:29	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	160	43¢	$69	0xc63033…
10-18 17:05:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	306	18¢	$55	0x51ec44…
10-18 17:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	833	18¢	$150	0x86276c…
10-18 16:46:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,011	18¢	$182	0xc58061…
10-18 16:46:20	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,111	8¢	$89	0xbe876e…
10-18 16:46:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x285cc3…
10-18 16:46:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,310	1¢	$10	0x242cfa…
10-17 08:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9367a3…
10-17 08:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	640	16¢	$100	0xfd3253…
10-17 08:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	135	54¢	$73	0x040ada…
10-17 08:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x4b4d65…
10-17 08:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1db5fa…
10-17 08:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xdabc21…
10-17 08:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1f22f2…
10-17 08:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	62	17¢	$10	0x0885d1…
10-17 08:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdfaa0a…
10-17 08:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	165	66¢	$108	0x28efc5…
10-17 08:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	39	36¢	$14	0xfffc60…
10-17 08:11:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xd1524b…
10-17 08:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x8db732…
10-17 08:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x376dbd…
10-17 08:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	65	51¢	$33	0xca5c83…
10-17 08:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x1668b5…
10-17 07:58:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x422012…
10-17 07:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x569906…
10-16 19:36:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x3b1fd7…
10-16 19:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x6313c0…
10-16 19:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7f6959…
10-16 16:37:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x442b2a…
10-16 16:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x08da2d…
10-16 16:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	55	25¢	$14	0x68cd11…
10-16 16:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb0a4ff…
10-16 16:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x349d88…
10-16 16:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5bcb5…
10-16 16:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	132	90¢	$119	0x3c1ded…
10-16 16:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x18f484…
10-16 12:00:22	Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6a86f1…
10-16 11:59:27	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x30cbce…
10-16 11:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x24256a…
10-16 11:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xc74724…
10-16 11:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0x1974b5…
10-16 11:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xd39d1c…
10-16 11:36:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x3ee8b4…
10-16 11:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	56	40¢	$22	0x03a017…
10-16 11:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0b0f64…
10-16 11:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc0c26c…
10-16 11:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	328	27¢	$89	0x1956ce…
10-16 11:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xd94319…
10-16 11:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5f4e15…
10-16 11:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xb26894…
10-16 11:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x11b0ce…
10-16 10:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x04e621…
10-16 10:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd140eb…
10-16 10:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x8c0c0d…
10-16 10:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb8c050…
10-16 10:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	33	38¢	$13	0x99b144…
10-16 10:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdb6025…
10-16 10:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0x2cd326…
10-16 10:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa75448…
10-16 10:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xe689c1…
10-16 10:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9204b3…
10-16 10:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	250	56¢	$139	0x937f4c…
10-16 10:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	298	41¢	$122	0x2e1d90…