Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$812

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-26 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 53% -$3

Other

2% 0% -$1

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	+8	$3	78¢	$6	+$3	10-24 10:54
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+95	$7	4¢	$4	-$2	10-25 11:48
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+1	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	10-24 00:31
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	16¢	$1	$0	10-24 00:39
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+135	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-24 00:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$76	51	51	+0	Down	+$26	10-24 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$60	73	33	+40	Up	+$6	10-24 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$60	35	35	+0	Up	+$10	10-24 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	10-24 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	10-25 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Down	-$25	10-24 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	-$25	10-26 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$25	81	0	+81	Up	-$25	10-24 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	10-26 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$22	39	13	+26	Down	-$8	10-25 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$21	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	10-25 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$21	20	20	+0	Up	+$19	10-24 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$18	175	8	+167	Up	-$2	10-24 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	10-24 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-24 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$15	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$15	44	0	+44	Up	-$15	10-26 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$14	18	18	+0	Down	-$6	10-25 01:29
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	5	$13	191	95	+95	open	—	10-25 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	10-25 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	10-24 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$12	71	71	+0	Down	-$8	10-24 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$10	10-24 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	10-25 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	10-25 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	10-25 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	45	0	+45	Down	-$10	10-24 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	-$10	10-26 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x615e46…
10-26 06:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x44c6bc…
10-26 06:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x937f81…
10-26 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe946c5…
10-26 05:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xf9dec9…
10-26 05:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x713b24…
10-26 05:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x419242…
10-26 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x452725…
10-26 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x43e45d…
10-26 01:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x853598…
10-25 23:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xa161cc…
10-25 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9ea5f0…
10-25 23:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb6ad45…
10-25 14:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xe1f0ac…
10-25 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4d7d05…
10-25 14:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x368f57…
10-25 14:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x96df78…
10-25 12:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7d62db…
10-25 11:48:50	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$3	0xdb4f2b…
10-25 10:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2d54b7…
10-25 10:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbe01e0…
10-25 10:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa06c55…
10-25 10:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x9fa8d3…
10-25 10:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcb3d97…
10-25 07:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf1b254…
10-25 07:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc9975e…
10-25 05:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x55aa3a…
10-25 05:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6a1d24…
10-25 05:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xe5f5a4…
10-25 05:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0d058a…
10-25 05:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xd4b971…
10-25 05:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd90571…
10-25 05:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb8d96b…
10-25 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xdb9d5e…
10-25 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9f7b9c…
10-25 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa04b9f…
10-25 01:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7be559…
10-25 01:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x77bd01…
10-25 01:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xfa3ad7…
10-25 01:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9f7788…
10-25 01:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xdba6a9…
10-25 01:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbac23e…
10-25 01:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0xea5c64…
10-25 01:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x50679f…
10-24 23:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x22e7f6…
10-24 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x62ae48…
10-24 23:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x266f2c…
10-24 23:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb9ad30…
10-24 23:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa48fbc…
10-24 23:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7c7fc1…
10-24 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0c5b7c…
10-24 23:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb5a8f8…
10-24 23:03:42	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xffc63e…
10-24 23:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x156ed5…
10-24 15:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x671a77…
10-24 11:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc46d6e…
10-24 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xed56ff…
10-24 11:11:53	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x85666b…
10-24 11:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xb4d984…
10-24 11:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x50d44c…
10-24 11:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x3da698…
10-24 10:54:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc6485f…
10-24 10:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x124326…
10-24 10:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x3dbf72…
10-24 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x444890…
10-24 09:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb34d1c…
10-24 09:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7f59f0…
10-24 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x3b7dc7…
10-24 09:11:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x79e71f…
10-24 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xa3ce78…
10-24 08:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3b7938…
10-24 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x6b884d…
10-24 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x49c759…
10-24 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x62f805…
10-24 06:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9bc2da…
10-24 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x85ed4e…
10-24 06:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x505054…
10-24 06:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0c24b8…
10-24 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x879466…
10-24 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9c95a1…
10-24 02:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee1ca0…
10-24 01:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xea8775…
10-24 01:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x35acf0…
10-24 01:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x62bcda…
10-24 01:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa90091…
10-24 01:06:24	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0x9ed2cd…
10-24 00:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x03731d…
10-24 00:53:30	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x529d4d…
10-24 00:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc14ec1…
10-24 00:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2eadf4…
10-24 00:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8a0867…
10-24 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x003e39…
10-24 00:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x7d109b…
10-24 00:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4,526	0¢	$5	0xae75b0…
10-24 00:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	241	0¢	$0	0x93e009…
10-24 00:39:06	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbd721e…
10-24 00:33:45	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0xe6413c…
10-24 00:33:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xce63b9…
10-24 00:32:47	Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf26458…
10-24 00:31:59	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4d7304…