Gracious-Dump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$678

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

2,352

Trades

3,633

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-21 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 33% -$539

Other

13% 37% -$136

Sports

2% 40% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-13?	138	$391	828	0	+828	Yes	-$117	10-13 13:57
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	18	$126	123	123	+0	100 Thieves	+$8	10-11 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:40 UTC	3	$97	79	79	+0	Up	+$39	09-20 05:44
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winner	27	$94	177	31	+146	T1	+$23	10-11 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:55 UTC	3	$94	81	81	+0	Down	+$48	09-20 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:15 UTC	3	$88	83	83	+0	Up	+$43	09-20 06:19
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	15	$74	76	67	+9	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	+$1	10-11 15:11
Pacers vs. Thunder	24	$57	67	56	+11	Thunder	-$1	10-14 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$55	158	0	+158	Down	-$55	09-20 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:25 UTC	2	$54	80	80	+0	Up	+$4	09-20 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	2	$52	81	81	+0	Down	+$22	09-20 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:00 UTC	2	$49	60	60	+0	Up	+$14	09-20 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:50 UTC	2	$45	70	70	+0	Up	+$26	09-20 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:50 UTC	2	$45	79	79	+0	Down	+$20	09-20 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$40	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	10-06 04:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	2	$40	79	79	+0	Up	+$17	09-20 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	2	$39	80	2	+78	Down	-$37	09-20 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:30 UTC	2	$37	82	82	+0	Down	-$27	09-20 08:33
Mavericks vs. Rockets	16	$35	79	15	+64	Mavericks	-$8	10-11 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$35	23	23	+0	Up	+$7	10-08 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:40 UTC	2	$34	22	22	+0	Down	-$1	09-15 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Up	$0	09-11 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$5	10-08 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	10-08 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$33	19	19	+0	Down	+$5	09-20 20:33
wta volynet guo 2026 10 13	14	$32	72	0	+72	Hanyu Guo	-$1	10-14 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$32	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	09-20 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	10-08 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$14	10-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$30	24	23	+0	Up	+$14	10-08 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x735134…
10-21 06:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x595fa6…
10-21 05:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x881313…
10-21 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x1363c4…
10-21 05:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x621d0a…
10-21 05:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x24f701…
10-21 05:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x2170ee…
10-21 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x2cf1c0…
10-21 03:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x083167…
10-21 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xa4ac4f…
10-21 03:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xca6c72…
10-21 03:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x9ec3a2…
10-21 03:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xd413d7…
10-21 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xfad40b…
10-21 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x456fc0…
10-20 23:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x727b85…
10-20 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x32c527…
10-20 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x71127c…
10-20 22:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd3832f…
10-20 22:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xcefb85…
10-20 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd5d5b8…
10-20 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x963d80…
10-20 21:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x674488…
10-20 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdcc0cd…
10-20 21:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x916c56…
10-20 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xadad9c…
10-20 20:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x1ac9f2…
10-20 20:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x2da78d…
10-20 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x57bc0a…
10-20 19:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x659836…
10-20 19:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x95f7b6…
10-20 19:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa3caa4…
10-20 19:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xabb974…
10-20 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x64a865…
10-20 18:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xbc3ed3…
10-20 18:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x587a04…
10-20 17:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x0c2c20…
10-20 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3535ce…
10-20 16:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x53cf63…
10-20 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6696b6…
10-20 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe52242…
10-20 13:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc9a8b9…
10-20 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xa0aaf0…
10-20 13:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xb05003…
10-20 12:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x6b939b…
10-20 12:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa5ec72…
10-20 12:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x3db1d9…
10-20 12:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x13776c…
10-20 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xb93a5e…
10-20 10:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xf2e850…
10-20 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb76773…
10-20 08:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$6	0x546994…
10-20 08:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x57f9fe…
10-20 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x185425…
10-20 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x5e4d7c…
10-20 07:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xca60e0…
10-20 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x5f5acc…
10-20 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x556028…
10-20 05:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x291ac0…
10-20 05:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x347ccd…
10-20 05:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xe22982…
10-20 04:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x2108d0…
10-20 03:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xa5e687…
10-20 03:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfdfe90…
10-20 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x169be5…
10-20 02:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x66eee9…
10-20 02:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x656b52…
10-20 01:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xa7b68f…
10-20 01:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xf54722…
10-20 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x05674e…
10-20 00:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x51a3b0…
10-19 20:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xeb2dcd…
10-19 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x1117c1…
10-19 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xef4adc…
10-19 19:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x9adbd7…
10-19 18:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x42b8db…
10-19 16:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xd649e3…
10-19 13:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe8ccef…
10-19 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x64328f…
10-19 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x6d331a…
10-19 12:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x34694f…
10-19 12:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x91b01a…
10-19 11:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xf44c48…
10-19 11:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xb1795a…
10-19 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x5e2961…
10-19 11:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6ff236…
10-19 10:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x74b787…
10-19 10:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc43db5…
10-19 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x366128…
10-19 09:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x0d6aba…
10-19 08:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x9f3a38…
10-19 08:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x20d071…
10-19 08:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x726f48…
10-19 07:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x79d40e…
10-19 07:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x1a0e58…
10-19 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xffb51d…
10-19 06:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x8a66a1…
10-19 06:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xa78801…
10-19 05:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x9e6cf1…
10-19 05:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1d9074…