Fat-Tragedy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

114

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$250.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$328

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-03 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

100% 54% +$58,690

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	3	$16.0K	29,000	0	+29,000	No	+$13,020	08-30 21:16
Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)	2	$14.9K	26,000	0	+26,000	Fortuna Sittard	+$11,050	08-28 17:17
Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?	9	$10.8K	23,850	0	+23,850	No	+$13,038	08-01 15:58
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	7	$10.8K	20,880	0	+20,880	No	-$10,780	06-19 18:44
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?	2	$10.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$195	07-27 21:45
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-27?	2	$8.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$786	08-27 15:10
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	5	$8.1K	15,078	0	+15,078	No	-$8,140	10-02 18:21
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	177	$7.5K	17,500	0	+17,500	Yes	+$9,974	06-18 01:27
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	16	$7.2K	15,334	0	+15,334	Yes	-$7,207	09-30 10:51
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	2	$6.8K	13,000	2,500	+10,500	Under	+$5,905	06-17 15:54
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02?	1	$6.4K	12,000	0	+12,000	Yes	+$5,640	08-02 14:55
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance	11	$6.1K	23,342	824	+22,518	Sabah FK	+$7,191	08-25 19:15
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02?	1	$5.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$5,400	08-02 20:38
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?	2	$5.3K	10,030	0	+10,030	No	+$4,713	07-29 22:36
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	46	$5.2K	9,249	0	+9,249	No	+$4,070	10-01 18:46
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?	1	$5.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$4,900	07-30 21:29
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-29?	1	$4.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	-$4,840	08-29 23:39
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	18	$4.6K	14,145	0	+14,145	Fenerbahçe SK	+$9,548	08-26 19:19
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?	1	$4.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$4,400	07-28 22:11
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor: Team to Advance	23	$4.3K	6,774	0	+6,774	Ferencvárosi TC	+$2,501	08-27 18:20
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 11pt5	14	$4.2K	7,255	0	+7,255	Under	+$3,047	06-18 20:02
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	8	$3.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$4,160	10-02 21:42
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	1	$3.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	-$3,760	10-01 18:37
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?	1	$3.6K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$3,360	07-28 23:54
sud bra cri 2026 07 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$3.5K	7,500	0	+7,500	CS Cristal	+$3,975	07-30 00:00
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	28	$3.0K	6,900	0	+6,900	No	-$3,036	06-18 20:47
chi ron wsz 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	9	$3.0K	6,188	0	+6,188	Under	-$3,032	08-01 11:48
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	5	$2.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$3,360	06-17 03:45
swe hac aik 2026 07 27 total 3pt5	6	$2.6K	5,586	0	+5,586	Under	-$2,570	07-27 16:58
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-01?	1	$2.6K	4,743	0	+4,743	No	-$2,561	08-01 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 18:23:26	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x1bf47c…
10-03 18:23:14	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8f161f…
10-03 18:23:09	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x1a48e0…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0xfbef76…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xa3a9c5…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	78	42¢	$33	0x907b08…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	794	42¢	$333	0x868b12…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x54be56…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x50fab7…
10-03 18:23:00	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0x4ca4d7…
10-03 18:22:57	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x70997c…
10-03 18:22:54	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	485	42¢	$204	0x4a4b4d…
10-03 18:22:51	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	414	42¢	$174	0x934f09…
10-03 18:22:51	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	365	42¢	$153	0x8eaa38…
10-03 18:22:51	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x757e7b…
10-03 18:22:51	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x38079f…
10-03 18:22:51	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x029c6c…
10-03 18:22:50	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	536	42¢	$225	0x710f17…
10-03 18:22:26	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	86	42¢	$36	0x4ad68e…
10-03 18:22:26	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x09bb91…
10-03 18:20:12	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x16ae75…
10-03 18:19:02	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	166	42¢	$70	0xcb76c2…
10-03 18:18:45	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,034	42¢	$434	0xb50549…
10-03 18:16:29	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	172	42¢	$72	0x6819c9…
10-03 18:16:23	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd9845e…
10-02 21:42:56	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	7,229	48¢	$3,470	0x06ba48…
10-02 21:42:39	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0x6891bc…
10-02 21:42:21	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x9e97aa…
10-02 21:41:32	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x5a3c0e…
10-02 21:40:03	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	202	48¢	$97	0x7acd48…
10-02 21:37:29	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x1066b3…
10-02 21:37:06	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	372	48¢	$179	0xbb2f8d…
10-02 21:33:57	Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x65d815…
10-02 20:56:56	Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	637	43¢	$274	0xc2cc7e…
10-02 18:21:47	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x43f6eb…
10-02 18:16:27	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x3f4871…
10-02 18:11:21	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	2,644	54¢	$1,428	0x295c80…
10-02 18:11:20	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$22	0xcd146c…
10-02 18:10:50	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	12,314	54¢	$6,649	0x8c82cc…
10-01 18:46:30	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x42ddd0…
10-01 18:37:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	8,000	47¢	$3,760	0xe11dc8…
10-01 17:43:23	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	94	56¢	$53	0xb582e8…
10-01 17:43:00	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x17367d…
10-01 17:41:00	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x2a07c6…
10-01 17:40:38	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	213	56¢	$119	0x67709c…
10-01 17:40:08	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x0a1a5a…
10-01 17:39:15	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xab709d…
10-01 17:39:05	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	892	56¢	$499	0x1e7883…
10-01 17:37:05	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0x71d9ad…
10-01 17:37:00	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xff5f6e…
10-01 17:36:57	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x005176…
10-01 17:36:54	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x832d32…
10-01 17:36:51	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa71b1a…
10-01 17:36:26	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xc94031…
10-01 17:36:02	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0x1e6954…
10-01 17:35:54	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x09dfa8…
10-01 17:35:32	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0x83ea96…
10-01 17:35:27	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x2a61be…
10-01 17:34:42	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf36722…
10-01 17:33:30	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x74abef…
10-01 17:33:26	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xe9889a…
10-01 17:32:44	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x364693…
10-01 17:32:03	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x2b6926…
10-01 17:31:53	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	437	56¢	$245	0x596d3a…
10-01 17:31:42	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x21ba3c…
10-01 17:30:59	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2,273	56¢	$1,273	0xd9fabe…
10-01 17:30:06	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	47	56¢	$26	0x005493…
10-01 17:29:56	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0xf31ff7…
10-01 17:29:38	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb6bf6f…
10-01 17:29:33	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0xb80d72…
10-01 17:29:20	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	213	56¢	$119	0xf6a9e9…
10-01 17:28:48	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0xc0c9f2…
10-01 17:28:48	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xbb0842…
10-01 17:28:41	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1,132	56¢	$634	0x9cce89…
10-01 17:28:15	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xbdafc0…
10-01 17:28:03	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0f8937…
10-01 17:27:54	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0xd463f0…
10-01 17:27:44	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0x274970…
10-01 17:27:03	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xf5429c…
10-01 17:26:53	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	212	56¢	$119	0x4d4f4d…
10-01 17:26:36	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	126	56¢	$71	0x2aad3b…
10-01 17:25:50	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x39df7f…
10-01 17:25:11	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	96	56¢	$54	0xa96fba…
10-01 17:24:57	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xcce992…
10-01 17:24:02	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0xe5698d…
10-01 17:23:53	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1,982	56¢	$1,110	0xa792f7…
09-30 10:51:56	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xdaef45…
09-30 10:51:39	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2a69a9…
09-30 10:51:08	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x881e0b…
09-30 10:48:21	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x10da9f…
09-30 10:47:45	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x35dce1…
09-30 10:47:17	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xefe050…
09-30 10:47:02	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x342b46…
09-30 10:45:30	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x07db62…
09-30 10:44:29	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0xa8a505…
09-30 10:44:11	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x673e1e…
09-30 10:43:32	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2,130	47¢	$1,001	0x74cacf…
09-30 10:19:53	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	7,979	47¢	$3,750	0x96abcc…
09-30 10:19:51	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	1,614	47¢	$759	0xced8ca…
09-30 10:19:51	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	673	47¢	$316	0x7ac6d7…