Aggressive-Deodorant-Diner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

325

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$5.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-27 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

70% 24% -$43

Sports

15% 39% +$122

Politics

11% 25% -$26

Crypto

4% 33% -$42

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+44	$20	34¢	$15	-$5	10-24 22:36
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	+124	$98	2¢	$2	-$96	10-27 19:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+36	$5	4¢	$1	-$4	10-24 22:35
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+293	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-27 15:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+21	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	06-02 06:35
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+140	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	06-01 22:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$312	242	242	+0	Yes	+$172	06-14 06:02
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	3	$252	269	145	+124	open	—	10-27 19:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$178	128	128	+0	Yes	+$78	10-20 20:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$150	653	0	+653	No	-$150	07-14 20:00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	3	$131	111	111	+0	Yes	+$91	10-14 20:54
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$99	95	95	+0	Yes	+$59	07-18 22:23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	4	$96	77	77	+0	Yes	+$52	06-20 21:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	2	$94	107	107	+0	open	—	10-27 19:23
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$79	62	62	+0	open	—	10-27 23:28
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	2	$67	59	59	+0	Yes	+$47	10-15 20:51
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	3	$66	46	46	+0	Over	+$26	07-05 22:03
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	2	$63	52	52	+0	No	+$33	10-15 20:49
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	3	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	10-04 20:43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	4	$60	118	37	+81	No	-$30	10-21 19:25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	4	$58	85	40	+46	No	-$22	06-25 21:19
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	3	$56	41	41	+0	Over	+$26	06-29 18:58
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	3	$55	40	40	+0	Yes	+$25	07-01 18:00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$52	48	48	+0	Yes	+$30	05-31 02:25
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$51	42	42	+0	Yes	+$31	07-15 20:47
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	1	$50	84	0	+84	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne	-$50	09-22 12:36
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$50	91	0	+91	Yes	+$41	05-30 14:03
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	3	$50	35	35	+0	Yes	+$20	09-28 20:45
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	2	$46	31	31	+0	Spain	+$16	07-02 20:51
Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	$46	40	40	+0	Maccabi Tel Aviv	+$26	10-15 20:26
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	2	$45	35	35	+0	Over	+$25	10-20 20:57
bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 10	5	$44	66	38	+28	Panathinaikos	+$8	06-10 20:14
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	2	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$23	06-23 17:39
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals kylian mbappe gte1	3	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$23	06-16 20:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$40	100	100	+0	No	-$24	05-21 09:18
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$19	10-15 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:28:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x4870f1…
10-27 19:45:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x2b1dc6…
10-27 19:34:59	Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x77c513…
10-27 19:24:30	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	145	53¢	$77	0x6a2602…
10-27 19:23:47	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	118	64¢	$75	0x8747b0…
10-27 19:23:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	107	41¢	$44	0x3951ab…
10-27 17:30:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x7cce52…
10-27 15:50:26	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0x164f51…
10-27 12:49:33	Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc9c555…
10-27 12:34:47	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x058f6d…
10-27 12:29:30	Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x85bf94…
10-27 12:25:47	Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	55	28¢	$15	0x6712a6…
10-27 12:24:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xef85ec…
10-27 12:24:12	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa2503e…
10-27 12:22:38	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x5b47a4…
10-25 20:46:33	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0d0933…
10-25 20:37:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe24cc4…
10-25 20:28:00	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5b730e…
10-25 19:23:53	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x97b3bb…
10-25 19:23:30	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xd7d4af…
10-25 19:23:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0da847…
10-25 19:22:48	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xeae924…
10-25 19:19:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x0f84d0…
10-25 14:42:05	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x25ecab…
10-25 14:21:00	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xddfc1a…
10-24 22:36:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd446c0…
10-24 22:35:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdbc89f…
10-24 22:35:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4b6ded…
10-24 18:05:23	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc8ee22…
10-24 13:24:35	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb4dd54…
10-24 13:24:15	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x26c490…
10-22 19:40:51	Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5e2b57…
10-21 20:27:18	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x83afb7…
10-21 20:22:27	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbcd2ed…
10-21 19:25:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xb72de3…
10-21 19:24:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xd30ca0…
10-21 19:24:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0x3bef31…
10-21 19:17:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdc4618…
10-21 19:17:23	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x77d54c…
10-21 18:23:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x146ab5…
10-21 18:22:45	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf7e366…
10-21 18:22:38	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xcc0db1…
10-20 21:31:18	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x57aaae…
10-20 21:00:03	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5074be…
10-20 20:57:38	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7e66a8…
10-20 20:57:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdd7e83…
10-20 20:57:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x1d14f7…
10-20 19:05:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x4ebc3a…
10-20 17:27:05	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf4f795…
10-20 17:26:38	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xef307a…
10-20 17:26:14	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc79963…
10-20 17:25:50	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xaf59ca…
10-20 17:25:41	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xcb358d…
10-20 17:20:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x1f4623…
10-20 17:19:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdf531e…
10-20 17:19:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x5e845c…
10-17 16:00:20	Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb65a4d…
10-17 14:06:12	Exact Score: Brentford FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9527d5…
10-17 14:05:56	Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb4f61e…
10-17 14:02:59	Will Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2e37ff…
10-17 13:29:05	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x07b0a8…
10-17 13:25:18	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2a4b39…
10-17 13:08:15	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x597ca8…
10-15 20:51:33	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xfa8a3d…
10-15 20:49:33	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x9edf6d…
10-15 20:41:05	Spread: BC Dubai (-1.5)	BC Dubai	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb5524d…
10-15 20:26:50	Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0xeb3b18…
10-15 19:44:10	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x2c0361…
10-15 19:41:56	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x856be2…
10-15 19:39:32	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x246dd1…
10-15 17:32:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x202492…
10-15 16:05:47	Spread: BC Dubai (-1.5)	BC Dubai	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x61dcbb…
10-15 16:05:01	Spread: Fenerbahce (-10.5)	Fenerbahce	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x21d7f8…
10-15 16:02:50	Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdb5d50…
10-14 20:54:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x864fda…
10-14 20:51:27	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 5 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x1fabf1…
10-14 20:47:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x00d69a…
10-14 20:47:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xef8b32…
10-14 20:17:36	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xbf2146…
10-13 18:24:58	Barcelona vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x15aa52…
10-12 15:21:44	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbf6fb3…
10-12 15:21:14	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xea6a71…
10-12 15:21:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x17b5bb…
10-12 15:20:57	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1e025d…
10-12 15:20:00	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x634aa7…
10-06 20:02:53	Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf69f7f…
10-06 20:01:42	Scotland vs. Slovenia: Scotland O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x27ae85…
10-06 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x48ba40…
10-06 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xecf8cb…
10-06 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x65dfe2…
10-06 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x233fe7…
10-05 12:53:56	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x331e40…
10-04 20:43:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9318d1…
10-04 20:16:34	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x59b51a…
10-04 19:25:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3ddad8…
10-04 19:25:02	Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeb578b…
10-04 19:21:10	Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fd7db…
10-04 19:07:55	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xca9f83…
10-01 16:33:11	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4ca7c8…
10-01 09:33:02	euroleague panathin aviv1 2026 10 02	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbae3a8…