Rare-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$647

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

224

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-05 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

91% 48% +$542

Sports

7% 39% +$151

Crypto

2% 0% -$7

Politics

1% 33% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		+222	$151	47¢	$104	-$47	08-22 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$575	333	333	+0	Argentina	+$72	07-12 03:33
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$439	282	282	+0	Yes	+$124	06-20 00:16
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	4	$415	265	265	+0	Spirit	+$15	06-13 22:35
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	3	$361	212	212	+0	Over	+$63	06-30 02:54
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	8	$329	264	264	+0	Under	+$35	05-19 20:15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	2	$319	218	218	+0	Yes	+$92	08-24 20:50
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	3	$294	222	222	+0	open	—	08-20 09:56
mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	2	$284	177	177	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$64	08-01 21:46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	6	$273	210	210	+0	Yes	+$31	08-22 21:27
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$256	155	155	+0	Yes	+$54	06-14 03:09
cs2 bb3 furia 2026 06 13	2	$254	131	131	+0	FURIA	+$8	06-13 19:29
mlb sf sd 2026 08 02	2	$252	175	175	+0	San Diego Padres	+$59	08-02 20:54
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	2	$245	125	125	+0	Vitality	+$5	06-13 17:48
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13 game1	2	$234	122	122	+0	Vitality	+$7	06-13 15:23
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	2	$226	139	139	+0	Over	+$51	06-27 03:18
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	2	$225	133	133	+0	Yes	+$41	08-19 05:47
cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	2	$218	115	115	+0	Team Falcons	+$9	06-13 15:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	2	$218	137	137	+0	Yes	+$56	08-12 22:00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$213	130	130	+0	Yes	+$47	05-10 18:14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	7	$212	348	348	+0	No	-$11	05-30 18:03
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13 game1	2	$204	139	139	+0	9z	-$57	06-13 19:51
Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?	2	$200	130	130	+0	Yes	+$60	10-02 18:12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner	6	$198	110	110	+0	Natus Vincere	+$20	05-11 22:26
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$195	233	0	+233	Adam Walton	-$195	05-26 11:17
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$194	135	135	+0	France	+$46	06-30 22:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$194	155	155	+0	Yes	+$2	10-01 13:20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	2	$184	102	102	+0	Vitality	+$19	05-11 20:43
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	2	$176	115	115	+0	Spirit	+$45	06-12 19:58
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	2	$168	99	99	+0	Over	+$30	07-12 02:41
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	3	$163	111	111	+0	Under	+$57	05-30 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:08:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	731	5¢	$36	0x0d151b…
10-02 18:12:53	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xedcf71…
10-01 20:59:44	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x40c42a…
10-01 20:45:57	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xdf6fbe…
10-01 20:33:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xf3e89f…
10-01 17:03:30	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0xad7892…
10-01 17:02:50	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0x836f0d…
10-01 13:20:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	155	63¢	$98	0x9083fe…
09-30 16:57:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	155	62¢	$96	0x3b43ed…
09-29 19:14:27	Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf05926…
09-29 19:01:38	Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc2f83d…
09-27 18:06:50	Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x983c3e…
09-27 16:03:29	Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0xaf2325…
09-27 15:54:32	Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x3191ca…
09-26 20:49:35	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x187ed1…
09-26 19:34:41	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x54dfc4…
09-26 14:54:12	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0ea80c…
09-25 20:43:11	Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x096e16…
09-25 18:52:50	Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x63ddc1…
09-20 18:02:16	Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x7b982c…
09-20 15:58:15	Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	99	48¢	$48	0xf7be5b…
09-18 11:07:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0xdb4d25…
09-18 11:06:34	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xf69814…
09-15 23:12:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x511525…
09-15 19:24:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	9¢	$7	0x6bc56c…
09-15 19:22:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	7¢	$16	0x5364a1…
09-15 19:22:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	7¢	$8	0x21b486…
09-15 19:21:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	7¢	$8	0xef1188…
09-15 19:20:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xf5375b…
09-15 15:53:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf5db18…
09-15 15:41:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	15¢	$15	0xb824af…
09-14 12:18:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x7bb015…
09-11 18:09:52	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	KAMUI	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x4fcd69…
09-10 20:42:00	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x1471ac…
09-10 18:37:43	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x1db762…
09-10 18:35:24	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x3725d0…
09-10 18:35:24	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x0dad4c…
09-10 18:34:10	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0xc33450…
09-10 17:26:34	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x026dec…
09-10 12:14:15	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x6bba54…
09-09 20:56:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf03810…
09-09 20:56:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1bf127…
09-09 18:13:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0x701fab…
09-09 18:08:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xb8a176…
09-08 21:26:58	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x563cee…
09-08 20:59:19	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x9ca38a…
09-08 18:41:03	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x6ba312…
09-07 21:26:45	Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8f1634…
09-07 21:26:33	Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xde3ba9…
09-06 20:37:40	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x38cd94…
09-06 17:20:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xac416d…
09-06 15:12:27	Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x64d371…
09-06 13:54:18	Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0x2fd6cd…
09-06 13:24:27	Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	55	39¢	$21	0xe47f5b…
08-31 20:24:03	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xb548b3…
08-31 15:30:33	atp nakashi baez 2026 08 30 game handicap home 6pt5	Nakashima	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a0d39…
08-31 14:47:18	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0xc1d86e…
08-30 20:19:57	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x0f2d72…
08-30 19:32:06	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x2d5c6d…
08-30 17:00:07	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x787806…
08-30 16:10:15	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x16a711…
08-30 13:30:39	Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0xb5dc9c…
08-30 12:34:45	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0xbb651a…
08-29 22:04:37	lol tl2 sr 2026 08 29	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xa6a5c2…
08-29 19:37:15	Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x7bb512…
08-29 19:09:18	FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x3e9548…
08-29 16:21:27	FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x91017f…
08-29 12:39:25	lol shft vit 2026 08 30	Shifters	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x4552de…
08-29 11:58:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xba9de3…
08-28 11:49:49	cs2 m80 furia 2026 08 28	M80	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xf65dce…
08-27 20:06:58	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Team Falcons	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8b5e7a…
08-27 19:39:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Team Falcons	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x9323d2…
08-27 16:31:13	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Legacy	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xe5e2fa…
08-27 12:41:16	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Legacy	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x006b5e…
08-26 19:32:30	AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xc81d6c…
08-26 18:34:40	AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0xb8c046…
08-24 20:50:28	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	218	94¢	$205	0xa362e9…
08-24 04:59:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	218	52¢	$114	0xf84a38…
08-23 19:05:57	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x14d1f1…
08-23 19:05:34	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0xb237d7…
08-23 15:42:01	epl new liv 2026 08 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0xc12d33…
08-22 21:27:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x44b97d…
08-22 21:13:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xb6b78b…
08-22 21:13:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x2e8232…
08-22 21:13:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x221f9a…
08-22 20:27:03	gsc bvb bmu 2026 08 22 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x103904…
08-22 20:25:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	144	60¢	$86	0x0b2a60…
08-22 18:29:07	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$99	0x6db839…
08-22 18:21:39	gsc bvb bmu 2026 08 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe6a663…
08-22 16:28:58	rus csk lok 2026 08 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0x9ca9f3…
08-22 09:09:09	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x928ee4…
08-20 14:58:10	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	68¢	$129	0x048c77…
08-20 09:56:04	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	222	64¢	$143	0xf85ca2…
08-19 21:14:18	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	192	68¢	$131	0xf2659d…
08-19 16:47:49	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x8d2e63…
08-19 16:46:30	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x8317b3…
08-19 05:47:55	Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xffa312…
08-17 11:15:51	Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	133	69¢	$92	0x4d769b…
08-16 18:35:25	Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xdee7c4…
08-16 15:19:36	ecs ars mci 2026 08 16 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x770cb8…