Motherly-Toast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,777

lifetime

Volume

$6.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-04 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 35% $-27

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 3am et	5	$201	143	138	+5	open	—	04-16 07:54
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 11am et	3	$170	112	108	+4	open	—	04-17 16:00
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 12pm et	3	$144	74	74	+0	open	—	04-16 16:55
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 6am et	5	$141	93	90	+3	open	—	04-17 10:53
btc updown 5m 1776421800	7	$110	93	88	+6	open	—	04-17 10:33
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4pm et	2	$98	81	78	+4	open	—	04-17 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776457800	2	$94	48	48	+0	open	—	04-17 20:33
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 1pm et	5	$93	65	63	+2	open	—	04-17 17:47
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 10am et	10	$88	171	0	+171	open	—	04-17 14:03
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 1am et	5	$87	53	52	+0	open	—	04-17 05:56
sol updown 5m 1776586200	16	$86	51	50	+1	open	—	04-19 08:12
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 1pm et	4	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	04-17 17:48
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 9am et	4	$81	66	62	+3	open	—	04-16 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776449400	7	$80	58	56	+2	open	—	04-17 18:15
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 5am et	6	$80	100	50	+50	open	—	04-17 09:18
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 11am et	3	$80	51	50	+2	open	—	04-17 16:03
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 12am et	5	$72	88	85	+3	open	—	04-16 04:58
btc updown 5m 1776455700	3	$69	49	47	+2	open	—	04-17 19:58
btc updown 5m 1776449100	3	$64	89	24	+65	open	—	04-17 18:11
solana up or down april 19 2026 3am et	3	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	04-19 07:55
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET	3	$62	42	40	+1	open	—	04-26 09:01
btc updown 5m 1776595200	12	$62	51	50	+1	open	—	04-19 10:44
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 2am et	2	$61	43	41	+2	open	—	04-16 07:01
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	15	$60	65	65	+0	open	—	08-04 11:19
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 3pm et	4	$60	176	167	+9	open	—	04-17 19:55
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 9pm et	6	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-16 01:55
btc updown 5m 1776592800	3	$58	54	51	+3	open	—	04-19 10:03
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 12pm et	6	$58	121	0	+121	open	—	04-17 16:01
solana up or down april 19 2026 1am et	3	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	04-19 05:57
solana up or down april 18 2026 11am et	6	$55	42	41	+0	open	—	04-18 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:25:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0506d7…
08-04 15:25:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x879a2e…
08-04 15:14:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf128e1…
08-04 14:56:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd1e83e…
08-04 14:38:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x19d694…
08-04 14:31:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6b2b28…
08-04 14:30:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x8f385b…
08-04 14:16:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x31e2f9…
08-04 13:42:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x6a3c76…
08-04 13:38:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8691df…
08-04 13:37:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xe0106e…
08-04 13:35:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf80001…
08-04 13:35:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x04dd5e…
08-04 11:19:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6c1c50…
08-04 11:07:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4257f2…
08-04 10:45:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xf27907…
08-04 10:43:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x90c740…
08-04 10:11:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5855ec…
08-04 09:55:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x87fac4…
08-04 09:39:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7e911f…
08-04 09:25:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeab32b…
08-04 09:24:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x06049a…
08-04 09:21:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x667f73…
08-04 09:21:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfc4f85…
08-04 08:37:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x439a77…
08-04 08:34:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x218597…
08-04 08:27:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa1df59…
08-04 08:22:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9c4812…
06-18 07:04:32	eth updown 5m 1781766000	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa552ed…
06-18 07:04:23	eth updown 5m 1781766000	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xae13a9…
06-18 05:34:34	eth updown 5m 1781760600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32d510…
06-18 02:59:53	sol updown 5m 1781751300	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7abb66…
06-18 02:59:43	sol updown 5m 1781751300	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xc4a6f2…
06-18 02:59:38	sol updown 5m 1781751300	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x640834…
06-18 02:54:34	btc updown 5m 1781751000	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x482260…
06-18 02:49:34	btc updown 5m 1781750700	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49006e…
06-17 05:52:59	btc updown 5m 1781675400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x34fa7b…
06-05 01:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780621200	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x355591…
06-05 00:52:55	btc updown 5m 1780620600	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x95c312…
06-05 00:43:37	btc updown 5m 1780620000	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b55f3…
06-05 00:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcc98dd…
06-05 00:13:58	btc updown 5m 1780618200	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x789b1b…
06-04 02:06:57	btc updown 5m 1780538700	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf8de7f…
06-04 01:44:58	btc updown 5m 1780537200	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54bc58…
06-04 01:33:57	btc updown 5m 1780536600	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2c0f63…
06-04 01:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5df92…
06-04 01:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa76719…
06-04 01:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7f3750…
06-04 01:04:51	btc updown 5m 1780534800	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1c7f81…
06-04 00:59:31	btc updown 5m 1780534500	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53a5d8…
06-04 00:43:13	btc updown 5m 1780533600	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaea90d…
06-04 00:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbfb7da…
06-04 00:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x963323…
06-04 00:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x60ba85…
06-04 00:33:49	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x532495…
06-04 00:02:31	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1b74aa…
06-03 07:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54c219…
06-03 07:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x79b6df…
06-03 07:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb49219…
06-03 07:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2bd5d8…
06-03 07:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc9c7b7…
06-03 07:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x28ce8f…
06-03 06:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x21b5fd…
06-03 06:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xecef17…
06-03 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe748f9…
06-03 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8801ae…
06-03 06:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x968447…
06-03 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x89157a…
06-03 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4cf5c2…
06-03 05:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd63ee0…
06-03 05:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x580a83…
06-03 05:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x323d8d…
06-03 05:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3de891…
06-03 05:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x945593…
06-03 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc50aa3…
06-03 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb73df4…
06-03 05:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8957ee…
06-03 04:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb20203…
06-03 04:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6c5339…
06-03 04:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xda0471…
06-03 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ebc37…
06-03 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e248b…
06-03 04:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa9ce59…
06-03 04:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x87a353…
06-03 03:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8512b1…
06-03 03:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc416f2…
06-03 03:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3e6543…
06-03 02:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x152149…
06-03 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x344af5…
06-03 02:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd13901…
06-03 02:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7a632a…
06-03 01:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe167ae…
06-03 01:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a3cb4…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x671b2f…
06-03 01:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf77483…
06-03 00:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x163bc5…
06-03 00:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x05483f…
06-03 00:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x841e2d…
06-02 07:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x712362…
06-02 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53f498…