Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

321

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$4.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 09-30 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

94% 91% +$48

Tech

4% 50% +$4

Crypto

1% 10% -$34

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	2	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$7	07-01 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 6?	2	$61	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 07:30
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	1	$52	61	0	+61	Yes	+$9	09-28 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	07-21 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 21?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	07-21 21:43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	07-10 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	07-23 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 21?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-28 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 24?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-24 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 21?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 22?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-25 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 08:13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 13:39
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 24?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-25 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-26 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-24 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-24 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 21?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	07-21 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	07-26 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?	3	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 20:16:29	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	4¢	$6	0x031e40…
09-30 20:10:53	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	13¢	$20	0x44099a…
09-29 22:02:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x08505d…
09-29 21:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b33db…
09-28 17:47:02	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x1732bf…
09-22 17:51:40	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfcd515…
09-22 17:49:25	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa9965b…
09-22 14:20:43	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xf1af60…
09-22 11:25:12	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	No	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x899a43…
09-21 19:48:27	will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3f7a8d…
09-21 19:47:31	will the next claude opus model be released by september 22 2026	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x50d210…
09-21 19:47:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x915f07…
09-21 19:46:55	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x3447ef…
09-21 00:39:14	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x87d93f…
09-11 09:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xeea8ce…
09-10 06:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xea778e…
09-09 19:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf2c2b3…
09-08 15:17:40	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xad6a7f…
09-08 15:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x854dff…
09-08 14:00:18	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe36fd0…
09-07 15:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7ef790…
09-06 09:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5deaa1…
09-06 07:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x10b1ef…
09-06 02:00:37	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ab964…
09-05 22:54:16	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf47ba8…
09-05 20:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b51b8…
09-05 17:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x500691…
09-05 17:19:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa4768d…
09-05 07:31:21	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x33b962…
09-04 18:46:58	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd2b35a…
09-04 14:00:37	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd079a1…
09-04 11:49:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x00d130…
09-03 19:42:06	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9619cf…
09-03 19:42:01	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d86d0…
09-03 16:40:12	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x153e91…
09-03 13:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x755995…
09-03 07:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0c2a67…
09-02 07:56:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x46eee1…
09-02 06:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3b9d5c…
08-31 15:50:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb7b9ca…
08-31 15:34:18	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x19b783…
08-31 10:41:12	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7b2e35…
08-31 10:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7c724f…
08-30 19:45:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6021d2…
08-30 17:22:22	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xa4b07f…
08-30 13:00:22	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa2a093…
08-30 07:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43b348…
08-30 06:44:30	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5ed92d…
08-29 20:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x32755d…
08-29 13:03:49	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26a049…
08-28 14:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x35c4f5…
08-28 09:28:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37e4fa…
08-28 08:00:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x411f2f…
08-27 16:58:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf86b59…
08-27 14:41:22	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa66958…
08-27 14:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x41ca25…
08-27 09:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa7ba4a…
08-27 06:03:16	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4fc364…
08-26 15:00:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x16896c…
08-26 11:22:42	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x677914…
08-25 20:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3cd818…
08-25 05:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0d7550…
08-25 04:00:28	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x447f72…
08-24 15:26:18	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x405d66…
08-24 10:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 23?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa52b99…
08-24 08:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec3bbf…
08-24 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfbba40…
08-24 05:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x89bb36…
08-23 21:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6f105b…
08-23 19:46:57	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b1fbb…
08-23 08:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8728ea…
08-23 08:02:33	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3e935e…
08-23 08:00:22	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7e4c5…
08-23 07:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb764df…
08-23 06:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfd22d9…
08-23 04:57:21	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeb49c4…
08-23 02:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x34935c…
08-22 23:40:00	Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$1	0x77d895…
08-22 21:20:43	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x561f0d…
08-21 21:02:07	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf44172…
08-21 21:02:07	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x739545…
08-21 21:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3a870e…
08-21 20:01:15	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2f612c…
08-21 18:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc17188…
08-21 14:17:58	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4c7860…
08-21 05:22:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeef53f…
08-21 04:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02adb7…
08-21 02:39:22	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x009275…
08-20 18:43:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xef93bb…
08-19 16:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xccbc1e…
08-18 22:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a058c…
08-18 20:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd14b48…
08-18 17:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7f585a…
08-18 07:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc7e092…
08-16 11:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xac6da2…
08-16 08:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xffda77…
08-15 15:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd9e560…
08-15 08:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x15b579…
08-14 19:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x877b6d…
08-14 05:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x197720…