Married-Brushing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$488

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

120

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

87% 40% -$245

Crypto

11% 50% -$3

Other

2% 33% -$240

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$5.7K	6,501	6,501	+0	Yes	-$220	03-21 16:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$3.7K	2,051	2,051	+0	Yes	-$19	03-13 05:51
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	8	$2.0K	1,958	1,958	+0	No	-$351	03-26 18:27
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	4	$1.8K	1,696	1,696	+0	No	+$256	03-23 18:15
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 21 2026 123	2	$1.5K	793	793	+0	Yes	-$78	03-21 17:14
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	5	$893	1,427	1,427	+0	No	-$111	03-23 19:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$642	458	458	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 19:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$599	7,259	7,259	+0	open	—	06-01 13:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$538	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	05-30 14:00
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 26 2026 253	3	$525	273	273	+0	Yes	+$17	03-26 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 20:30 UTC	15	$374	324	324	+0	Up	+$31	01-02 20:44
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$340	44,758	44,758	+0	open	—	06-27 08:22
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$315	295	295	+0	No	+$21	03-03 16:35
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	1	$262	1,303	0	+1,303	Yes	-$262	03-26 18:28
will laguardia airport lga be open to departures by 200 pm et on march 23 2026	1	$234	276	0	+276	Yes	-$234	03-23 19:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$206	265	265	+0	No	+$6	02-28 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 17:15 UTC	7	$149	181	68	+113	Down	+$3	01-02 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 19:30 UTC	12	$138	169	83	+86	Up	+$14	01-02 19:39
bitcoin up or down january 3 8am et	19	$117	188	49	+139	Down	-$57	01-03 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:45 UTC	12	$110	155	67	+88	Up	+$22	01-02 16:56
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	2	$110	118	118	+0	Yes	+$50	01-09 09:40
bitcoin up or down january 2 12pm et	6	$108	129	31	+97	Down	+$1	01-02 17:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:00 UTC	2	$102	251	0	+251	Down	-$15	01-03 12:06
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	05-20 15:26
ethereum up or down january 3 6am et	6	$92	92	92	+0	Up	-$38	01-03 11:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	1	$80	194	0	+194	No	-$80	01-09 14:24
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$73	2,667	0	+2,667	No	-$73	05-30 14:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:30 UTC	15	$69	129	66	+63	Up	+$35	01-03 12:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:15 UTC	8	$60	81	23	+59	Up	+$11	01-02 16:27
bitcoin up or down january 3 6am et	2	$60	100	0	+100	Down	-$60	01-03 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:03:09	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x9be921…
07-19 19:31:43	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x7065c2…
06-27 08:22:59	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	44,758	0¢	$134	0x5e55d8…
06-01 13:24:40	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11,210	1¢	$77	0xbc46a8…
06-01 13:24:24	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,994	3¢	$67	0xb2db52…
06-01 13:23:31	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	33,548	0¢	$128	0xdabf11…
06-01 13:23:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,265	4¢	$200	0x61f7cc…
05-30 14:05:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,648	5¢	$169	0x52a001…
05-30 14:02:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,667	3¢	$73	0x2fa08c…
05-30 14:00:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,385	23¢	$314	0xca6821…
05-22 21:03:34	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,611	5¢	$163	0x664cdb…
05-22 21:01:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,385	16¢	$224	0x192d4b…
05-20 15:26:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xbf2f6c…
03-26 18:28:13	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	1,303	20¢	$262	0x0ceee7…
03-26 18:27:59	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	360	46¢	$165	0x6e0299…
03-26 18:23:53	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x9be98b…
03-26 18:23:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x0da0a7…
03-26 17:52:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	560	49¢	$272	0x8c0f32…
03-26 17:00:15	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 26 2026 253	Yes	SELL	273	100¢	$271	0x55c381…
03-26 14:07:11	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 26 2026 253	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$99	0x96d87a…
03-26 14:06:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 26 2026 253	Yes	BUY	167	93¢	$155	0x188801…
03-26 14:05:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	599	26¢	$156	0x614ca9…
03-23 19:37:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	599	65¢	$391	0x54b958…
03-23 19:37:37	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	1,427	27¢	$391	0x41cdb8…
03-23 19:16:49	will laguardia airport lga be open to departures by 200 pm et on march 23 2026	No	BUY	276	85¢	$234	0xf20294…
03-23 18:51:47	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1a9648…
03-23 18:51:03	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0xf29664…
03-23 18:50:53	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x046536…
03-23 18:50:35	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	799	49¢	$394	0xecc6ea…
03-23 18:36:35	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	1,003	34¢	$342	0xe46cc9…
03-23 18:18:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	799	63¢	$500	0xc9fc20…
03-23 18:15:05	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	520	14¢	$72	0x7bc2b2…
03-23 17:59:09	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	520	19¢	$100	0xb116f3…
03-23 17:43:21	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	1,176	83¢	$970	0x25cd17…
03-21 17:14:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	1,176	58¢	$686	0x32ac83…
03-21 17:14:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 21 2026 123	Yes	SELL	793	87¢	$687	0xba03cc…
03-21 16:52:51	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 21 2026 123	Yes	BUY	793	96¢	$764	0xd4e97e…
03-21 16:52:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	3,324	23¢	$764	0xafa17f…
03-19 19:17:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	3,324	27¢	$897	0x8f40ca…
03-19 19:16:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,229	73¢	$897	0xb3cc6a…
03-13 10:11:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,229	72¢	$891	0x75252d…
03-13 05:51:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,014	88¢	$891	0x6b8106…
03-12 20:43:25	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,014	94¢	$954	0x1f9fcc…
03-12 20:40:39	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,037	92¢	$954	0xad96fe…
03-11 04:53:31	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,037	88¢	$910	0x1e7f04…
03-11 04:52:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,756	54¢	$947	0x3def1c…
03-10 20:54:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,530	59¢	$902	0x571529…
03-03 16:35:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	227	74¢	$168	0xb3e142…
03-03 16:35:05	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	295	57¢	$168	0x6f15fc…
03-03 16:14:05	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	295	50¢	$147	0xcce362…
03-03 16:13:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	191	77¢	$147	0x5553b7…
03-02 14:08:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	191	61¢	$117	0xf50280…
02-28 20:11:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	265	40¢	$106	0x9842f7…
02-28 19:36:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x95cfbd…
02-28 19:30:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	239	89¢	$212	0xb2e1de…
02-28 19:30:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x6034a8…
02-28 19:22:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x5b67dd…
02-28 19:03:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	219	59¢	$129	0x1f02fd…
02-28 18:04:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x75b752…
02-27 10:07:51	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xdda7c1…
01-17 13:58:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x05d497…
01-17 13:58:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x9e912a…
01-09 14:24:48	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	Yes	BUY	194	41¢	$80	0x445046…
01-09 09:40:14	will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	Yes	SELL	118	68¢	$80	0x92f17d…
01-07 20:04:57	will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	118	26¢	$30	0x5dab76…
01-07 15:52:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x5aa514…
01-07 15:50:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x02ce01…
01-07 15:50:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7f110d…
01-07 15:49:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xc2877d…
01-07 15:49:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x230573…
01-07 15:49:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x4e094f…
01-07 15:49:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x09329e…
01-07 15:43:41	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x95f9ab…
01-07 15:41:17	ethereum up or down january 7 10am et	Up	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8b5866…
01-07 15:39:37	ethereum up or down january 7 10am et	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x679d2e…
01-07 15:39:29	bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xd8ed67…
01-07 15:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x9c1819…
01-07 15:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x85d564…
01-07 15:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x73ef67…
01-07 15:36:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe414dd…
01-07 15:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8fdf1a…
01-07 15:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x59c650…
01-07 15:16:17	bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa02159…
01-07 15:16:17	bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08438b…
01-07 15:11:25	ethereum up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd6c6a2…
01-07 15:10:39	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xcc2d39…
01-07 15:10:37	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5b0613…
01-07 15:10:17	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa64a93…
01-07 15:10:17	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7c5960…
01-07 15:10:05	ethereum up or down january 7 10am et	Up	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x886cf9…
01-07 15:04:15	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x94b016…
01-07 15:03:57	solana up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x259931…
01-07 15:02:49	ethereum up or down january 7 10am et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x2fec15…
01-07 14:32:33	bitcoin up or down january 7 9am et	Up	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x23306f…
01-07 14:25:39	solana up or down january 7 9am et	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xc55f27…
01-07 14:24:41	solana up or down january 7 9am et	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd28e55…
01-07 14:24:11	solana up or down january 7 9am et	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xcce4aa…
01-07 14:24:11	solana up or down january 7 9am et	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x7ba259…
01-07 14:23:41	solana up or down january 7 9am et	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x8cd292…
01-07 14:22:13	ethereum up or down january 7 9am et	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x51bba5…